新加坡中国大陆新移民现状浅析

在日益全球化的今天,国际移民活动正以前所未有的规模进行着,其原因主要是地区经济发展不平衡导致发展中国家的人口大量移居发达国家。源自中国大陆的新移民是国际移民的一个重要组成部分。据估计,20世纪70年代中期至90年代中期华人新移民的人数至少在240万以上,其中源自大陆的     

高校公共体育课“2S”教学理念的提出与实施

依据“健康第一”、“以人为本”的理念,结合体育教学基本理论,针对我国大学生体质健康状况急剧下降的严峻形式,创造性地提出高校公共体育“2S”教学理念,强调“微笑”与“出汗”的相互融合。该教学理念重视快乐体育教学模式、成功体育教育模式的价值,突出教学内容专项化,教学过程的科学负荷,教学方法的多样化,强调教学组织以学生为主体,教学评价重视过程评价。     

医教结合：实践、争议与问题

目前我国特殊教育学校学生残障程度趋重,残障类型、教康需求日趋多样化。我国在不断的探索中形成符合自身特点的教育和康复的整合模式———医教结合,并在医教结合的实践中取得一定成果。但目前国内不仅对医教结合内涵、过程等方面未达成一致观点,学者们在其他一些问题上也存在争议。医教结合推进过程中,适用对象、学校教师、理论本身、政策制定方面存在的问题,仍需各方共同努力去解决,研究完善医教结合的理论与政策,促进特殊教育医教结合的发展。     

Estimation of the joint survival function for successive duration times under double-truncation and right-censoring

ABSTRACT

In incident cohort studies, survival data often include subjects who have had an initiate event at recruitment and may potentially experience two successive events (first and second) during the follow-up period. When disease registries or surveillance systems collect data based on incidence occurring within a specific calendar time interval, the initial event is usually subject to double truncation. Furthermore, since the second duration process is observable only if the first event has occurred, double truncation and dependent censoring arise. In this article, under the two sampling biases with an unspecified distribution of truncation variables, we propose a nonparametric estimator of the joint survival function of two successive duration times using the inverse-probability-weighted (IPW) approach. The consistency of the proposed estimator is established. Based on the estimated marginal survival functions, we also propose a two-stage estimation procedure for estimating the parameters of copula model. The bootstrap method is used to construct confidence interval. Numerical studies demonstrate that the proposed estimation approaches perform well with moderate sample sizes.     

对天津滨海新区服务业发展的几点思考

服务业的发展水平是衡量一个城市(地区)产业结构完善程度的重要标志,是城市凝聚力和辐射力的主要体现.滨海新区必须在发展现代制造业的同时,加快发展高层次的现代服务业,坚持以功能拓展促进服务业发展,以产业发展提升城市功能,提高现代服务业对经济增长的贡献率.     

和谐社会构建中的行政发展价值选择

坚持以人为本、科学发展、改革开放、民主法治、正确处理改革发展稳定的关系以及在党的领导下全社会共同建设等原则,是和谐社会构建对行政发展的基本要求,以公正为基础的市场导向选择是构建社会主义和谐社会行政发展的核心价值要求.     

Semiparametric Bayesian analysis for longitudinal mixed effects models with non-normal AR(1) errors

Statistics and Computing - This paper studies Bayesian inference on longitudinal mixed effects models with non-normal AR(1) errors. We model the nonparametric zero-mean noise in the autoregression...     

书院教育的复兴与儒家人格培养

中国高等教育的根本矛盾是求道与学艺的矛盾。近代以来,我国高等教育对西、苏模式的模仿主义以及越来越转向学艺本位的教育理念,导致对大学生的人格培养的轻视与路径匮乏,这都一直为国人所诟病。如何寻求突破发展的瓶颈,建立真正意义上21世纪的中国大学和本土化的高等教育模式,已经成为了当代中国高等教育的重要命题。书院作为悠久历史的中国传统文化教育组织,是中国传统高等教育的代表之一,也是儒家人格培养的重要机制,在港澳台和上海等多地正在悄然复兴。立足当代,如何继承传统和与时俱进,就必须要审视书院教育的办学制度与治学方法,这也才是中国高等教育的出路所在。     

Life satisfaction in China and consumption and income inequalities

This research uses nationally representative data to study how economic resources and inequalities are associated with life satisfaction of Chinese residents. We construct economic resource and inequality measures from expenditure rather than from income, after confirming that expenditure inequality is a better measure in the Chinese context. We find that economic inequalities in general are negatively associated with life satisfaction, and that this association is larger for inequalities in the lower half of the distribution than those in the upper half of the distribution. We further explore the mechanisms under which inequality can be associated with life satisfaction, and find that aspiration is potentially one important channel.     

Web 2.0 and Political Engagement in China

VOLUNTAS: International Journal of Voluntary and Nonprofit Organizations - This article examines civic and political engagement in contemporary China by three recent cases where activists and...