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ABSTRACT

Games can be a powerful tool for learning about statistical methodology. Effective game design involves a fine balance between caricature and realism, to simultaneously illustrate salient concepts in a controlled setting and serve as a testament to real-world applicability. Striking that balance is particularly challenging in response surface and design domains, where real-world scenarios often play out over long time scales, during which theories are revised, model and inferential techniques are improved, and knowledge is updated. Here, I present a game, borrowing liberally from one first played over 40 years ago, which attempts to achieve that balance while reinforcing a cascade of topics in modern nonparametric response surfaces, sequential design, and optimization. The game embeds a blackbox simulation within a shiny app whose interface is designed to simulate a realistic information–availability setting, while offering a stimulating, competitive environment wherein students can try out new methodology, and ultimately appreciate its power and limitations. Interface, rules, timing with course material, and evaluation are described, along with a “case study” involving a cohort of students at Virginia Tech. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.  相似文献   
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都市人类学委员会(Commission on Urban Anthropology,简称 CUA)在1983年于温哥华召开的第11届国际人类学与民族学大会(International Congress of Anthropological and Ethnological Sciences,简称ICAES)上正式成立.CUA的成立是人们长久以来所认识到的"将涉足都市研究并激发了这一领域的进一步研究的国际学者聚集到一起"的需要的成功结果.自正式创建以来,委员会的主要目标是:(1)组织学术会议与研讨会;(2)建设一个国际网络,以促进世界范围内的都市人类学合作.  相似文献   
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Many research proposals involve collecting multiple sources of information from a set of common samples, with the goal of performing an integrative analysis describing the associations between sources. We propose a method that characterizes the dominant modes of co-variation between the variables in two datasets while simultaneously performing variable selection. Our method relies on a sparse, low rank approximation of a matrix containing pairwise measures of association between the two sets of variables. We show that the proposed method shares a close connection with another group of methods for integrative data analysis – sparse canonical correlation analysis (CCA). Under some assumptions, the proposed method and sparse CCA aim to select the same subsets of variables. We show through simulation that the proposed method can achieve better variable selection accuracies than two state-of-the-art sparse CCA algorithms. Empirically, we demonstrate through the analysis of DNA methylation and gene expression data that the proposed method selects variables that have as high or higher canonical correlation than the variables selected by sparse CCA methods, which is a rather surprising finding given that objective function of the proposed method does not actually maximize the canonical correlation.  相似文献   
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The paper proposes a joint mixture model to model non-ignorable drop-out in longitudinal cohort studies of mental health outcomes. The model combines a (non)-linear growth curve model for the time-dependent outcomes and a discrete-time survival model for the drop-out with random effects shared by the two sub-models. The mixture part of the model takes into account population heterogeneity by accounting for latent subgroups of the shared effects that may lead to different patterns for the growth and the drop-out tendency. A simulation study shows that the joint mixture model provides greater precision in estimating the average slope and covariance matrix of random effects. We illustrate its benefits with data from a longitudinal cohort study that characterizes depression symptoms over time yet is hindered by non-trivial participant drop-out.KEYWORDS: Latent growth curve, MNAR drop-out, survival analysis, finite mixture model, mental health  相似文献   
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Not all elderly people need special care. This review refers to the dependent minority and to the services they need. Brief mention is made of the history of services which began with charitable relief by voluntary action, and the current relationship between government bodies and voluntary agencies is outlined. It is maintained that division of responsibility for the various types of care should be based on assessment of individual needs, decentralization of control, together with evaluation of the resources of the agencies concerned.  相似文献   
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