气田低温站污水的处理

本文通过对气田低温站污水调查与分析,经试验确定了对该污水进行“混凝沉降.H₂0_2/Fe^z+氧化”的处理工艺及条件,文章还对彩响处理效果的各种因素进行了讨论.试验表明,该工艺对有机污染较重的气田污水具有良好的处理效果.     

毛泽东的社会主义改造理论及其意义

从新民主主义到社会主义的过渡时期,中国共产党在领导对生产资料私有制进行社会主义改造过程中积累了极其丰富的经验。毛泽东在总结和概括这些经验的基础上,创立的具有中国特色的马克思主义的社会主义改造理论,是对马克思列宁主义和国际共产主义运动的重大贡献。对毛泽东的这个重大贡献,今天我们也还需要从理论上加以阐述,阐述其内容和意义。     

健康在多大程度上引致贫困脆弱性——基于CHNS农村数据的经验分析

贫困脆弱性的产生,很大程度上归因于居民健康水平的下降.在阐述健康引致贫困理论机制的基础上,基于CHNS在2000-2009年间追踪调查数据,对贫困脆弱性和健康效用指数HUI进行测度,估计并分析健康对贫困脆弱性的影响与内在机制.研究发现:居民健康水平的恶化会使其面临更高的贫困脆弱性,居民健康水平每下降10％,贫困脆弱性大约会上升6％;健康影响贫困脆弱性的作用机制中,物质资本和社会资本渠道被证明是相对有效的,而人力资本渠道尽管体现出微弱效应,但尚未在统计上得到显著性验证.因此,制订前瞻性的反贫政策应着眼于建立健康风险防范机制,包括提高农村医疗保障水平和重大疾病救助力度,并增加农村公共服务的投入,以促进其均衡化发展.     

中国粮食价格波动特征研究——基于X-12-ARIMA模型和ARCH类模型

以小麦和大豆为例,研究2002年1月至2012年6月中国粮食价格波动特征。首先利用X-12-ARIMA模型对价格序列进行季节调整,然后运用ARCH类模型对剥离季节因素的价格序列进行波动分析。结果发现:中国粮食价格季节性波动逐年减弱;粮食价格具有明显的波动集簇性,前期价格波动和外部冲击对后期价格的影响具有持续性;粮食市场不存在"高风险、高回报"特征;小麦价格波动的非对称性不显著,而大豆价格波动则呈现明显的非对称特征,且上期价格上涨信息引发的波动要大于下跌信息。     

Testing Covariance Stationarity

In this paper, we show that the widely used stationarity tests such as the Kwiatkowski Phillips, Schmidt, and Shin (KPSS) test have power close to size in the presence of time-varying unconditional variance. We propose a new test as a complement of the existing tests. Monte Carlo experiments show that the proposed test possesses the following characteristics: (i) in the presence of unit root or a structural change in the mean, the proposed test is as powerful as the KPSS and other tests; (ii) in the presence of a changing variance, the traditional tests perform badly whereas the proposed test has high power comparing to the existing tests; (iii) the proposed test has the same size as traditional stationarity tests under the null hypothesis of stationarity. An application to daily observations of return on U.S. Dollar/Euro exchange rate reveals the existence of instability in the unconditional variance when the entire sample is considered, but stability is found in subsamples.     

On the sample breakdown robustness of some nonparametric tests

In this paper, relying on the sample breakdown points, we investigate the sample breakdown properties of some nonparametric tests. It is shown that the sample breakdown points of the sign test asymptotically dominate those of the Wilcoxon test for one–sided hypotheses, However, the different conclusion is derived in the case of testing some shrinking neighborhood hypotheses. The breakdown behaviors of the Kolmogorov test and X²–test are also explored. These studies unify or refine some existing breakdown analyses of tests.     

Robust empirical likelihood for linear models under median constraints

In this paper, we consider the application of the empirical likelihood for

linear models under median constraints in view of robustness. For two simple median constraints, it is shown that conditions to ensure the consistency of the empirical likelihood confidence regions can be surprisingly relaxed compared with the normal approach under L norm. However, the coverage accuracy of the empirical likelihood confidence regions based on simple median constrains cannot be improved because of the discontinuity of the constraints. Therefore, a smoothed version of median constraint is proposed and a general theory is established to ensure its validity.     

Nonparametric estimation of the shape function in a Gamma process for degradation data

The author considers estimation under a Gamma process model for degradation data. The setting for degradation data is one in which n independent units, each with a Gamma process with a common shape function and scale parameter, are observed at several possibly different times. Covariates can be incorporated into the model by taking the scale parameter as a function of the covariates. The author proposes using the maximum pseudo‐likelihood method to estimate the unknown parameters. The method requires usage of the Pool Adjacent Violators Algorithm. Asymptotic properties, including consistency, convergence rate and asymptotic distribution, are established. Simulation studies are conducted to validate the method and its application is illustrated by using bridge beams data and carbon‐film resistors data. The Canadian Journal of Statistics 37: 102‐118; 2009 © 2009 Statistical Society of Canada     

我国食品安全监管体制研究——兼评我国《食品安全法》

我国食品安全监管的主要问题表现为行政监管组织法体系不健全、监管主体过多、行政监管权分配不合理以及对监管主体缺乏有力的责任约束机制。2009年2月通过的《食品安全法》并没有改变分段监管的模式，食品安全委员会权限设置不明确，影响监管力度。结合我国国情，要完善安全监管行政组织法体系、推行渐进式统一模式，将各个环节的监管职权逐步整合于食品药品监督管理局，加大食品安全委员会的职权，增强其协调权威性，并不断加强监管机构的监管责任，建立权责一致的行政和司法责任追究制度：     

论湖北咨议局从主张立宪到参与武昌首义的转变

湖北咨议局是试图推行资产阶级君主立宪政体下的一个省级地方议会的预备机构,却在资产阶级宪政请愿运动中一再受挫,由绝望毅然转向革命,在武昌首义中推波助澜.湖北咨议局立场的转变对于武昌首义成果的巩固与扩大乃至对于辛亥革命在全国的深入发展起到了非常重要的组织和促进作用.