论忏悔意识演进的三种精神层次

忏悔是人类独有的思考方式,是对无罪之罪的自我发现和道义承担。在道德公识、信仰、良知三种缘由指称下的忏悔实际上完成了有罪个体从"本我"到"自我"再到"超我"的人格飞跃,显示出自我疗救的价值意义。忏悔作为文学创作的主题,在人类社会中发挥着精神向导的作用,方兴未艾的新世纪文学敏锐地抓住了这一可贵品质,显示出文学救济人心的现世功用。     

论艾伦·伍德对资本主义民主的批判

艾伦·伍德基于历史唯物主义对经济和政治的连续性的分析,以民主为切入点,借鉴古雅典经济民主和政治民主相统一的洞见,揭示了资本主义民主的虚假性。伍德的观点既有助于我们认识资本主义民主的本质,也有助于我们从经济民主和政治民主相统一的维度重新思考社会主义民主,建构社会主义民主制度。     

Affiliation networks with an increasing degree sequence

Affiliation network is one kind of two-mode social network with two different sets of nodes (namely, a set of actors and a set of social events) and edges representing the affiliation of the actors with the social events. Although a number of statistical models are proposed to analyze affiliation networks, the asymptotic behaviors of the estimator are still unknown or have not been properly explored. In this article, we study an affiliation model with the degree sequence as the exclusively natural sufficient statistic in the exponential family distributions. We establish the uniform consistency and asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator when the numbers of actors and events both go to infinity. Simulation studies and a real data example demonstrate our theoretical results.     

景气指标分类方法的理论研究与实证

景气指标分类是景气预测法中至关重要的环节.在以往的文献中,一般采用一种方法对备选指标进行景气分类,但其结果还存在优化的空间.文章采用四种典型的景气指标分类方法:峰谷对应法、时差相关分析法、K-L信息量法、灰色关联度指标分类法对同样的多个指标进行分类.按照初定方案对四种方法的结果进行综合分析,对结果进行优化调整,应用实例表明:四种方法的优化调整结果比单一方法的结果更合理、更有效、更具有科学性.     

刍议历史教学中史料选择三原则

史料在历史教学与研究中,作用十分巨大,须注重史料的挖掘与利用.在利用和选择史料时,尤应重视史料的典型性、鉴别性和全面性.     

Cramér Asymptotic Efficiency in a Semiparametric Model

This article is concerned with efficient estimation in a semiparametric model. We consider pseudo maximum likelihood estimation and prove that the proposed estimator is asymptotically efficient in the sense of Cramér; that is, the estimator has the smallest mean squared error.     

苏州民营快递的用户满意度调查分析

近年来,随着网络购物的迅速发展,快递行业已成为人们日常生活中的重要组成部分.面对激增的快递压力,快件的准确性以及良好服务成为社会关注的重点.运用统计分析方法对苏州民营快递用户满意度影响因子进行分析,结果表明,快递用户满意度最高的四个因素依次是“价格水平”、“服务周期”、“收费标准”和“用户体验”；最重视的四个因素依次是“配送效率”、“服务水平”、“物品安全”和“品牌建设”；而对“信息系统”、“投递服务”、“管理制度”和“网点覆盖”四个因素则感到不满意.苏州民营快递企业需要改进完善的环节主要集中在服务质量、企业品牌、用户感知和基础设施等方面.     

MATERIALISTIC VALUES IN HONG KONG AND GUANGZHOU: A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF TWO CHINESE SOCIETIES

This article integrates two competing perspectives on value orientation. Inglehart's postmaterialism thesis stresses the permanent effects of childhood experience in which economic deprivation leads to materialism in adult life. The human development perspective, in contrast, emphasizes the evolution of a person's value system as life-cycle development unfolds new circumstances and possibilities. We adopt a developmental framework to test claims from these two perspectives. On the basis of micro-level data, we compare the materialistic values of two historically and culturally different Chinese societies, Hong Kong and Guangzhou. Findings support Inglehart's assertions that childhood experience has lasting effects and that rapid social changes create birth cohort differences in materialistic concerns. But life-cycle developments, such as education, marriage, and current social status, are equally important in influencing a person's value orientation. Both perspectives see only part of the picture, and an integrated approach is needed to better understand how people construct and maintain their value system.     

金代文教政策的确立与实施

金代作为女真人建立的政权,是中国历史上一个重要时期.金代创立了独具特色的汉、女真两套并行的教育体系和科举体系.从“尊孔崇儒”和“发展女真文化”两方面对金代文教政策的研究,对于认识金代在中国教育史上占有的重要地位有着积极的意义.