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151.
JOHN GOYDER 《Revue canadienne de sociologie》1993,30(1):1-12
Les études dans lesquelles il est question des différences entre les régions du Canada mentionnent souvent un phénomène appelé le «syndrome des polarités»; il s'agit de la tendance à l'augmentation, d'est en ouest, des taux de plusieurs indicateurs sociaux, dont le divorce, le suicide et la criminalité. L'auteur de cette communication, estimant que ce syndrome appartient plutǒt à l'histoire, démontre que les taux de suicide et de divorce convergent dans toutes les régions canadiennes depuis 1921 et met cette tendance en relation avec les résultats d'une analyse récente des taux de criminalité régionaux. The ‘syndrome of polarities’ whereby rates for social indicators such as divorce, suicide, and crime rise from east to west is often noted in studies of Canadian regional differences. There are, however, reasons to view this polarity as an historical remnant, and the paper shows a convergence in regional suicide and divorce rates since 1921. The trend is tied in with a recent analysis of regional crime rates. 相似文献
152.
A distinction is made between the cohesive self and the nuclear self. The latter represents a consolidation of the self that occurs in late adolescence and that results from the integration of life goals and ambitions into a coherent narrative. This paper presents a case in which a pseudo-consolidation appears to have occurred in an adolescent with an undiagnosed learning disability.Ms. Silbar is in private practice. 相似文献
153.
154.
Feng Chen Richard M. Huggins Paul S. F. Yip K. F. Lam 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C, Applied statistics》2008,57(4):447-459
Summary. The system for monitoring suicides in Hong Kong has considerable delays in reporting as the cause of death needs to be determined by a coroner's investigation. However, timely estimates of suicide rates are desirable to assist in the formulation of public health policies. This motivated us to develop a non-parametric procedure to estimate the intensity function of a Poisson process in the presence of reporting delays. We give closed form estimators of the Poisson intensity and the delay distribution, conduct simulation studies to evaluate the method proposed and derive their asymptotic properties. The method proposed is applied to estimate the intensity of suicide in Hong Kong. 相似文献
155.
156.
Catriona M. Queen Ben J. Wright Casper J. Albers 《Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics》2007,49(3):221-239
The problem of modelling multivariate time series of vehicle counts in traffic networks is considered. It is proposed to use a model called the linear multiregression dynamic model (LMDM). The LMDM is a multivariate Bayesian dynamic model which uses any conditional independence and causal structure across the time series to break down the complex multivariate model into simpler univariate dynamic linear models. The conditional independence and causal structure in the time series can be represented by a directed acyclic graph (DAG). The DAG not only gives a useful pictorial representation of the multivariate structure, but it is also used to build the LMDM. Therefore, eliciting a DAG which gives a realistic representation of the series is a crucial part of the modelling process. A DAG is elicited for the multivariate time series of hourly vehicle counts at the junction of three major roads in the UK. A flow diagram is introduced to give a pictorial representation of the possible vehicle routes through the network. It is shown how this flow diagram, together with a map of the network, can suggest a DAG for the time series suitable for use with an LMDM. 相似文献
157.
The training of medical practitioners to improve the practitioner/patient relationship may be difficult, as limitations often exist on the choice of patients included in the study. A specific study of this type of training is given. It is proposed that a simple modification and generalization of Yates' plaid-square designs be used. It is shown that a replicated plaid-design incorporates as a special case the criss-cross or strip-plot design. The usefulness of these designs in studies of the training of medical practitioners is illustrated. The basic characteristics of their analysis are outlined. 相似文献
158.
159.
Sets of alternatives as Condorcet winners 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
We characterize sets of alternatives which are Condorcet winners according to preferences over sets of alternatives, in terms
of properties defined on preferences over alternatives. We state our results under certain preference extension axioms which,
at any preference profile over alternatives, give the list of admissible preference profiles over sets of alternatives. It
turns out to be that requiring from a set to be a Condorcet winner at every admissible preference profile is too demanding,
even when the set of admissible preference profiles is fairly narrow. However, weakening this requirement to being a Condorcet
winner at some admissible preference profile opens the door to more permissive results and we characterize these sets by using
various versions of an undomination condition. Although our main results are given for a world where any two sets – whether
they are of the same cardinality or not – can be compared, the case for sets of equal cardinality is also considered.
Received: 15 March 2001/Accepted: 31 May 2002
This paper was written while Barış Kaymak was a graduate student in Economics at Boğazi?i University. We thank ?ağatay Kayı
and İpek ?zkal-Sanver who kindly agreed to be our initial listeners. The paper has been presented at the Economic Theory seminars
of Bilkent, Ko? and Sabancı Universities as well as at the Fifth Conference of the Society for the Advancement of Economic
Theory, July 2001, Ischia, Italy and at the 24th Bosphorus Workshop on Economic Design, August 2001, Bodrum, Turkey. We thank Fuad Aleskerov, İzak Atiyas, ?zgür Kıbrıs, Semih
Koray, Gilbert Laffond, Bezalel Peleg, Murat Sertel, Tayfun S?nmez, Utku ünver and all the participants. Remzi Sanver acknowledges
partial financial support from İstanbul Bilgi University and the Turkish Academy of Sciences and thanks Haluk Sanver and Serem
Ltd. for their continuous moral and financial support. Last but not the least, we thank Carmen Herrero and two anonymous referees.
Of course we are the sole responsible for all possible errors. 相似文献
160.
Micro‐enterprises, i.e. firms with less than 10 employees, are traditionally the hardest to engage in learning; they are also least likely to participate in such measures as business advice and guidance provision and initiatives to support information communication technology (ICT) adoption. Through a community‐based initiative initially targeting parents (unemployed or employed) to participate in ICT, 30 micro‐enterprises were attracted to learning for the first time. These companies had carefully avoided similar initiatives taking place locally, which emphasized business success and growth; they had only participated in this ICT skills training because of their children. The paper takes a case study approach to evaluate the reasons for participation, explores barriers and implications for those organizing similar activities, and calls for a more holistic view of owners and managers of small firms as fathers, mothers, etc. rather than just as ‘entrepreneurs’. 相似文献