首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   11377篇
  免费   20篇
管理学   1633篇
民族学   104篇
人才学   3篇
人口学   2467篇
丛书文集   6篇
理论方法论   582篇
综合类   291篇
社会学   5008篇
统计学   1303篇
  2023年   4篇
  2022年   8篇
  2021年   9篇
  2020年   17篇
  2019年   22篇
  2018年   1679篇
  2017年   1675篇
  2016年   1091篇
  2015年   59篇
  2014年   65篇
  2013年   199篇
  2012年   364篇
  2011年   1177篇
  2010年   1074篇
  2009年   800篇
  2008年   850篇
  2007年   1029篇
  2006年   34篇
  2005年   252篇
  2004年   283篇
  2003年   228篇
  2002年   111篇
  2001年   25篇
  2000年   31篇
  1999年   28篇
  1998年   26篇
  1997年   9篇
  1996年   46篇
  1995年   14篇
  1994年   10篇
  1993年   18篇
  1992年   20篇
  1991年   17篇
  1990年   11篇
  1989年   10篇
  1988年   16篇
  1987年   9篇
  1986年   6篇
  1985年   5篇
  1984年   7篇
  1983年   9篇
  1982年   7篇
  1981年   13篇
  1980年   5篇
  1978年   3篇
  1977年   3篇
  1976年   3篇
  1975年   3篇
  1973年   2篇
  1970年   2篇
排序方式: 共有10000条查询结果,搜索用时 12 毫秒
901.
In this paper we introduce a new extension for the Birnbaum–Saunder distribution based on the family of the epsilon-skew-symmetric distributions studied in Arellano-Valle et al. (J Stat Plan Inference 128(2):427–443, 2005). The extension allows generating Birnbaun–Saunders type distributions able to deal with extreme or outlying observations (Dupuis and Mills, IEEE Trans Reliab 47:88–95, 1998). Basic properties such as moments and Fisher information matrix are also studied. Results of a real data application are reported illustrating good fitting properties of the proposed model.  相似文献   
902.
A doubly censoring scheme occurs when the lifetimes T being measured, from a well-known time origin, are exactly observed within a window [L, R] of observational time and are otherwise censored either from above (right-censored observations) or below (left-censored observations). Sample data consists on the pairs (U, δ) where U = min{R, max{T, L}} and δ indicates whether T is exactly observed (δ = 0), right-censored (δ = 1) or left-censored (δ = −1). We are interested in the estimation of the marginal behaviour of the three random variables T, L and R based on the observed pairs (U, δ). We propose new nonparametric simultaneous marginal estimators [^(S)]T, [^(S)]L{\hat S_{T}, \hat S_{L}} and [^(S)]R{\hat S_{R}} for the survival functions of T, L and R, respectively, by means of an inverse-probability-of-censoring approach. The proposed estimators [^(S)]T, [^(S)]L{\hat S_{T}, \hat S_{L}} and [^(S)]R{\hat S_{R}} are not computationally intensive, generalize the empirical survival estimator and reduce to the Kaplan-Meier estimator in the absence of left-censored data. Furthermore, [^(S)]T{\hat S_{T}} is equivalent to a self-consistent estimator, is uniformly strongly consistent and asymptotically normal. The method is illustrated with data from a cohort of drug users recruited in a detoxification program in Badalona (Spain). For these data we estimate the survival function for the elapsed time from starting IV-drugs to AIDS diagnosis, as well as the potential follow-up time. A simulation study is discussed to assess the performance of the three survival estimators for moderate sample sizes and different censoring levels.  相似文献   
903.
904.
Powerful entropy-based tests for normality, uniformity and exponentiality have been well addressed in the statistical literature. The density-based empirical likelihood approach improves the performance of these tests for goodness-of-fit, forming them into approximate likelihood ratios. This method is extended to develop two-sample empirical likelihood approximations to optimal parametric likelihood ratios, resulting in an efficient test based on samples entropy. The proposed and examined distribution-free two-sample test is shown to be very competitive with well-known nonparametric tests. For example, the new test has high and stable power detecting a nonconstant shift in the two-sample problem, when Wilcoxon’s test may break down completely. This is partly due to the inherent structure developed within Neyman-Pearson type lemmas. The outputs of an extensive Monte Carlo analysis and real data example support our theoretical results. The Monte Carlo simulation study indicates that the proposed test compares favorably with the standard procedures, for a wide range of null and alternative distributions.  相似文献   
905.
This note provides the asymptotic distribution of a Perron-type innovational outlier unit root test developed by Popp (J Stat Comput Sim 78:1145–1161, 2008) in case of a shift in the intercept for non-trending data. In Popp (J Stat Comput Sim 78:1145–1161, 2008), only critical values for finite samples based on Monte Carlo techniques are tabulated. Using similar arguments as in Zivot and Andrews (J Bus Econ Stat 10:251–270, 1992), weak convergence is shown for the test statistics.  相似文献   
906.
Partial linear modelling ideas have recently been adapted to situations when functional data are observed. This paper aims to complete the study of such model by proposing a fully automatic estimation procedure. This is achieved by constructing a data-driven method to choose the smoothing parameters entered in the nonparametric components of the model. The asymptotic optimality of the method is stated and its practical interest is illustrated on finite size Monte Carlo simulated samples.  相似文献   
907.
The purpose of this paper is to highlight some classic issues in the measurement of change and to show how contemporary solutions can be used to deal with some of these issues. Five classic issues will be raised here: (1) Separating individual changes from group differences; (2) options for incomplete longitudinal data over time, (3) options for nonlinear changes over time; (4) measurement invariance in studies of changes over time; and (5) new opportunities for modeling dynamic changes. For each issue we will describe the problem, and then review some contemporary solutions to these problems base on Structural Equation Models (SEM). We will fit these SEM to using existing panel data from the Health & Retirement Study (HRS) cognitive variables. This is not intended as an overly technical treatment, so only a few basic equations are presented, examples will be displayed graphically, and more complete references to the contemporary solutions will be given throughout.  相似文献   
908.
909.
This paper studies the asymptotic properties of a smoothed least absolute deviations estimator in a nonlinear parametric model with multiple change-points occurring at the unknown times with independent and identically distributed errors. The model is nonlinear in the sense that between two successive change-points the regression function is nonlinear into respect to parameters. It is shown via Monte Carlo simulations that its performance is competitive with that of least absolute deviations estimator and it is more efficient than the least squares estimator, particularly in the presence of the outlier points. If the number of change-points is unknown, an estimation criterion for this number is proposed. Interest of this method is that the objective function is approximated by a differentiable function and if the model contains outliers, it detects correctly the location of the change-points.  相似文献   
910.
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号