Lost in Translation? Embracing the Challenges of Working With Families From a Refugee Background

This article describes the difficulties a mainstream family therapy service experienced in working with families from a refugee background. The experience of six therapists and five bicultural workers, who are also the referring agents, was captured in focus groups, and the reflections that emerged shaped a four‐part approach for working with families from a refugee background. Live consultation, either by the family therapist or bicultural worker, is suggested as a way to marry the expertise of family therapists who are not cultural ‘insiders’ with the ‘lived experience’ and cultural expertise of bicultural support workers. The process of reflecting on therapeutic failure resulted in several principles for working therapeu‐tically with families with a history of refugee trauma, unmet resettlement needs and family relationship challenges. These include maintaining a flexible approach to therapy, ascertaining a clear understanding of the referral context, defining an explicit therapeutic contract from the first session, being mindful of the important role that language plays and terminating therapy if it is contra‐indicated.     

A Weighted Linear Estimator of Multivariate ARCH Parameters

A weighted linear estimator (WLE) of the parameters of multivariate ARCH models is proposed. The accuracy of WLE in estimating the parameters of multivariate ARCH models is compared with the widely used quasi-maximum likelihood estimator (QMLE) through simulations. Application to real data sets are also presented and forecasts of variance-covariance matrix and value-at-risk (VaR) are obtained. The weighted resampling methods are used to approximate the sampling distribution of the proposed estimator. Our study indicates that the forecasting performance of WLE is not inferior and one-day ahead risk estimates are also found better than the QMLE.     

Cyclic Polygonal Designs with Block Size 3 and Joint Distance α = 2

Polygonal designs are useful in survey sampling in terms of balanced sampling plans excluding contiguous units (BSECs) and balanced sampling plans excluding adjacent units (BSAs). In this article, the method of cyclic shifts has been used for the construction of cyclic polygonal designs (in terms of BSAs) with block size k = 3 and λ = 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 12 for joint distance α = 2 and 51 new designs for treatments v ≤ 100 are given.     

Forecasting demand for food in Libya—using confidence limits

Many developing countries are not self-sufficient in food production and they depend on food imports. In order to plan imports well in advance, the demand for food must be forecasted. If the forecasts are too low, the people suffer. On the other hand if the forecasts are too high—the food being a perishable commodity—resources of the country are wasted. The Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations (FAO) undertakes such forecasts occasionally. The FAO however links the food consumption to the income of a country and then just assume future income. Such forecasts have no scientific validity and could both fall short or be grossly excessive. In this study, the methodologies of Time Series and Regression Analysis are combined to avoid any guesses. Then confidence intervals are built so that it can be stated, e.g. with 95 per cent confidence that a nation will not eat more than the amount specified. A comparison of costs is made and it is shown that a country can save millions of dollars through the method of statistical confidence limits rather than by adding arbitrary quantities to means and averages. Finally savings possible in some other developing countries, by adopting the proposed method, are tabulated.     

A personal reflection of risking and protecting lives during the third wave of the coronavirus pandemic

In this paper, I engage with my personal experiences and reflections regarding my fear of exposure to coronavirus in a collective and physically demonstrative society. I reflect on my ongoing struggle of coping with social and cultural pressures, for example, the avoidance of ‘touch’ that demonstrates care and affection irrespective of whether someone is ill with the virus. Developed during the third wave of the pandemic, this paper reveals the ambivalence and the emotional challenges involved therein as I tried to (re)negotiate social interactions. It reflects the resistance and denial of the people that coronavirus even exists as they tried to justify their illness by linking it with other known diseases. Hence, the majority disapproved of social distancing to avoid stigmatization and being distanced from others. I believe that expressions of ‘care’ and ‘affection’ requires reconsideration in such circumstances as an act of care itself to protect lives.