Review Essay: On the Trail of Tribal Sociology

Sociological Forum -     

Charismatic leadership in business organizations: Some neglected issues

The article reviews some of the recent literature on charismatic leadership and notes that there has been a tendency for research and theorizing to emphasize a number of issues examined by Weber to the relative exclusion of others. Those areas that have been focused upon, have tended to reflect the “applied” emphasis in much research in the field of leadership in organizations. The article takes two areas that were central to Weber's work—routinization of charisma and loss of charisma—to demonstrate that these topics can illuminate and add to our understanding of the operation of charismatic leadership in business and other formal organizations.     

350keV Yb~＋注入Si（100）的射程分布和晶格损伤研究

用３５０ｋｅＶＹｂ~＋在室温下注入了单晶硅，并用卢瑟福背散射／沟道技术测量了注入离子在硅中的射程分布谱和晶格损伤谱。用表面能量近似和平均能量近似从背散射谱上计算了射程深度和射程分布的标准偏差。实验和计算结果表明，大部分注入离子都处于非替位位置。表面能量近似方法已能给出相当理想的计算精度，它与更精确的平均能量近似所得出的结果相差甚微。晶体与非晶体界面附近的损伤并由Ｙｂ~＋直接产生，它是一种次级级联碰撞效应。     

ON THE MACROFOUNDATIONS OF MICROSOCIOLOGY:

Just as Collins (1981) demonstrates that microsociological presuppositions elucidate macrosociology, the reverse holds as well. Fundamental axioms are the existence of (1) a set of constraints that channel individual action and expectations and (2) obdurate, exterior realities of supraindividual entities. Expanding on these presuppositions this article proposes a set of issues that collectively help provide a macrosociological basis for interpretive microsociology: the physical limits of the built environment, temporal and spatial effects, institutional linkages, the obdurate reality of tradition, and beliefs in organizational primacy. These underline the often unrecognized centrality and legitimacy of macrosociological analysis for the development of microsociology.     

Bayesian model selection and parameter estimation for possibly asymmetric and non-stationary time series using a reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo approach

A Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach, called a reversible jump MCMC, is employed in model selection and parameter estimation for possibly non-stationary and non-linear time series data. The non-linear structure is modelled by the asymmetric momentum threshold autoregressive process (MTAR) of Enders & Granger (1998) or by the asymmetric self-exciting threshold autoregressive process (SETAR) of Tong (1990). The non-stationary and non-linear feature is represented by the MTAR (or SETAR) model in which one ( 𝜌 1 ) of the AR coefficients is greater than one, and the other ( 𝜌 2 ) is smaller than one. The other non-stationary and linear, stationary and nonlinear, and stationary and linear features, represented respectively by ( 𝜌 1 = 𝜌 2 = 1 ), ( 𝜌 1 p 𝜌 2 < 1 ) and ( 𝜌 1 = 𝜌 2 < 1 ), are also considered as possible models. The reversible jump MCMC provides estimates of posterior probabilities for these four different models as well as estimates of the AR coefficients 𝜌 1 and 𝜌 2 . The proposed method is illustrated by analysing six series of US interest rates in terms of model selection, parameter estimation, and forecasting.     

论江泽民人的全面发展思想

江泽民同志继承马克思主义人的全面发展思想 ,在继承的基础上创新 ,在创新的基础上发展 ,表现了马克思主义与时俱进的理论品质和科学态度。人的全面发展是共产主义社会理想目标 ,同时也是建设社会主义新社会的本质要求。它与社会生产力、经济文化的发展目标一致 ,互为前提和基础 ,是社会主义新型文明的必由之路。提高全民族的思想道德素质和科学文化素质是人的全面发展的首要任务 ;实现人们思想和精神生活的全面发展 ,不断满足人们的物质精神文化生活的需要是党始终代表中国最广大人民根本利益的归宿     

股票市场状态的动力学过程分析

就股票市场呈现的变化归纳为四种状态,即随机游走态、扩散漂移态、混沌震荡态、连贯平稳态,并对每一状态给出了动力学过程的数学描述,研究了各种"过程"下方程的解,以及各种状态下对股市价格带来的系统效应.从股市的微观结构出发,探讨了四种状态下的股市特征表现及投资者的操作策略,为实时地预测股市发展提供了辅助决策.     

多项式组最大公因子的求法

介绍了一种P[x]上的多项式组最大公因子的求法 .     

兰溪童公山村轿夫对其主顾依附关系特点考

通过就兰溪童公山村轿夫对其主顾依附关系的实证分析 ,不仅证明兰溪历史上曾有过被称为“轿夫”的堕民 ,也给历史留下一个贱民对其主顾是如何依附的实证 ,还对贱民存在的根本原因作了初步探讨。笔者认为至少该地贱民的存在是社会原因造成的 ,学者认同的“政治民族压迫说”是不适用的     

A Semi-Parametric Quantile Function Estimator for Use in Bootstrap Estimation Procedures

In this note we develop a new quantile function estimator called the tail extrapolation quantile function estimator. The estimator behaves asymptotically exactly the same as the standard linear interpolation estimator. For finite samples there is small correction towards estimating the extreme quantiles. We illustrate that by employing this new estimator we can greatly improve the coverage probabilities of the standard bootstrap percentile confidence intervals. The method does not reqiure complicated calculations and hence it should appeal to the statistical practitioner.