Impact of temporal aggregation on stock control performance of intermittent demand estimators: Empirical analysis

Intermittent demand is characterized by occasional demand arrivals interspersed by time intervals during which no demand occurs. These demand patterns pose considerable difficulties in terms of forecasting and stock control due to their compound nature, which implies variability both in terms of demand arrivals and demand sizes. An intuitively appealing strategy to deal with such patterns from a forecasting and stock control perspective is to aggregate demand in lower-frequency ‘time buckets’, thereby reducing the presence of zero observations. In this paper, we investigate the impact of forecasting aggregation on the stock control performance of intermittent demand patterns. The benefit of the forecasting aggregation approach is empirically assessed by means of analysis on a large demand dataset from the Royal Air Force (UK). The results show that the aggregation forecasting approach results in higher achieved service levels as compared to the classical forecasting approach. Moreover, when the combined service-cost performance is considered, the results also show that the former approach is more efficient than the latter, especially for high target service levels.     

On risk-averse maximum weighted subgraph problems

In this work, we consider a class of risk-averse maximum weighted subgraph problems (R-MWSP). Namely, assuming that each vertex of the graph is associated with a stochastic weight, such that the joint distribution is known, the goal is to obtain a subgraph of minimum risk satisfying a given hereditary property. We employ a stochastic programming framework that is based on the formalism of modern theory of risk measures in order to find minimum-risk hereditary structures in graphs with stochastic vertex weights. The introduced form of risk function for measuring the risk of subgraphs ensures that optimal solutions of R-MWS problems represent maximal subgraphs. A graph-based branch-and-bound (BnB) algorithm for solving the proposed problems is developed and illustrated on a special case of risk-averse maximum weighted clique problem. Numerical experiments on randomly generated Erdös-Rényi graphs demonstrate the computational performance of the developed BnB.     

Efficiency of the generalized difference-based Liu estimators in semiparametric regression models with correlated errors

In this paper, a generalized difference-based estimator is introduced for the vector parameter β in the semiparametric regression model when the errors are correlated. A generalized difference-based Liu estimator is defined for the vector parameter β in the semiparametric regression model. Under the linear nonstochastic constraint Rβ=r, the generalized restricted difference-based Liu estimator is given. The risk function for the β?_GRD(η) associated with weighted balanced loss function is presented. The performance of the proposed estimators is evaluated by a simulated data set.     

The impact of in-vehicle cell-phone use on accidents or near-accidents among college students

With in-vehicle use of cell phones rapidly increasing, the safety of young drivers, who represent 14% of licensed drivers but 26% of drivers involved in fatal crashes, may be disproportionately threatened. The authors used a questionnaire to examine the association between in-vehicle cell-phone use and accidents or near-accidents among 1,291 conveniently recruited college students in 4 states. Of the 1,185 respondents who were drivers, 87% had a cell phone, and 86% of the cell-phone owners reported talking while driving at least occasionally. Of the 762 reported accidents or near-accidents, 21% (n = 159) involved at least 1 of the drivers talking while driving. Chi-square tests and logistic regression analyses showed that the frequency, not the duration, of drivers talking while driving was related to experiencing accidents or near-accidents. Differences between drivers who used cell phones and nonusers in unsafe driving behaviors and attitudes were also examined, and target groups for intervention efforts against talking on a cell phone while driving are suggested.     

Majorization and the spectral radius of starlike trees

A starlike tree is a tree with exactly one vertex of degree greater than two. The spectral radius of a graph G, that is denoted by \(\lambda (G)\), is the largest eigenvalue of G. Let k and \(n_1,\ldots ,n_k\) be some positive integers. Let \(T(n_1,\ldots ,n_k)\) be the tree T (T is a path or a starlike tree) such that T has a vertex v so that \(T{\setminus } v\) is the disjoint union of the paths \(P_{n_1-1},\ldots ,P_{n_k-1}\) where every neighbor of v in T has degree one or two. Let \(P=(p_1,\ldots ,p_k)\) and \(Q=(q_1,\ldots ,q_k)\), where \(p_1\ge \cdots \ge p_k\ge 1\) and \(q_1\ge \cdots \ge q_k\ge 1\) are integer. We say P majorizes Q and let \(P\succeq _M Q\), if for every j, \(1\le j\le k\), \(\sum _{i=1}^{j}p_i\ge \sum _{i=1}^{j}q_i\), with equality if \(j=k\). In this paper we show that if P majorizes Q, that is \((p_1,\ldots ,p_k)\succeq _M(q_1,\ldots ,q_k)\), then \(\lambda (T(q_1,\ldots ,q_k))\ge \lambda (T(p_1,\ldots ,p_k))\).     

Measuring Human,Physical and Structural Capital Efficiency Performance of Insurance Companies

Based on the strategy perspective of intellectual capital, this paper proposes an integrated framework that is practical to estimate the human, physical, and structural capitals (intellectual capital) efficiency performance, at firm level. This paper uses a dynamic network data envelopment analysis model to estimate the intellectual capital efficiency at three levels in the insurance industry over the period of 2005–2012. Within the insurance industry, deficiencies occurred in the human and structural capital stages as opposed to the physical capital stage. A further investigation indicates that total investment is the major concern for the deficiencies. Moreover, the cluster analysis highlights the strengths and weaknesses of the insurers based on their inherently similar efficiencies. Malaysian insurance industry need to translate and promote the existing knowledge-based economy agenda lauded by the government to improve the intellectual capital efficiency, particularly at the human capital level.     

Relationships between psychological capital,job satisfaction,and organizational commitment in the Saudi oil and petrochemical industries

During the past decade, Saudi Arabia experienced a significant social, economic, and organizational change. The rapid economic growth created a need for seasoned management professionals and necessitated the development of human capital. Psychological capital, a newly developed construct by academics and practitioners, is defined as the extent to which an individual operates in a positive psychological state, and this state is characterized by high self-efficacy, optimism, hope, and resiliency. By measuring the positive psychological constructs, an organization can learn about employees’ positive psychological states and how training and support can promote positive psychological states. Improving the positive psychological capital can lead to better organizational commitment, favorable organizational citizenship behaviors, lower employee absenteeism, and higher job satisfaction. This quantitative study examined the relationship among psychological capital, job satisfaction, and organizational commitment through a sample of managers in the Saudi Arabian oil and petrochemical industries.     

Monitoring two-stage processes with a profile at the second stage

In the multistage processes, quality of a process or a product at each stage is related to the previous stage(s). This property is referred to as a cascade property. Sometimes, quality of a process is characterized by a profile. In this paper, we consider a two-stage process with a normal quality characteristic in the first stage and a simple linear regression profile in the second stage. Then we propose two methods to monitor quality characteristics in both stages. The performance of the proposed two methods is evaluated through a numerical example in terms of average run length criterion.