中国货币供给的内生性与货币政策分析

从我国经济的短缺、过剩或转轨形态来看 ,我国的货币供给呈现很强的内生性 ,因此 ,货币政策应采取需求性的货币调控模式。相应地 ,货币政策的中介指标应选择利率而不是单纯的货币供应量。同时 ,利率改革的方向也不能单纯地瞄准完全的市场化利率体系 ,而应该是建立一种对利率进行间接调控的利率体系     

日本现代化与中国

日本现代化的成功有诸多因素,中国是其中的一个重要因素。受古代中国文化的辐射和影响,日本形成了对于外来文化的心理和态度:主动学习,全面引进;选择、改造,自成体系。这为日本吸收西方文化提供了认识的基础和思维的方法。近代中国的失败对日本起了警世作用,中国一方面成为日本面对西方列强侵略的屏障,另一方面又成为日本侵略的对象,对中国的掠夺促进了日本资本主义的发展。     

Simple detection of outlying short time series

Sets of relatively short time series arise in many situations. One aspect of their analysis may be the detection of outlying series. We examine the performance of standard normal outlier tests applied to the means, or to simple functions of the means, of AR(1) series, not necessarily of equal lengths. Although unequal lengths of series implies that the means have unequal variances, that are only known approximately, it is shown that nominal significance levels hold good under most circumstances. Thus a standard outlier test can usefully be applied, avoiding the complication of estimating the time series' parameters. The test's power is affected by unequal lengths, being higher when the slippage occurs in one of the longer series     

Inference for the measurement of poverty in the presence of a stochastic weighting variable

Empirical applications of poverty measurement often have to deal with a stochastic weighting variable such as household size. Within the framework of a bivariate distribution function defined over income and weight, I derive the limiting distributions of the decomposable poverty measures and of the ordinates of stochastic dominance curves. The poverty line is allowed to depend on the income distribution. It is shown how the results can be used to test hypotheses concerning changes in poverty. The inference procedures are briefly illustrated using Belgian data. An erratum to this article can be found at     

Randomized response techniques for complex survey designs

Singh et al. ([13]) pointed out that the Randomized response (RR) technique proposed by Moors ([9]) is not desirable because it fails to protect the confidentiality of the respondents and they provided two alternative strategies free from the above drawback but limited to SRSWOR sampling only. In this paper, generalization of one of the strategies is provided for complex survey designs, wider class of estimators and for quantitative characteristics. Relative efficiency of the modified strategy is tested through empirical investigations. An erratum to this article is available at .     

《汉语大字典》书证疏误举例

《汉语大字典》在义项的书证方面存在一些疏误,内容涉及书证欠妥、书证有误、引文失误、一例两用等问题。     

教师人格研究及其对新课程教师培训的启示

教师人格作为教师影响力的重要构成因素之一,受到我国教育学和心理学研究者的广泛关注.根据近二十年来我国教师人格研究的文献,从优秀教师的典型人格特征、影响教师人格形成和发展的因素、教师人格与学生发展的关系以及教师人格与自身心理健康四个方面进行了归纳和总结.在此基础上提出,聘任和选拔教师应考虑其人格特征;教师培训既要注重专业能力的提高、专业技能的发展,更要重视教师优良人格特征的塑造和培育;注重教师培训的生态效应,强调行动研究,增强培训活动的人格影响力.     

Quadratic estimators of covariance components in a multivariate mixed linear model

It is known that the Henderson Method III (Biometrics 9:226–252, 1953) is of special interest for the mixed linear models because the estimators of the variance components are unaffected by the parameters of the fixed factor (or factors). This article deals with generalizations and minor extensions of the results obtained for the univariate linear models. A MANOVA mixed model is presented in a convenient form and the covariance components estimators are given on finite dimensional linear spaces. The results use both the usual parametric representations and the coordinate-free approach of Kruskal (Ann Math Statist 39:70–75, 1968) and Eaton (Ann Math Statist 41:528–538, 1970). The normal equations are generalized and it is given a necessary and sufficient condition for the existence of quadratic unbiased estimators for covariance components in the considered model.