The Role of Verbal Repetition in the Development of Infant Speech Preferences From 4 to 14 Months of Age

Four experiments investigated infants' preferences for age‐appropriate and age‐inappropriate infant‐directed speech (IDS) over adult‐directed speech (ADS). Two initial experiments showed that 6‐, 10‐, and 14‐month‐olds preferred IDS directed toward younger infants, and 4‐, 8‐, 10‐, and 14‐month‐olds, but not 6‐month‐olds, preferred IDS directed toward older infants. In Experiment 3. 6‐month‐olds preferred IDS directed toward older infants when the frequency of repeated utterances matched IDS to younger infants. In Experiment 4, 6‐month‐olds preferred repeated IDS utterances over the same IDS utterances organized without repetition. Attention to repeated utterances precedes word segmentation and sensitivity to statistical cues in continuous speech, and might play a role in the discovery of these and other aspects of linguistic structure.     

A generalized model of logistic regression for clustered data

This paper proposes a generalized logistic regression model that can account for the correlation among responses on subunits. The subunits may arise as data on multiple observations within an individual. This method generalizes earlier work by Rosner (1984 a,b) and others. Methodological generalizations include: (1) the use of the more general Polya-Eggenberger distribution instead of the beta-binomial distribution to model the correlation structure, so that cases with negative, positive, or zero intraclass correlation can be handled; (2) a stepwise approach; (3) linear and non-linear regression; and, (4) the inclusion of the case of a truncated distribution. The model can accommodate missing data and covariates on the unit and subunit level. The derivative-free simplex algorithm is used to estimate the parameters.

The model is applied to data describing the progression of obstruction in coronary disease where multiple arterial segments are studied for each patient. The correlation in response that may exist for these multiple segments is accounted for in the analyses while attempting to examine associations with individual-specific (e.g., history of diabetes) and segment-specific (e.g., initial percent stenosis) covariates. Analyses were performed on a data set describing 382 patients with unoperated coronary artery disease and two coronary angiograms separated by at least one month and on a data set describing 284 patients undergoing percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty and studied by coronary angiograms.     

A global risk assessment model for civil wars

In this study, we construct a multivariate model that assesses the risk of an outbreak of civil war in a country over a period of 5 years into the future. In addition to structural factors of state weakness, which have dominated the literature on civil war onset, this model includes repression of basic human rights to personal integrity – an important harbinger of wars to come – as an aspect of state behavior. Our aim is not to explore the causal factors of civil war onset, but to build a model that includes indicators that correlate with civil war outbreak and may be used to predict it. Based on two versions of the model – logit and neural network – out-of-sample risk assessments for three different time periods are generated and compared to the historical record of civil war outbreak during those years. In addition, the model’s ability to produce in-sample risk assessments over a 5-year period is tested. Finally, we compute truly predictive civil war risk assessments for all countries for which data are available, for the years 2008–2012. The analyses show that with a relatively simple model and based on publicly available data sources, meaningful civil war risk assessments can be computed. The quality of the predictions exceeds that of prominent studies, in which the risk of interstate war is assessed.     

Therapeutic Love and Its Permutations

Compensatory treatment theory rooted in object relations and self psychology is typically silent about issues of love in the therapeutic relationship, particularly the erotic and sensually infused affects and enactments that may permeate patient-therapist interactions, even in the treatment of preoedipal patients. This paper presents a series of case reports in which the therapist consciously or unconsciously experienced some permutation of love in response to the patient's loving and/or erotic feelings. The central thesis is that patients benefit when therapists recognize the sensual components in transference-countertransference interactions and use them to inform therapeutic interventions.     

Ist eine neubegründung der verstehenden soziologie möglich?

Ohne Zusammenfassung     

Balancing Efficiency and Legitimacy: Institutional Changes and Rural Health Organization in China

The aim of this article is to contribute to the understanding of the institutional arrangements within which China's rural health facilities are embedded and of the contribution of policy to the creation of these arrangements. Information collected through field observations and in‐depth interviews with the managers, staff and patients of a township health centre indicates that with the gradual evolution of markets, encouraged by state policies, health care in rural China took on more of the characteristics of a commodity. In order to adapt to this change, the health centre and its employees are adjusting their behavioural norms and reconstructing an institutional network within which daily activities of simultaneously fulfilling public health responsibilities and pursuing economic gain are legitimized. This article focuses on the interwoven relationship between politics and markets at the micro level and examines the negotiations between stakeholders in constructing new institutional arrangements. It also describes how health sector managers are creating regulations to influence the performance of their facility. The article argues that while government policies play a crucial role in shaping the direction of development, institutional arrangements strongly influence the attempts by rural health organizations to implement them. It concludes that it is critical to take institutional factors into account in analyzing China's rural health‐care reforms.     

New simulation results for the calibration and inverse median estimation problems

This paper gives the results of a new simulation study for the familiar calibration problem and the less familiar inverse median estimation problem. The latter arises when one wishes to estimate from a linear regression analysis the value of the independent variable corresponding to a specified value of the median of the dependent variable. For example, from the results of a regression analysis between stress and time to failure, one might wish to estimate the stress at which the median time to failure is 10,000 hours. In the study, the mean square error, Pitman closeness, and probability of overestimation are compared for both the calibration problem and the inverse median estimation problem for (1) the classical estimator, (2) the inverse estimator, and (3) a modified version of an estimator proposed by Naszodi (1978) for both a small sample and a moderately large sample situation.     

Research Notes

In the summer of 1995, a required MSW course was taught simultaneously to two sections of students at the University of Georgia, 11 on the main campus and 9 at a branch campus. Each section was alternately taught using live instruction or distance learning (two-way interactive television). At the conclusion of the course, students evaluated each method of teaching using Biner’s (1993) instrument for measuring attitudes toward televised courses. Live instruction was rated significantly higher than distance learning. Although distance learning technology has potential for augmenting social work educational resources, it has not yet demonstrated comparable outcomes in terms of student learning.