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11.
Data from a participant-observational study of the tarot are used to explore the social meanings of modern occultism and to examine certain rival contentions about these beliefs, practices, adherents, and the manner in which activities are or are not organized socially. Unlike collective behavioral audiences, which employ occultisms as a form of popular entertainment, the occult practitioners reported here participate in an “esoteric community” involving practitioner-client relations, social networks, and small cult-like groups. Although the occult tarot constitutes an elaborate theosophy, contemporary adherents selectively subscribe to these doctrines and they freely mix the occult, other esoteric teachings, and elements of traditional culture. When the tarot is used in a divinatory fashion as a service to the general public for pay, problems of legitimacy commonly arise. Occultists in the community deal with this problem by presenting themselves as “professionals.” Within the nominally pluralistic climate of American society, occultisms thereby become another path to dealing meaningfully with life's problems and expressing individual identity. Organized in terms of loose collections of practitioners and groups and supported by the larger cultic milieu, occult communities represent an adaptation to modern society which is likely to persist long after particular groups fail or particular individuals move on to other social scenes.  相似文献   
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In interpreting the binary regression models often used in the analysis of dose-response data, it is common to introduce the idea of an underlying continuous tolerance distribution. Different choices of link function lead to different tolerance distributions. A useful way of comparing these alternatives is to compare the hazard functions or tail functions associated with each tolerance distribution. Tail functions can also be applied to give numerically preferable formulas for the iterative weights and the adjusted dependent variable in the fitting of binary regression models by the iteratively reweighted least-squares algorithm.  相似文献   
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This paper discusses the use of highly parameterized semi‐mechanistic nonlinear models with particular reference to the PARJIB crop response model of Reid (2002) [Yield response to nutrient supply across a wide range of conditions 1. Model derivation. Field Crops Research 77, 161–171]. Compared to empirical linear approaches, such models promise improved generality of application but present considerable challenges for estimation. Some success has been achieved with a fitting approach that uses a Levenberg–Marquardt algorithm starting from initial values determined by a genetic algorithm. Attention must be paid, however, to correlations between parameter estimates and an approach is described to identify these based on large simulated datasets. This work illustrates the value for the scientist in exploring the correlation structure in mechanistic or semi‐mechanistic models. Such information might be used to reappraise the structure of the model itself, especially if the experimental evidence is not strong enough to allow estimation of a parameter free of assumptions about the values of others. Thus statistical modelling and analysis can complement mechanistic studies, making more explicit what is known and what is not known about the processes being modelled and guiding further research.  相似文献   
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Family of Origin exploration has had a controversial history in family therapy training. This article describes a process that aims to integrate family of origin work with skills development Co‐developed by a training group and their trainer, it builds on the existing approach at the Bouverie Centre in Melbourne. Family of origin work is clearly and practically linked with the enhancement of clinical skills, as argued for in the literature. Informed consent trust and safety are taken seriously, and negotiated within the training group. Trainee and trainer stories are included and the authors discuss the learning that resulted from asking trainees to present their family of origin to the group, including the unpredictable personal ramifications that inevitably occur in such processes.  相似文献   
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Hunt (1996) implemented the finite mixture model approach to clustering in a program called MULTIMIX. The program is designed to cluster multivariate data that have categorical and continuous variables and that possibly contain missing values. This paper describes the approach taken to design MULTIMIX and how some of the statistical problems were dealt with. As an example, the program is used to cluster a large medical dataset.  相似文献   
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For many students, coming to learn mathematics is as much about the pedagogical relay through which concepts are conveyed as it is about the mathematics per se. This relay comprises social, cultural and linguistic norms as well as the mathematical discourse. In this study, I outline the practices of one remote school and how the teaching practices scaffold Indigenous learners whose home language is different from the language of instruction (Standard Australian English) as they come to learn mathematics. Through various strategies, teachers have created positive learning environments that celebrate the home languages of the students while supporting the transition into Standard Australian English and the discourse of mathematics.  相似文献   
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Prior research indicates that religiousness is related negatively to adolescent health risk behaviors, yet how such protective effects operate is not well understood. This study examined the longitudinal associations among organizational and personal religiousness, delay discounting, and substance use initiation (alcohol, cigarette, and marijuana use). The sample was comprised of 106 early adolescents (10–13 years of age, 52% female) who were not using substances at Time 1. Path analyses suggested that high levels of personal religiousness at Time 1 were related to low levels of substance use at Time 2 (2.4 years later), mediated by low levels of delay discounting. Delay discounting appears to be an important contributor to the protective effect of religiousness on the development of substance use among adolescents.  相似文献   
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Thornburg (1973) suggests that adolescents experience a high level of value-behavior inconsistency compared to individuals in other stages of the lifespan due to engaging in peer-oriented behavioral realms that are contrary to values shared with the parental family. Extending Thornburg's value-behavior inconsistency model to encompass contraceptive attitudes and behavior, it is predicted that contraceptive attitude-behavior inconsistency is prevalent among sexually-active adolescents, and that inconsistency would be greatest when parental and peer contraceptive attitudes are perceived to be incongruent. Analysis of a sample of 167 sexually-active adolescent females ages 13-to-18 indicates that general contraceptive attitudes are consistent with contraceptive use, whereas attitudes toward specific contraceptive methods are unrelated to contraceptive behavior. The data lend support to the predictions of Thornburg's model in that contraceptive attitude-behavior inconsistency is greatest under peer favorable/parent unfavorable and peer unfavorable/parent favorable contraceptive attitude conditions.This research was supported by a grant from the United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Experiment Station, University of Arizona. The data for the study were gathered in 1978 and 1979.  相似文献   
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