Three‐Stage Decision‐Making Model under Restricted Conditions for Emergency Response to Ships Not under Control

A ship that is not under control (NUC) is a typical incident that poses serious problems when in confined waters close to shore. The emergency response to NUC ships is to select the best risk control options, which is a challenge in restricted conditions (e.g., time limitation, resource constraint, and information asymmetry), particularly in inland waterway transportation. To enable a quick and effective response, this article develops a three‐stage decision‐making framework for NUC ship handling. The core of this method is (1) to propose feasible options for each involved entity (e.g., maritime safety administration, NUC ship, and ships passing by) under resource constraint in the first stage, (2) to select the most feasible options by comparing the similarity of the new case and existing cases in the second stage, and (3) to make decisions considering the cooperation between the involved organizations by using a developed Bayesian network in the third stage. Consequently, this work provides a useful tool to achieve well‐organized management of NUC ships.     

部分省市国有创投企业实地调研与启示

上海国有创投企业与深圳、苏州、广东等创投公司基本上同时起步,但近年来实力差距拉大。碉研认为,上海应通过集团化发展整合现有的国有创投企业,建立上海科技金融集团,并通过机制创新,解决国资管理与市场化经营的冲突问题,使上海国有创投业成为服务上海科技创新战略、新兴产业发展和转变经济发展方式的有力抓手。     

双线自闭区段客货列车速度比对扣除系数的影响分析

目前扣除系数的计算方法主要为分析法与模拟法，扣除系数的常见影响因素有客货列车速度比、区段均衡度、追踪间隔时分等。通过模拟法进行不同客货列车速度比下的运行图铺画，得出客货列车速度比对扣除系数的影响规律分析。实验表明：随着客货速度比的增加，扣除系数将逐渐变大，据此建议在相关双线客货混跑区段，选取合适的客货速度比，以减小对运行图通过能力的影响     

Ambidextrous Organizational Culture,Contextual Ambidexterity and New Product Innovation: A Comparative Study of UK and Chinese High‐tech Firms

Contextual ambidexterity is of paramount importance for new product innovation and organizational success, particularly in high‐tech firms operating in a dynamic environment. Whilst it is recognized that contextual ambidexterity is grounded in organizational culture, existing research has not crystallized what kind of organizational culture enables contextual ambidexterity and consequently new product innovation. In this paper, drawing on data from 150 UK and 242 Chinese high‐tech firms, we conceptualize ambidextrous organizational culture as a higher‐order construct consisting of organizational diversity and shared vision, and examine its impacts on contextual ambidexterity and consequently on new product innovation outcomes. Using structural equation modelling, we find significant relationships between ambidextrous organizational culture, contextual ambidexterity and new product innovation outcomes; contextual ambidexterity mediates the relationship between ambidextrous organizational culture and new product innovation outcomes. Our findings also suggest that the above relationships are robust in the UK–China comparative research context, and that contextual ambidexterity and new product innovation outcomes are dependent on business unit level heterogeneity (i.e. ambidextrous organizational culture and research and development strength) rather than industry or cross‐cultural differences.     

Construction of Fuzzy Control Charts Based on Weighted Possibilistic Mean

The problem of constructing control charts for fuzzy data has been considered in literature. The proposed transformation approaches and direct fuzzy approaches have their advantages and disadvantages. The representative values charts based on transformation methods are often recommended in practical application. For representing a fuzzy set by a crisp value, the weight of importance of the members assigned with some membership levels in a fuzzy set should be considered, and the possibility theory can be employed to deal with such problem. In this article, we propose to employ the weighted possibilistic mean (WPM), weighted interval valued possibilistic mean (WIVPM) of fuzzy number as a sort of representative values for the fuzzy attribute data, and establish new fuzzy control charts with WPM and WIVPM. The performance of the charts is compared to the existing fuzzy charts with a fuzzy c-chart example via newly defined average number of inspection for variation of control state.     

Resilience,Leadership and Work Engagement: The Mediating Role of Positive Affect

This study examines the influence of resilience and transformational leadership on work engagement, and it investigates the mediating effect of positive affect. A total of 422 employees at a large IT company participated the survey. Participants completed established measures of resilience, transformational leadership, positive affect, and work engagement. The results indicate that resilience and transformational leadership are positively related to work engagement. Structural equation modeling analysis shows that positive affect partially mediates the relationships between resilience, transformational leadership, and work engagement. Theoretical contributions, practical implications, and future research directions are discussed.     

Local composite quantile regression estimation of time-varying parameter vector for multidimensional time-inhomogeneous diffusion models

This paper is dedicated to the study of the composite quantile regression (CQR) estimations of time-varying parameter vectors for multidimensional diffusion models. Based on the local linear fitting for parameter vectors, we propose the local linear CQR estimations of the drift parameter vectors, and verify their asymptotic biases, asymptotic variances and asymptotic normality. Moreover, we discuss the asymptotic relative efficiency (ARE) of the local linear CQR estimations with respect to the local linear least-squares estimations. We obtain that the local estimations that we proposed are much more efficient than the local linear least-squares estimations. Simulation studies are constructed to show the performance of the estimations proposed.     

中国明代白银货币政策与商品竞争力分析

16世纪中叶,由于新航路的开辟,世界市场形成,白银成为世界货币。中国由于是白银贫矿国,在明代之前一直实施铜铸币和纸币政策,只是在明代中叶之后对白银货币实施了放任的政策。由于中国人多地少,劳动力十分廉价,这样以白银为计价单位所表示的商品价格极为低廉。欧洲由于人均土地资源高于中国,人均薪资也高于中国,而且白银供应极为充沛,在一般日用品价格上,远远高于中国。因而,在一般商品价格竞争上,总体不敌中国。当时美洲和日本盛产白银,是世界白银的价格洼地,欧洲又实施了较为自由的贸易政策。这样控制白银的欧洲、日本和掌握世界最低廉商品的中国,相互之间都有极为旺盛的需求,于是,世界市场很快就形成了美洲、日本白银与中国商品交换的格局。     

当前我国社会组织培育和发展中的问题与对策

努力培育和发展社会组织,尽快形成党委领导、政府负责、社会协同、公众参与的公共服务和公共管理新格局,以便提供更多更好的公共服务和公共物品,使人民群众能够在更高水平上实现安居乐业,是我们面临的新历史使命.归纳当前我国社会组织培育和发展工作中形成的新认识,揭示我国社会组织培育和发展中现存的主要问题并探讨解决问题的对策,可为我国社会组织培育和发展工作的有效展开提供借鉴.     

众语喧哗时代的平民化“交响乐”——解读电影《辛亥革命》

为纪念辛亥革命100周年而拍摄的电影《辛亥革命》,—改传统主旋律电影的套路,意识形态日趋淡化,叙事视角以小见大,审美权重多元均衡。这表明,我国主旋律电影其宏观意识形态和历史观点一直呈现出进步的态势。