加强高校青年教师思想政治工作的思考

青年教师是高等院校的未来,青年教师的思想政治状况如何,直接关系到21世纪人才培养的方向和质量。加强高等院校青年教师的思想政治工作,是高等学校的一项既重要又紧迫的战略任务。本文分析探讨了当前高等院校青年教师的思想状况和存在问题,提出了加强高等院校青年教师思想政治工作的途径。     

循环经济发展问题研究

发展循环经济是落实科学发展观的重要环节和具体体现。根据我国循环经济的研究和发展现状,认为应深刻理解和正确把握循环经济的内涵。这需要做好加大宣传力度、转变发展观念、加强宏观规划、增加政府投资等工作。     

Trends in Mortality Decrease and Economic Growth

The vast literature on extrapolative stochastic mortality models focuses mainly on the extrapolation of past mortality trends and summarizes the trends by one or more latent factors. However, the interpretation of these trends is typically not very clear. On the other hand, explanation methods are trying to link mortality dynamics with observable factors. This serves as an intermediate step between the two methods. We perform a comprehensive analysis on the relationship between the latent trend in mortality dynamics and the trend in economic growth represented by gross domestic product (GDP). Subsequently, the Lee-Carter framework is extended through the introduction of GDP as an additional factor next to the latent factor, which provides a better fit and better interpretable forecasts.     

Simultaneous estimation and inference for multiple response variables

Multivariate data arise frequently in biomedical and health studies where multiple response variables are collected across subjects. Unlike a univariate procedure fitting each response separately, a multivariate regression model provides a unique opportunity in studying the joint evolution of various response variables. In this paper, we propose two estimation procedures that improve estimation efficiency for the regression parameter by accommodating correlations among the response variables. The proposed procedures do not require knowledge of the true correlation structure nor does it estimate the parameters associated with the correlation. Theoretical and simulation results confirm that the proposed estimators are more efficient than the one obtained from the univariate approach. We further propose simple and powerful inference procedures for a goodness-of-fit test that possess the chi-squared asymptotic properties. Extensive simulation studies suggest that the proposed tests are more powerful than the Wald test based on the univariate procedure. The proposed methods are also illustrated through the mother’s stress and children’s morbidity study.     

温家宝总理与外国专家座谈侧记

善于听取各方面的意见,包括国内各方面的意见,甚至扩展到外国专家的意见,也是一个政府负责任的表现。     

生态困境之“原罪”与“类意识”的深层觉醒

生态困境不仅是自然生命系统的困境,同时是人类生存的困境和人的精神意义世界失落的困境.遗忘了"类本质"的人类必定会陷入动物本能式的思维模式,导致"自然观"的误置、"科技观"的歧途与"人性观"的偏差.借用基督教"原罪"的理念,现代人类如果要获得最后的"救赎",必须运用生态智慧驾驭对自然的"控制力",通过道德关怀范围的扩展和"类意识"的深层觉醒,推动道德的进化,在追寻生命"自由"之境的过程中谋求人与自然的生态和谐.     

我国农村信用社绩效评价体系设计

我国农村信用社经过50余年的发展已经初具规模,但是还有很多困难和问题未得到根本解决。本文拟从绩效评价体系设计的角度分析我国的农村信用社管理创新的必要性和可行性,并从可操作的角度设计绩效评价指标,进而设计出适合我国信用社发展水平的绩效评价体系,以期对农村信用社管理改进提出借鉴意义。     

中国传统文化中的“和”对中国外交的影响

文化是影响国家外交的重要因素之一,从文化角度理解一国对外关系已成为一个重要的研究视角。中国有着源远流长、底蕴深厚的传统文化,和是中国传统文化的精髓,以和为贵、和而不同、天人合一是其深刻内涵的三个重要层面。和作为中华文化的人文精神及价值理想,对当代中国外交的指导原则、发展道路和战略目标产生了潜移默化的深刻影响。     

社会工作介入儿童虐待问题时遇到的困境分析

近年来,"儿童虐待"问题越来越突出,已经成为公众广泛关注的一个社会问题,也是社会工作亟需介入的重要方面。本文主要从文化、法律和伦理三个方面,探讨和分析社会工作介入"儿童虐待"问题时遇到的文化困境、法律困境和伦理困境;社会工作者面临"儿童虐待"问题时要担当起服务的提供者、受虐儿童的支持者、制度的倡导者以及法律和政策的影响人的多重角色,为更好地保护儿童权益,促进儿童身心健康成长服务。