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311.
The estimation of data transformation is very useful to yield response variables satisfying closely a normal linear model. Generalized linear models enable the fitting of models to a wide range of data types. These models are based on exponential dispersion models. We propose a new class of transformed generalized linear models to extend the Box and Cox models and the generalized linear models. We use the generalized linear model framework to fit these models and discuss maximum likelihood estimation and inference. We give a simple formula to estimate the parameter that index the transformation of the response variable for a subclass of models. We also give a simple formula to estimate the rth moment of the original dependent variable. We explore the possibility of using these models to time series data to extend the generalized autoregressive moving average models discussed by Benjamin et al. [Generalized autoregressive moving average models. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 98, 214–223]. The usefulness of these models is illustrated in a simulation study and in applications to three real data sets. 相似文献
312.
Yaling Yin Christine E. Soteros Miķelis G. Bickis 《Journal of statistical planning and inference》2009
Traditional multiple hypothesis testing procedures fix an error rate and determine the corresponding rejection region. In 2002 Storey proposed a fixed rejection region procedure and showed numerically that it can gain more power than the fixed error rate procedure of Benjamini and Hochberg while controlling the same false discovery rate (FDR). In this paper it is proved that when the number of alternatives is small compared to the total number of hypotheses, Storey's method can be less powerful than that of Benjamini and Hochberg. Moreover, the two procedures are compared by setting them to produce the same FDR. The difference in power between Storey's procedure and that of Benjamini and Hochberg is near zero when the distance between the null and alternative distributions is large, but Benjamini and Hochberg's procedure becomes more powerful as the distance decreases. It is shown that modifying the Benjamini and Hochberg procedure to incorporate an estimate of the proportion of true null hypotheses as proposed by Black gives a procedure with superior power. 相似文献
313.
Julian P. T. Higgins Simon G. Thompson David J. Spiegelhalter 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, (Statistics in Society)》2009,172(1):137-159
Summary. Meta-analysis in the presence of unexplained heterogeneity is frequently undertaken by using a random-effects model, in which the effects underlying different studies are assumed to be drawn from a normal distribution. Here we discuss the justification and interpretation of such models, by addressing in turn the aims of estimation, prediction and hypothesis testing. A particular issue that we consider is the distinction between inference on the mean of the random-effects distribution and inference on the whole distribution. We suggest that random-effects meta-analyses as currently conducted often fail to provide the key results, and we investigate the extent to which distribution-free, classical and Bayesian approaches can provide satisfactory methods. We conclude that the Bayesian approach has the advantage of naturally allowing for full uncertainty, especially for prediction. However, it is not without problems, including computational intensity and sensitivity to a priori judgements. We propose a simple prediction interval for classical meta-analysis and offer extensions to standard practice of Bayesian meta-analysis, making use of an example of studies of 'set shifting' ability in people with eating disorders. 相似文献
314.
Using relative utility curves to evaluate risk prediction 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Stuart G. Baker Nancy R. Cook rew Vickers Barnett S. Kramer 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, (Statistics in Society)》2009,172(4):729-748
Summary. Because many medical decisions are based on risk prediction models that are constructed from medical history and results of tests, the evaluation of these prediction models is important. This paper makes five contributions to this evaluation: the relative utility curve which gauges the potential for better prediction in terms of utilities, without the need for a reference level for one utility, while providing a sensitivity analysis for misspecification of utilities, the relevant region, which is the set of values of prediction performance that are consistent with the recommended treatment status in the absence of prediction, the test threshold, which is the minimum number of tests that would be traded for a true positive prediction in order for the expected utility to be non-negative, the evaluation of two-stage predictions that reduce test costs and connections between various measures of performance of prediction. An application involving the risk of cardiovascular disease is discussed. 相似文献
315.
The reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampler (Green in Biometrika 82:711–732, 1995) has become an invaluable device for Bayesian practitioners. However, the primary difficulty with the sampler lies with the
efficient construction of transitions between competing models of possibly differing dimensionality and interpretation. We
propose the use of a marginal density estimator to construct between-model proposal distributions. This provides both a step
towards black-box simulation for reversible jump samplers, and a tool to examine the utility of common between-model mapping
strategies. We compare the performance of our approach to well established alternatives in both time series and mixture model
examples. 相似文献
316.
Given that savings behaviour and worker productivity have strong life-cycle components and given that demographic profiles
vary across countries, population age structure should be linked to differences in levels of economic development. In this
paper, we measure the economic importance of age structure variation for the global economy. We find that demographic maturation
has been associated with nearly half of the evolution of global per capita GDP since 1960. We also find that age structure
differences can account for just over half of the variation in worldwide per capita GDP (i.e. the lack of sigma convergence)
observed since 1960.
相似文献
Pablo Hernández de Cos (Corresponding author)Email: |
317.
Dorothea Jansen Richard Heidler Regina von Görtz 《KZfSS K?lner Zeitschrift für Soziologie und Sozialpsychologie》2009,61(3):463-467
The article “Emergence of an academic elite? The impact of universities’ size and reputation on research funding” by Katrin Auspurg, Thomas Hinz and Jürgen Güdler (volume 4/2008 of this Journal) discusses critically Richard Münch’s thesis of monopolistic tendencies in the German science system. Unfortunately the authors focus in their analysis on an improper object, the “Individual grants programme” (Normalverfahren) of the German Research Foundation (DFG). However, problematic developments for the German science system will rather result from the “Coordinated grants programmes” (koordinierte Programme), in particular the excellence initiative. Furthermore the authors fail to connect their analysis to the broader context of the functions and implications of the increasing role of third party funding in the German science system. 相似文献
318.
Katrin Auspurg Thomas Hinz Jürgen Güdler 《KZfSS K?lner Zeitschrift für Soziologie und Sozialpsychologie》2009,61(3):469-474
We reply to the critical comments of Richard Münch and the author group Jansen, Heidler and von Goetz on our article “Emergence of an Academic Elite? The Impact of Universities’ Size and Reputation on Research Funding” published in this journal. After reviewing some other sociologists’ statements on Münch’s thesis about the academic elite we reinforce the gain of our empirical analyses of hypotheses of the sociology of science in general, on the Matthew-Effect, and on trends to a possible cartelization and monopolization in the German science system. The main critic of unsuited data (we used applications for single grants submitted to the German Research Foundation) does not adequately consider the postulated scope of the investigated theses and our analyses do not aim at a general evaluation of the “Initative of Excellence”. 相似文献
319.
David G. Phillips 《Clinical Social Work Journal》2009,37(1):1-6
As clinical social work developed in America it was highly influenced by the concepts and techniques of psychoanalysis and
many of its practitioners became interested in seeking psychoanalytic training. More and more psychoanalysts are now coming
from a background in clinical social work due to the development of a network of interdisciplinary training institutes and
the opening of the Institutes of the American Psychoanalytic Association to non-medical candidates. This special issue considers
how psychoanalysis may be affected as more of its practitioners and contributors come from a background in clinical social
work. This introduction reviews the history of the development of clinical social work and outlines the issues related to
“lay analysis” in this country.
相似文献
David G. PhillipsEmail: |
320.
Thomas G. Koch 《Journal of Labor Research》2009,30(4):340-349
Employer-provided insurance is the leading source of medical insurance for non-elderly Americans. However, it leaves many
without coverage. Evidence suggests that the non-group insurance market does a poor job of filling in these gaps, for those
with both short- and long-term uninsurance. It does so for all income and age groups, as well as for both genders. It does
fill some of the gaps in employer-provided coverage for those with middle and high incomes, though very incompletely. 相似文献