全文获取类型
收费全文 | 4321篇 |
免费 | 119篇 |
国内免费 | 3篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 490篇 |
民族学 | 26篇 |
人口学 | 386篇 |
丛书文集 | 26篇 |
理论方法论 | 314篇 |
综合类 | 86篇 |
社会学 | 1890篇 |
统计学 | 1225篇 |
出版年
2023年 | 29篇 |
2022年 | 20篇 |
2021年 | 24篇 |
2020年 | 72篇 |
2019年 | 132篇 |
2018年 | 114篇 |
2017年 | 196篇 |
2016年 | 116篇 |
2015年 | 100篇 |
2014年 | 119篇 |
2013年 | 915篇 |
2012年 | 145篇 |
2011年 | 114篇 |
2010年 | 79篇 |
2009年 | 102篇 |
2008年 | 96篇 |
2007年 | 84篇 |
2006年 | 73篇 |
2005年 | 75篇 |
2004年 | 68篇 |
2003年 | 57篇 |
2002年 | 85篇 |
2001年 | 90篇 |
2000年 | 76篇 |
1999年 | 89篇 |
1998年 | 76篇 |
1997年 | 66篇 |
1996年 | 56篇 |
1995年 | 76篇 |
1994年 | 55篇 |
1993年 | 58篇 |
1992年 | 68篇 |
1991年 | 68篇 |
1990年 | 74篇 |
1989年 | 61篇 |
1988年 | 43篇 |
1987年 | 44篇 |
1986年 | 50篇 |
1985年 | 55篇 |
1984年 | 56篇 |
1983年 | 41篇 |
1982年 | 37篇 |
1981年 | 33篇 |
1980年 | 40篇 |
1979年 | 45篇 |
1978年 | 37篇 |
1977年 | 26篇 |
1976年 | 21篇 |
1974年 | 21篇 |
1971年 | 21篇 |
排序方式: 共有4443条查询结果,搜索用时 31 毫秒
831.
目的观察阿卡波糖对老年糖耐量减低患者颈动脉内中膜厚度的影响。方法120例老年糖耐量减低患者分为两组:60例口服阿卡波糖50 mg,3次·d-1,持续1年,60例未服药,均随访1年。结果治疗后4周患者口服馒头餐后2 h血糖明显下降(P<0.01);1年后治疗组患者HbA1c明显减低(P<0.05),平均颈动脉内中膜厚度增加治疗组明显低于对照组(P<0.05)。结论阿卡波糖有效降低糖耐量减低患者餐后血糖,长期治疗可降低糖化血红蛋白,减缓动脉粥样硬化的发展。 相似文献
832.
In this paper, we establish some Pitman closeness results concerning the sample median from a symmetric continuous distribution. We show that when an odd sample size is increased by one, the sample median becomes Pitman-closer to the population median, while when an even sample size is increased by one, the sample median need not be Pitman-closer. We establish the former through probabilistic derivations while the latter is through a counterexample. We also discuss the situation when the sample is increased by two observations. 相似文献
833.
Small area estimation is studied under a nested error linear regression model with area level covariate subject to measurement error. Ghosh and Sinha (2007) obtained a pseudo-Bayes (PB) predictor of a small area mean and a corresponding pseudo-empirical Bayes (PEB) predictor, using the sample means of the observed covariate values to estimate the true covariate values. In this paper, we first derive an efficient PB predictor by using all the available data to estimate true covariate values. We then obtain a corresponding PEB predictor and show that it is asymptotically “optimal”. In addition, we employ a jackknife method to estimate the mean squared prediction error (MSPE) of the PEB predictor. Finally, we report the results of a simulation study on the performance of our PEB predictor and associated jackknife MSPE estimator. Our results show that the proposed PEB predictor can lead to significant gain in efficiency over the previously proposed PEB predictor. Area level models are also studied. 相似文献
834.
In this paper, we consider estimation of the mean squared prediction error (MSPE) of the best linear predictor of (possibly) nonlinear functions of finitely many future observations in a stationary time series. We develop a resampling methodology for estimating the MSPE when the unknown parameters in the best linear predictor are estimated. Further, we propose a bias corrected MSPE estimator based on the bootstrap and establish its second order accuracy. Finite sample properties of the method are investigated through a simulation study. 相似文献
835.
836.
In this paper, we consider the statistical inference for the success probability in the case of start-up demonstration tests in which rejection of units is possible when a pre-fixed number of failures is observed before the required number of consecutive successes are achieved for acceptance of the unit. Since the expected value of the stopping time is not a monotone function of the unknown parameter, the method of moments is not useful in this situation. Therefore, we discuss two estimation methods for the success probability: (1) the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) via the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm and (2) Bayesian estimation with a beta prior. We examine the small-sample properties of the MLE and Bayesian estimator. Finally, we present an example to illustrate the method of inference discussed here. 相似文献
837.
Ranked set sampling (RSS) was first proposed by McIntyre [1952. A method for unbiased selective sampling, using ranked sets. Australian J. Agricultural Res. 3, 385–390] as an effective way to estimate the unknown population mean. Chuiv and Sinha [1998. On some aspects of ranked set sampling in parametric estimation. In: Balakrishnan, N., Rao, C.R. (Eds.), Handbook of Statistics, vol. 17. Elsevier, Amsterdam, pp. 337–377] and Chen et al. [2004. Ranked Set Sampling—Theory and Application. Lecture Notes in Statistics, vol. 176. Springer, New York] have provided excellent surveys of RSS and various inferential results based on RSS. In this paper, we use the idea of order statistics from independent and non-identically distributed (INID) random variables to propose ordered ranked set sampling (ORSS) and then develop optimal linear inference based on ORSS. We determine the best linear unbiased estimators based on ORSS (BLUE-ORSS) and show that they are more efficient than BLUE-RSS for the two-parameter exponential, normal and logistic distributions. Although this is not the case for the one-parameter exponential distribution, the relative efficiency of the BLUE-ORSS (to BLUE-RSS) is very close to 1. Furthermore, we compare both BLUE-ORSS and BLUE-RSS with the BLUE based on order statistics from a simple random sample (BLUE-OS). We show that BLUE-ORSS is uniformly better than BLUE-OS, while BLUE-RSS is not as efficient as BLUE-OS for small sample sizes (n<5). 相似文献
838.
In reliability and survival analysis, comparison of two or more populations is an important problem. For example, while comparing a treatment group with a control group, one may be interested in determining whether the observations in the treatment group have a longer lifetime than those from the control group, that is, whether the treatment is effective or not. In such a study, it would be extremely valuable to make a decision based on early failures. In this paper, we consider independent progressively Type-II censored random samples from two populations with cumulative distribution function's (cdf) F(·) and G(·) respectively, and discuss a precedence test for testing the equality of the two distributions based on placements. For this purpose, we derive the joint distribution of the first l placement statistics from the progressively censored sample from F(·). We then derive the exact null distribution of the precedence test statistic which is simply the sum of the placements. We provide the rejection regions for fixed levels of significance and various sample sizes and different progressive censoring schemes. 相似文献
839.
In this paper, we discuss the limiting behavior of numbers of observations near an order statistic. We then derive an expression for the joint distribution of the numbers of observations that fall into the open right a-vicinity and left b-vicinity of k th and (n-r)th order statistics, respectively, from a sample of size n and establish the result that they are asymptotically independent under suitable conditions. 相似文献
840.
This paper considers estimation of a exponential mean time to failure using a loss function that reflects both goodness of
fit and precision of estimation. The admissibility and inadmissibility of a class of linear estimators of the form
are studied. 相似文献