首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   29991篇
  免费   534篇
  国内免费   1篇
管理学   4154篇
民族学   113篇
人才学   2篇
人口学   2768篇
丛书文集   147篇
教育普及   4篇
理论方法论   2733篇
现状及发展   1篇
综合类   568篇
社会学   14653篇
统计学   5383篇
  2021年   168篇
  2020年   439篇
  2019年   561篇
  2018年   652篇
  2017年   912篇
  2016年   699篇
  2015年   545篇
  2014年   674篇
  2013年   4764篇
  2012年   964篇
  2011年   886篇
  2010年   623篇
  2009年   574篇
  2008年   669篇
  2007年   693篇
  2006年   632篇
  2005年   754篇
  2004年   669篇
  2003年   605篇
  2002年   654篇
  2001年   765篇
  2000年   761篇
  1999年   704篇
  1998年   513篇
  1997年   467篇
  1996年   496篇
  1995年   457篇
  1994年   456篇
  1993年   438篇
  1992年   537篇
  1991年   508篇
  1990年   456篇
  1989年   468篇
  1988年   442篇
  1987年   404篇
  1986年   400篇
  1985年   423篇
  1984年   435篇
  1983年   416篇
  1982年   353篇
  1981年   295篇
  1980年   285篇
  1979年   335篇
  1978年   290篇
  1977年   263篇
  1976年   225篇
  1975年   243篇
  1974年   196篇
  1973年   195篇
  1971年   142篇
排序方式: 共有10000条查询结果,搜索用时 20 毫秒
71.
Although the health-enhancing effects of physical exercise have been well documented, less is known about how exercise benefits stressed employees psychologically. This article examines exercise as a coping response, and identifies changes in self-schemata (a person's underlying belief systems about him or herself) as the means by which exercise affects coping resources. In addition, by drawing on schema theory and the exercise literature, the active components of an exercise programme and the individuals who might enhance their ability to cope with stress through such a programme are identified.  相似文献   
72.
R Carbino 《Child welfare》1992,71(6):497-509
For reasons discussed in this article, it is in the nature of family foster care that allegations of abuse and/or neglect in foster homes will arise. How an agency acts before, during, and after these eventualities has long-lasting implications for the well-being of foster children and of foster parents and their own children, as well as for foster home recruitment.  相似文献   
73.
74.
75.
76.
77.
This article provides an overview of social trust, examining its various aspects and components. Trust is best understood in a sociological sense by focusing on its important relational characteristic. Following this lead, the article discusses briefly how social trust relates to social capital and examines factors that shape the development of social trust, along with outcomes related to variations in trust, classifying them by analytical level (i.e., individual, community, group, organizational, and societal). The article concludes by assessing the strengths and weaknesses of existing research and by identifying some important questions that have not yet been adequately addressed.  相似文献   
78.
Low dose risk estimation via simultaneous statistical inferences   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
Summary.  The paper develops and studies simultaneous confidence bounds that are useful for making low dose inferences in quantitative risk analysis. Application is intended for risk assessment studies where human, animal or ecological data are used to set safe low dose levels of a toxic agent, but where study information is limited to high dose levels of the agent. Methods are derived for estimating simultaneous, one-sided, upper confidence limits on risk for end points measured on a continuous scale. From the simultaneous confidence bounds, lower confidence limits on the dose that is associated with a particular risk (often referred to as a bench-mark dose ) are calculated. An important feature of the simultaneous construction is that any inferences that are based on inverting the simultaneous confidence bounds apply automatically to inverse bounds on the bench-mark dose.  相似文献   
79.
We employ vector autoregressive techniques to determine the current state of the labor queue. Unemployment rate differentials have narrowed in recent years, potentially due to a change in the queue ordering, though a tight labor market and a stable queue would yield similar results. We find no evidence that the queue ordering has changed, which brings into question the resiliency of gains made by minority groups. We employ the same techniques to reveal the state of the queue across geographic regions and find that substantial differences exist across regions, implying variation in the relative labor force status of demographic groups.  相似文献   
80.
Generalized additive models for location, scale and shape   总被引:10,自引:0,他引:10  
Summary.  A general class of statistical models for a univariate response variable is presented which we call the generalized additive model for location, scale and shape (GAMLSS). The model assumes independent observations of the response variable y given the parameters, the explanatory variables and the values of the random effects. The distribution for the response variable in the GAMLSS can be selected from a very general family of distributions including highly skew or kurtotic continuous and discrete distributions. The systematic part of the model is expanded to allow modelling not only of the mean (or location) but also of the other parameters of the distribution of y , as parametric and/or additive nonparametric (smooth) functions of explanatory variables and/or random-effects terms. Maximum (penalized) likelihood estimation is used to fit the (non)parametric models. A Newton–Raphson or Fisher scoring algorithm is used to maximize the (penalized) likelihood. The additive terms in the model are fitted by using a backfitting algorithm. Censored data are easily incorporated into the framework. Five data sets from different fields of application are analysed to emphasize the generality of the GAMLSS class of models.  相似文献   
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号