Transitive and acyclic rationality indicators of fuzzy choice functions on base domain

In the present paper we introduce the indicators of the fuzzy transitive congruence axiom, fuzzy direct-revelation axiom and fuzzy acyclic congruence axiom. These indicators measure the degree to which a fuzzy choice function satisfies these axioms. We use the indicators of fuzzy transitive congruence axiom and fuzzy acyclic congruence axiom to calculate the minimum degree to which the direct fuzzy revealed preference relation is the transitive and acyclic respectively. We established that (i) the degree to which the fuzzy choice function is full rational is the degree to which it satisfies fuzzy transitive congruence axiom and (ii) the degree to which the fuzzy choice function is acyclic rational is the minimum degree to which it satisfies fuzzy direct-revelation axiom and its fuzzy revealed preference is acyclic. We show that a similarity relation on the set of fuzzy choice functions preserves the indicators of fuzzy transitive congruence axiom, fuzzy direct-revelation axiom, fuzzy acyclic congruence axiom and (transitive and acyclic) rationality indicators.     

试论社会主义核心价值构建的人性维度

市场经济负面影响的日益显现及西方所谓普世价值的冲击，使不少国人陷入价值错乱、虚无的状态，亟待对其加强价值引导。社会主义核心价值的提出及构建可谓正当其时。价值与核心价值的构建，必须遵循人性维度。运用理性思维去把握人性，形成科学的人性理论，并将其付之于现实生活予以检验，把握人性的真实，才能为核心价值构建奠定人性的坚实基石。     

Dynamic Forecasting Conditional Probability of Bombing Attacks Based on Time‐Series and Intervention Analysis

In recent years, various types of terrorist attacks occurred, causing worldwide catastrophes. According to the Global Terrorism Database (GTD), among all attack tactics, bombing attacks happened most frequently, followed by armed assaults. In this article, a model for analyzing and forecasting the conditional probability of bombing attacks (CPBAs) based on time‐series methods is developed. In addition, intervention analysis is used to analyze the sudden increase in the time‐series process. The results show that the CPBA increased dramatically at the end of 2011. During that time, the CPBA increased by 16.0% in a two‐month period to reach the peak value, but still stays 9.0% greater than the predicted level after the temporary effect gradually decays. By contrast, no significant fluctuation can be found in the conditional probability process of armed assault. It can be inferred that some social unrest, such as America's troop withdrawal from Afghanistan and Iraq, could have led to the increase of the CPBA in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Pakistan. The integrated time‐series and intervention model is used to forecast the monthly CPBA in 2014 and through 2064. The average relative error compared with the real data in 2014 is 3.5%. The model is also applied to the total number of attacks recorded by the GTD between 2004 and 2014.     

大学生社会主义核心价值观的培育系统与路径——基于社会生态系统理论的视角

大学生是社会主义核心价值观培育的重要人群。基于社会生态系统理论对大学生社会主义核心价值观培育的各层级系统的研究认为,新形势下大学生社会主义核心价值观培育的实现路径应切合大学生对社会主义核心价值观培育的内在需求,建立大学生社会主义核心价值培育的"三位"生态系统,促进各级系统之间的相互融合,推动系统良性运行。     

一个关于宏观经济增长质量的一般理论——基于微观产品质量的解释

现有的经济增长质量理论主要是结构调整的宏观思路,其在理论上的局限性是忽视了支撑经济增长质量的微观基础。宏观经济增长质量是经济中具体的微观产品(一二三产业中具体产品和服务)质量的加总,因此必须以微观产品质量为基础构建经济增长质量的一般理论。以微观产品质量为基础的经济增长质量一般理论,在定义、动力机制以及政策含义上与现有理论有显著差异。微观产品质量促进宏观经济增长质量的理论假设,可以在区域层面得到初步的检验。政策建议是宏观经济增长质量的提高必须以微观的产品质量为核心。     

略论近现代阜阳剪纸艺术的风格特征及成因

传统的阜阳剪纸历史悠久,其依附民俗生存,风格融南北之长,＂既有北方的简练和粗壮有力,又有南方的精巧和秀丽多姿＂。随着社会经济的发展,阜阳剪纸艺术历经岁月的磨练而开始有了复苏气象和一些新的风格特征。试从近现代阜阳剪纸作品分析入手,就其风格特征及其变化进行系统梳理和分析,以期从其发展轨迹中认识其形成的原因。     

解决信访问题的有效性对策——基于对H市信访问题特点的分析

信访问题能够反映不同时期、不同治理状态下的政府行为对相对人的影响，信访问题呈现的新特点能凸显公民的利益诉求方向，解决信访问题的有效性对策正是要解决根源性问题，加强源头治理，规范政府行为，强化各级政府社会管理的主体意识、担当意识和责任意识；健全信访制度体系，推进建立信访预警研判机制。     

我国民事案件不予受理裁定的适用研究 ——以2013-2017年裁定书为对象

民事案件不予受理裁定是法院不予立案的司法行为,在适用中存在法律依据散乱、审查标准实质化、法院主管范围界定随意以及司法文书制作不规范等问题.正确适用不予受理裁定有利于法院依法保障当事人诉权和合理利用司法资源的实现,通过集中规定不予受理裁定的依据、形式化受理标准、严格法院主管范围和规范司法运作,以完善不予受理裁定的正当性.