全文获取类型
收费全文 | 11161篇 |
免费 | 927篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 1910篇 |
民族学 | 49篇 |
人口学 | 922篇 |
丛书文集 | 26篇 |
理论方法论 | 1221篇 |
综合类 | 110篇 |
社会学 | 5457篇 |
统计学 | 2393篇 |
出版年
2021年 | 120篇 |
2020年 | 273篇 |
2019年 | 470篇 |
2018年 | 413篇 |
2017年 | 536篇 |
2016年 | 494篇 |
2015年 | 403篇 |
2014年 | 461篇 |
2013年 | 1787篇 |
2012年 | 488篇 |
2011年 | 444篇 |
2010年 | 353篇 |
2009年 | 301篇 |
2008年 | 316篇 |
2007年 | 285篇 |
2006年 | 282篇 |
2005年 | 251篇 |
2004年 | 246篇 |
2003年 | 221篇 |
2002年 | 210篇 |
2001年 | 261篇 |
2000年 | 239篇 |
1999年 | 188篇 |
1998年 | 134篇 |
1997年 | 131篇 |
1996年 | 136篇 |
1995年 | 111篇 |
1994年 | 110篇 |
1993年 | 105篇 |
1992年 | 147篇 |
1991年 | 125篇 |
1990年 | 118篇 |
1989年 | 118篇 |
1988年 | 103篇 |
1987年 | 91篇 |
1986年 | 96篇 |
1985年 | 108篇 |
1984年 | 112篇 |
1983年 | 124篇 |
1982年 | 98篇 |
1981年 | 88篇 |
1980年 | 86篇 |
1979年 | 94篇 |
1978年 | 90篇 |
1977年 | 80篇 |
1976年 | 67篇 |
1975年 | 67篇 |
1974年 | 58篇 |
1973年 | 58篇 |
1971年 | 50篇 |
排序方式: 共有10000条查询结果,搜索用时 31 毫秒
31.
32.
This paper describes the design optimization of a robot sensor used for locating 3-D objects employing the Taguchi method in a computer simulation scenario. The location information from the sensor is to be utilized to control the movements of an industrial robot in a 'pick-and-place' or assembly operation. The Taguchi method, which is based on the Analysis-of-Variance (ANOVA) approach, is utilized to improve the performance of the sensor over a wider operating range. A review of the Taguchi method is presented along with step-by-step implementation details to identify and optimize the design parameters of the sensor. The method allows us to gauge the impact of various interactions present in the sensor system exclusively and permits us to single out those factors that have a dominant influence on the overall performance of the sensor. The investigation suggests that the Taguchi method is a more structured and efficient approach for achieving a robust design compared with the classical full factorial design approach. 相似文献
33.
Günter F. Müller 《Gruppendynamik und Organisationsberatung》2005,36(3):325-334
This paper outlines the conceptual bases, strategies, and psychological attributes of leadership by self-leadership. In addition, relations to other theories of leadership are drawn. Dimensions and correlates of self-leadership competence are described and discussed. Various approaches for developing self-leadership competence are discussed as well. 相似文献
34.
If a population contains many zero values and the sample size is not very large, the traditional normal approximation‐based confidence intervals for the population mean may have poor coverage probabilities. This problem is substantially reduced by constructing parametric likelihood ratio intervals when an appropriate mixture model can be found. In the context of survey sampling, however, there is a general preference for making minimal assumptions about the population under study. The authors have therefore investigated the coverage properties of nonparametric empirical likelihood confidence intervals for the population mean. They show that under a variety of hypothetical populations, these intervals often outperformed parametric likelihood intervals by having more balanced coverage rates and larger lower bounds. The authors illustrate their methodology using data from the Canadian Labour Force Survey for the year 2000. 相似文献
35.
Craig H. Mallinckrodt Christopher J. Kaiser John G. Watkin Michael J. Detke Geert Molenberghs Raymond J. Carroll 《Pharmaceutical statistics》2004,3(3):171-186
The last observation carried forward (LOCF) approach is commonly utilized to handle missing values in the primary analysis of clinical trials. However, recent evidence suggests that likelihood‐based analyses developed under the missing at random (MAR) framework are sensible alternatives. The objective of this study was to assess the Type I error rates from a likelihood‐based MAR approach – mixed‐model repeated measures (MMRM) – compared with LOCF when estimating treatment contrasts for mean change from baseline to endpoint (Δ). Data emulating neuropsychiatric clinical trials were simulated in a 4 × 4 factorial arrangement of scenarios, using four patterns of mean changes over time and four strategies for deleting data to generate subject dropout via an MAR mechanism. In data with no dropout, estimates of Δ and SEΔ from MMRM and LOCF were identical. In data with dropout, the Type I error rates (averaged across all scenarios) for MMRM and LOCF were 5.49% and 16.76%, respectively. In 11 of the 16 scenarios, the Type I error rate from MMRM was at least 1.00% closer to the expected rate of 5.00% than the corresponding rate from LOCF. In no scenario did LOCF yield a Type I error rate that was at least 1.00% closer to the expected rate than the corresponding rate from MMRM. The average estimate of SEΔ from MMRM was greater in data with dropout than in complete data, whereas the average estimate of SEΔ from LOCF was smaller in data with dropout than in complete data, suggesting that standard errors from MMRM better reflected the uncertainty in the data. The results from this investigation support those from previous studies, which found that MMRM provided reasonable control of Type I error even in the presence of MNAR missingness. No universally best approach to analysis of longitudinal data exists. However, likelihood‐based MAR approaches have been shown to perform well in a variety of situations and are a sensible alternative to the LOCF approach. MNAR methods can be used within a sensitivity analysis framework to test the potential presence and impact of MNAR data, thereby assessing robustness of results from an MAR method. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
36.
Amy H. Herring Joseph G. Ibrahim Stuart R. Lipsitz 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C, Applied statistics》2004,53(2):293-310
Summary. Non-ignorable missing data, a serious problem in both clinical trials and observational studies, can lead to biased inferences. Quality-of-life measures have become increasingly popular in clinical trials. However, these measures are often incompletely observed, and investigators may suspect that missing quality-of-life data are likely to be non-ignorable. Although several recent references have addressed missing covariates in survival analysis, they all required the assumption that missingness is at random or that all covariates are discrete. We present a method for estimating the parameters in the Cox proportional hazards model when missing covariates may be non-ignorable and continuous or discrete. Our method is useful in reducing the bias and improving efficiency in the presence of missing data. The methodology clearly specifies assumptions about the missing data mechanism and, through sensitivity analysis, helps investigators to understand the potential effect of missing data on study results. 相似文献
37.
Conservation biology aims at assessing the status of a population, based on information which is often incomplete. Integrated population modelling based on state‐space models appears to be a powerful and relevant way of combining into a single likelihood several types of information such as capture‐recapture data and population surveys. In this paper, the authors describe the principles of integrated population modelling and they evaluate its performance for conservation biology based on a case study, that of the black‐footed albatross, a northern Pacific albatross species suspected to be impacted by longline fishing 相似文献
38.
We define a class of count distributions which includes the Poisson as well as many alternative count models. Then the empirical probability generating function is utilized to construct a test for the Poisson distribution, which is consistent against this class of alternatives. The limit distribution of the test statistic is derived in case of a general underlying distribution, and efficiency considerations are addressed. A simulation study indicates that the new test is comparable in performance to more complicated omnibus tests. 相似文献
39.
Tracey Maegusuku‐Hewett David Dunkerley Jonathan Scourfield Nina Smalley 《Children & Society》2007,21(4):309-321
This article aims to makes a contribution to redressing a methodological and theoretical imbalance in existing research on refugee and asylum‐seeking children. It draws on two qualitative studies from Wales with children and young people. The samples include unaccompanied minors and children living with families as well as both children who are supported in the asylum system and those who have been granted refugee status. The focus on ecological post‐migratory stressors and coping processes that young people identify as being integral to their well‐being and, once granted status, to how they adapt to settlement includes a selective study of some of the sources of resilience referred to in the children's talk. Recognising the interplay between individual and environment leads to a discussion of both personal attributes and collective cultural identities. 相似文献
40.
The 1998 Korean Survey of Family Income and Expenditures was used to examine the overall consumption and saving behavior of Korean baby boomers and compared the differences in consumption and saving behavior between older and younger boomers. The t -test results indicated that the younger boomers allocated a significantly higher percentage of their expenditures on food away from home, household appliances, transportation and communication than did the older boomers, whereas the older boomers spent higher amounts and allocated larger budget shares on their children's education than did the younger boomers. The results of Ordinary Least-Squares (OLS) regression analysis showed that, holding other factors constant, older boomers not only spent significantly more in the total consumption expenditures and education expenditures, but older boomers also saved significantly less than did younger boomers. 相似文献