金融竞争、相对资本深化与地区经济效率

 与国内外大多从财政收支角度来研究地区的策略性竞争行为不同,本文通过建立空间计量模型检验了我国地区间金融策略性行为,通过构造相对资本深度指标研究了这种背景下地区资本深化对经济效率的影响。研究表明,地区之间的金融策略性竞争行为具有显著的阶段性特征,在很大程度上受地方财政资源充裕程度的影响;从平均意义上来看,全国总体的金融配置并不符合各地资源禀赋结构所决定的最优相对资本深度,存在效率损失,但在不同区域和不同阶段存在显著的差异。因此,合理引导地方政府行为以及有效协调财政金融体制改革对于促进地方金融健康发展进而提升区域经济效率具有深远的意义。     

Bayesian diffusion process models with time-varying parameters

The diffusion process is a widely used statistical model for many natural dynamic phenomena but its inference is very complicated because complete data describing the diffusion sample path is not necessarily available. In addition, data is often collected with substantial uncertainty and it is not uncommon to have missing observations. Thus, the observed process will be discrete over a finite time period and the marginal likelihood given by this discrete data is not always available. In this paper, we consider a class of nonstationary diffusion process models with not only the measurement error but also discretely time-varying parameters which are modeled via a state space model. Hierarchical Bayesian inference for such a diffusion process model with time-varying parameters is applied to financial data.     

尿酸在纳米金-聚番红花红修饰电极上的电化学行为及修饰电极的应用研究

本研究制备了纳米金-聚番红花红复合膜修饰的玻碳电极,并利用差分脉冲法（DPV）研究了尿酸在此修饰电极上的电化学行为。结果表明纳米金-聚番红花红复合膜对于尿酸的氧化能够起到明显的电催化作用。在优化条件下,尿酸的氧化峰电流与其浓度在1.0×10^-6～1.0×10^-4mol/L范围内呈良好的线性关系,检出限为6.0×10^-7mol/L。该方法快速,准确,将聚纳米金-番红花红复合膜修饰电极用于体液中尿酸的测定,回收率在95.0%～100%之间。     

东乡族民族文化资源库构建研究

新中国成立后,东乡族研究成为民族学研究中的一个重要领域.但到目前为止,国内尚无东乡族的文化资源库.本文在系统分析东乡族文化资源库数据源和目录结构的基础上,提出了该文化资源库的建设方案,同时对东乡族民族文 化资源库的建设方式及管理模式给出了建议.     

“美国公众对华态度”实证调研——基于“中国经济具有国际竞争力”话题

改革开放后中国的经济持续高速增长,中国经济发展对世界经济的发展和提升具有无可替代的作用,不过中国经济是否具备国际影响力却有颇多争论.本文从美国民众的角度研究中国经济的国际影响力.研究表明,64.3％的美国民众认同“中国的经济具有国际竞争力”,党派归属、接触何种媒体并没有就此问题对美国民众施加限制影响,而对媒体的信任程度、年龄是主要影响因素.认识到美国以及世界范围内民意舆论对“中国经济国际竞争力”的看法后,中国需要客观地、冷静地对待该问题,合理地在世界范围内应用自己的经济影响力来实现国家战略.     

Ecological factors associated with elder abuse in Taiwan: a systematic review

Elder abuse is a serious issue in Taiwan because of rapid growth among the aging population and the deterioration of traditional values. Understanding of elder abuse in Taiwan has been fragmented, as a bulk of studies have primarily focused on socio-demographic characteristics and past childhood abuse. Only a handful of studies have focused on the environmental contexts. To address this research gap, we systematically review the prevalence, socio-demographic characteristics, and risk factors associated with elder abuse in Taiwan by applying Bronfenbrenner's ecological framework. Twenty-nine research articles are reviewed to address this research gap. Practice and policy implications are also discussed.     

Factors affecting poverty among people with disabilities and antipoverty policies in South Korea

Previous studies analysed factors of poverty among people with disabilities without considering hierarchical or segmented structure by disability type or degree. Such approaches overlooked an auto-correlation problem among observations and overestimated the significance of the coefficient. In this study, a hierarchical generalised linear model (HGLM) was used to overcome these problems. This study found that sex, age, educational level, health condition, employment, being head of the household, area of residence, number of household members, and employment and work-life discrimination all had a significant effect on poverty among people with disabilities. The author suggests more detailed antipoverty policies.     

Online scheduling on uniform machines with two hierarchies

In this paper we study online scheduling problem on m parallel uniform machines with two hierarchies. The objective is to minimize the maximum completion time (makespan). Machines are provided with different capability. The machines with speed s can schedule all jobs, while the other machines with speed 1 can only process partial jobs. Online algorithms for any 0<s<∞ are provided in the paper. For the case of k=1 and m=2, and the case of some values of s, k=1 and m=3, the algorithms are the best possible, where k is the number of machines with hierarchy 1, and m is the number of machines. Lower bounds for some special cases are also presented.     

区域人口城市化的趋势分析——以江苏省为例

在描述区域人口城市化发展趋势时 ,Logistic模型的应用最为广泛。对Logistic模型进行修正 ,并以江苏省人口城市化发展为例 ,对我国区域人口城市化发展趋势进行分析。研究的结果表明 :修正Logistic模型基本上反映了我国区域人口城市化的发展趋势。     

跨越中等收入的数字经济动能转换:理论与实证

一国或经济体在中等收入阶段需转换经济增长动能成为理论共识,但对数字经济动能转换的机制尚缺乏深入探讨.本文以基于技术效率思想的两化融合刻画数字经济,构建数字经济动能转换的理论模型,研究表明:在低收入低融合和高收入高融合情形下,两化融合水平对经济增长的影响是显著的,但在中等收入中融合情形下,两化融合水平对经济增长的影响不显著,说明经济体在中等收入阶段增长动能会出现结构失灵现象.本文基于55个国家或经济体的面板数据,实证显示存在这种动能结构失灵现象.据此,提出中等收入陷阱发生机制的"技术效率转轨"假说,并构建数字经济动能转换理论,认为中国在中等收入阶段需要从以信息化带动路径为主的技术效率转变为工业化促进路径与信息化带动路径并行的技术效率,通过实施数字化转型与创新并举、应用性创新与探索性创新互补的复合式创新战略来跨越中等收入陷阱.本研究为数字经济动能转换、数字化转型与创新的研究提供了一个可供选择的理论视角和分析框架.