全文获取类型
收费全文 | 17825篇 |
免费 | 462篇 |
国内免费 | 4篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 2615篇 |
民族学 | 84篇 |
人才学 | 3篇 |
人口学 | 1601篇 |
丛书文集 | 90篇 |
理论方法论 | 1735篇 |
综合类 | 300篇 |
社会学 | 9076篇 |
统计学 | 2787篇 |
出版年
2020年 | 235篇 |
2019年 | 360篇 |
2018年 | 386篇 |
2017年 | 522篇 |
2016年 | 399篇 |
2015年 | 296篇 |
2014年 | 394篇 |
2013年 | 2949篇 |
2012年 | 507篇 |
2011年 | 516篇 |
2010年 | 416篇 |
2009年 | 399篇 |
2008年 | 423篇 |
2007年 | 454篇 |
2006年 | 441篇 |
2005年 | 435篇 |
2004年 | 389篇 |
2003年 | 302篇 |
2002年 | 355篇 |
2001年 | 419篇 |
2000年 | 394篇 |
1999年 | 344篇 |
1998年 | 293篇 |
1997年 | 267篇 |
1996年 | 272篇 |
1995年 | 262篇 |
1994年 | 285篇 |
1993年 | 272篇 |
1992年 | 282篇 |
1991年 | 290篇 |
1990年 | 318篇 |
1989年 | 274篇 |
1988年 | 284篇 |
1987年 | 274篇 |
1986年 | 236篇 |
1985年 | 270篇 |
1984年 | 290篇 |
1983年 | 267篇 |
1982年 | 214篇 |
1981年 | 164篇 |
1980年 | 190篇 |
1979年 | 220篇 |
1978年 | 189篇 |
1977年 | 151篇 |
1976年 | 161篇 |
1975年 | 145篇 |
1974年 | 163篇 |
1973年 | 115篇 |
1972年 | 97篇 |
1971年 | 92篇 |
排序方式: 共有10000条查询结果,搜索用时 453 毫秒
841.
Objectives: Based on the premise that internalized homonegativity (IH) is a product of the incorporation of environmental heterosexism, the authors examined the influence of sociopolitical and individual influences on IH. Methods: The cross-sectional study consisted of 109,382 gay and bisexual men across 77 countries. Results: Variables at the (European) country-level that were associated with higher levels of IH included lack of laws recognizing same-sex relationships and perceived and actual negative gay-related public opinion about homosexuals. Individual-level variables significantly associated with IH were public opinion about homosexuals and exposure to gay-related victimization/discrimination. Conclusions: An improved sociopolitical climate for LGB individuals is needed. 相似文献
842.
Correlated data are commonly analyzed using models constructed using population-averaged generalized estimating equations (GEEs). The specification of a population-averaged GEE model includes selection of a structure describing the correlation of repeated measures. Accurate specification of this structure can improve efficiency, whereas the finite-sample estimation of nuisance correlation parameters can inflate the variances of regression parameter estimates. Therefore, correlation structure selection criteria should penalize, or account for, correlation parameter estimation. In this article, we compare recently proposed penalties in terms of their impacts on correlation structure selection and regression parameter estimation, and give practical considerations for data analysts. Supplementary materials for this article are available online. 相似文献
843.
K. Bertin X. Collilieux E. Lebarbier 《Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation》2017,87(6):1255-1268
We consider a semi-parametric approach to perform the joint segmentation of multiple series sharing a common functional part. We propose an iterative procedure based on Dynamic Programming for the segmentation part and Lasso estimators for the functional part. Our Lasso procedure, based on the dictionary approach, allows us to both estimate smooth functions and functions with local irregularity, which permits more flexibility than previous proposed methods. This yields to a better estimation of the functional part and improvements in the segmentation. The performance of our method is assessed using simulated data and real data from agriculture and geodetic studies. Our estimation procedure results to be a reliable tool to detect changes and to obtain an interpretable estimation of the functional part of the model in terms of known functions. 相似文献
844.
Local influence is a well-known method for identifying the influential observations in a dataset and commonly needed in a statistical analysis. In this paper, we study the local influence on the parameters of interest in the seemingly unrelated regression model with ridge estimation, when there exists collinearity among the explanatory variables. We examine two types of perturbation schemes to identify influential observations: the perturbation of variance and the perturbation of individual explanatory variables. Finally, the efficacy of our proposed method is illustrated by analyzing [13] productivity dataset. 相似文献
845.
Spatio‐temporal modelling is an increasingly popular topic in Statistics. Our paper contributes to this line of research by developing the theory, simulation and inference for a spatio‐temporal Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process. We conduct detailed simulation studies and demonstrate the practical relevance of these processes in an empirical study of radiation anomaly data. Finally, we describe how predictions can be carried out in the Gaussian setting. 相似文献
846.
In this paper, we introduce an extension of the generalized exponential (GE) distribution, making it more robust against possible influential observations. The new model is defined as the quotient between a GE random variable and a beta-distributed random variable with one unknown parameter. The resulting distribution is a distribution with greater kurtosis than the GE distribution. Probability properties of the distribution such as moments and asymmetry and kurtosis are studied. Likewise, statistical properties are investigated using the method of moments and the maximum likelihood approach. Two real data analyses are reported illustrating better performance of the new model over the GE model. 相似文献
847.
We introduce a new family of distributions suitable for fitting positive data sets with high kurtosis which is called the Slashed Generalized Rayleigh Distribution. This distribution arises as the quotient of two independent random variables, one being a generalized Rayleigh distribution in the numerator and the other a power of the uniform distribution in the denominator. We present properties and carry out estimation of the model parameters by moment and maximum likelihood (ML) methods. Finally, we conduct a small simulation study to evaluate the performance of ML estimators and analyze real data sets to illustrate the usefulness of the new model. 相似文献
848.
In this article, we introduce a class of tests, using a martingale approach, for testing independence of failure time and cause of failure for competing risks data. Asymptotic distribution of the proposed test statistic is derived. The procedure is illustrated with a real-life data. A simulation study is carried out to assess the level and power of the test. 相似文献
849.
It is well known that in finance variances and covariances of asset returns move together over time. Recently, much interest has been aroused by an approach involving the use of the realized covariance (RCOV) matrix constructed from high-frequency returns as the ex-post realization of the covariance matrix of low-frequency returns. For the analysis of dynamics of RCOV matrices, we propose the generalized conditional autoregressive Wishart (GCAW) model. Both the noncentrality matrix and scale matrix of the Wishart distribution are driven by the lagged values of RCOV matrices, and represent two different sources of dynamics, respectively. The GCAW is a generalization of the existing models, and accounts for symmetry and positive definiteness of RCOV matrices without imposing any parametric restriction. Some important properties such as conditional moments, unconditional moments, and stationarity are discussed. Empirical examples including sequences of daily RCOV matrices from the New York Stock Exchange illustrate that our model outperforms the existing models in terms of model fitting and forecasting. 相似文献
850.