Intergenerational reliance on social assistance: Evidence from Canada

This paper provides the first analysis of the intergenerational transmission of participation in a Canadian social assistance program. Two sources of intergenerational transmission are taken into account: one that is due to a possible causal link between parents' and children's participation, and one that is due to a correlation between individual and environment specific characteristics across generations. The basic data come from the Québec government's administrative records and cover 17,203 young people who were 18 years old in 1990 and whose parents were recipients of social assistance during at least one month between 1979 and 1990. The results reveal that, on average, a one-percentage unit increase in parental participation during the youth's pre-adult years (age 7–17) raises the youth's participation rate by 0.29 percentage unit during early adulthood (age 18–21). This impact is stronger during the early stages of childhood (age 7–9) and during late adolescence (age 16–17).     

Eliciting vague but proper maximal entropy priors in Bayesian experiments

Priors elicited according to maximal entropy rules have been used for years in objective and subjective Bayesian analysis. However, when the prior knowledge remains fuzzy or dubious, they often suffer from impropriety which can make them uncomfortable to use. In this article we suggest the formal elicitation of an encompassing family for the standard maximal entropy (ME) priors and the maximal data information (MDI) priors, which can lead to obtain proper families. An interpretation is given in the objective framework of channel coding. In a subjective framework, the performance of the method is shown in a reliability context when flat but proper priors are elicited for the Weibull lifetime distributions. Such priors appear as practical tools for sensitivity studies.     

An Age-Period-Cohort Approach to Analyse Late-Life Depression Prevalence in Six European Countries, 2004–2016

European Journal of Population - Late-life depression is a condition that affects an ever-growing share of the population in ageing societies. While depression prevalence varies across countries...     

礼仪的交织——以抄本清初中国天主教葬礼仪式指南为例

对明末清初中西文化交流的研究,主要集中于思想与科学交流,而较少关注礼仪.但是,礼仪是中国文化很重要的一个特色.作者以清初的丧葬礼仪为例,从社会学及人类学的角度分析中国儒家与欧洲天主教礼仪的互动与交织.在17世纪中期,中国天主教葬礼已经变得较为巩固,然而传教十和中国信徒仍然在为葬礼的具体形式寻求共识.文献显示,广州事件过后,传教士和中国信徒移植天主教礼仪的方法发生了变化,由原来的简单调整,改为进行一系列的重组,因为中国的文化传统是如此之强势.     

L'intensification du travail en débat. Ethnographie et histoire aux chaînes de Peugeot-Sochaux

With the use of ethnography and history, this study of work in the Peugeot-Sochaux automobile factory in the last half of the 20th century makes us stand back from a unifying, generalized view of the intensification of labor. For one thing, variations in work rules and the diversity of related problems bring to light the tensions underlying the issue of workloads. For another, detecting when workloads are actually heavier and more stressful calls for taking into account a variety of periods and tendencies while studying working conditions. This study conducted in workshops in the Sochaux plant leads us away from a quantitative, abstract view of the intensification of work. We are thus led to examine the concrete changes that affect employment conditions and the technical aspects of work over a longer term. Far from losing sense, the idea of an intensification of work processes becomes richer and more relevant for analyzing the world of work.     

Still more on the Tournament Equilibrium Set

Schwartz (Soc Choice Welfare 3:271–291, 1990) proposed a solution concept (the Tournament Equilibrium Set) for choosing from a tournament and stated some conjectures about this solution. Laffond et al. (Math Sci Hum 123:37–44, 1993) introduced further conjectures and showed the links between some of them. In this short note, we show that one of the conjectures stated by Schwartz (1990) is false. We also complete a result given in Laffond et al. (1993). I gratefully thank J.-F. Laslier for his remarks and for introducing me to this topic.     

A global risk assessment model for civil wars

In this study, we construct a multivariate model that assesses the risk of an outbreak of civil war in a country over a period of 5 years into the future. In addition to structural factors of state weakness, which have dominated the literature on civil war onset, this model includes repression of basic human rights to personal integrity – an important harbinger of wars to come – as an aspect of state behavior. Our aim is not to explore the causal factors of civil war onset, but to build a model that includes indicators that correlate with civil war outbreak and may be used to predict it. Based on two versions of the model – logit and neural network – out-of-sample risk assessments for three different time periods are generated and compared to the historical record of civil war outbreak during those years. In addition, the model’s ability to produce in-sample risk assessments over a 5-year period is tested. Finally, we compute truly predictive civil war risk assessments for all countries for which data are available, for the years 2008–2012. The analyses show that with a relatively simple model and based on publicly available data sources, meaningful civil war risk assessments can be computed. The quality of the predictions exceeds that of prominent studies, in which the risk of interstate war is assessed.     

Uses of Management Control Tools in the Public Healthcare Sector

This study focuses on identifying the specific uses of management control tools in public organizations. This research is based on interviews with managers from 43 organizations in the healthcare sector. Data was analyzed and interpreted through the methodology proposed by Gioia et al. Organizational research methods, 16(1), 15-31, (2013). The different uses specified by managers of these organizations were compared with Henri’s work Accounting, organizations and society, 31(1), 77-103, (2006). Findings show matching elements, as well as differences in public sector specificities. This study ends with a discussion about the non-use of existing tools, the multi-uses of tools and the observable dichotomy between political and management uses.

     

Robust normative comparisons of socially risky situations

In this paper, we theoretically characterize robust empirically implementable normative criteria for evaluating socially risky situations. Socially risky situations are modeled as distributions, among individuals, of lotteries on a finite set of state-contingent pecuniary consequences. Individuals are assumed to have selfish Von Neumann–Morgenstern preferences for these socially risky situations. We provide empirically implementable criteria that coincide with the unanimity, over a reasonably large class of such individual preferences, of anonymous and Pareto-inclusive Von Neuman Morgenstern social rankings of risks. The implementable criteria can be interpreted as sequential expected poverty dominance. An illustration of the usefulness of the criteria for comparing the exposure to unemployment risk of different segments of the French and US workforce is also provided.     

Evaluating the Move to a Linear Tax System in Germany and Other European Countries

This paper proposes a comparison of the results of tax policy analysis obtained on the basis of unitary and collective representations of the household. We first generate labour supplies consistent with the collective rationality, by use of a model calibrated on microdata as described in Vermeulen et al. [Collective Models of Household Labor Supply with Nonconvex Budget Sets and Nonparticipation: A Calibration Approach (2006)]. A unitary model is then estimated on these collective data and unitary and collective responses to a tax reform are compared. We focus on the introduction of linear taxation in Germany. The exercise is replicated for other European countries and other topical reforms. Distortions due to the use of a unitary model turn out to be important in predicting labour supply adjustments, in the design of tax revenue neutral reforms, and in predicting a reform’s welfare implications.