Functional connectivity in urban landscapes promoted by <Emphasis Type="Italic">Ramphastos toco</Emphasis> (Toco Toucan) and its implications for policy making

The scarcity of green areas in urban landscapes hinders connectivity among sites reducing the flux of organisms and seed dispersal. Ramphastos toco is an effective plant disperser in tropical landscapes, playing an important role in conserving plant connectivity. In this study we combined two methods of landscape connectivity analysis, in a way not yet explored, to assess the potential contribution of Ramphastos toco to enhancing connectivity among urban vegetation patches. We used spatial modeling techniques to evaluate least cost routes, or those that facilitate bird movement through green urban areas, in Belo Horizonte, a city in Southeast Brazil. We also assessed the relative importance of forest patches for conserving both bird and seed dispersal fluxes using the integral index of connectivity. The resulting least cost route of greater accessibility for the species included in its course an important forest patch under environmental licensing for the construction of a residential condominium. The number of green urban areas covered by forest, of highest habitat quality for the species, summed to 155 patches. Of this total only 5.2% were relevant for regional connectivity, while the four most important patches are targeted by the city’s expansion plans. Ramphastos toco is an effective connector for tropical green urban areas given its adaptability, wide range of movement and seed dispersal effectiveness. We emphasize the need for incorporating ecological knowledge and the prioritization of green areas into city planning, since current expansion projects jeopardize forest patches that are crucial to the functional connectivity of the urban landscape.     

The Topp–Leone odd log-logistic family of distributions

We introduce a new class of continuous distributions named the Topp–Leone odd log-logistic family, which extends the one-parameter distribution pioneered by Topp and Leone [A family of J-shaped frequency functions. J Amer Statist Assoc. 1955;50:209–219]. We study some of its mathematical properties and describe two special cases. Further, we propose a regression model based on the new Topp–Leone odd log-logistic Weibull distribution. The usefulness and flexibility of the proposed family are illustrated by means of three real data sets.     

A new destructive Poisson odd log-logistic generalized half-normal cure rate model

We propose a new cure rate survival model by assuming that the initial number of competing causes of the event of interest follows a Poisson distribution and the time to event has the odd log-logistic generalized half-normal distribution. This survival model describes a realistic interpretation for the biological mechanism of the event of interest. We estimate the model parameters using maximum likelihood. For different sample sizes, various simulation scenarios are performed. We propose the diagnostics and residual analysis to verify the model assumptions. The potentiality of the new cure rate model is illustrated by means of a real data.     

A new useful three-parameter extension of the exponential distribution

A three-parameter extension of the exponential distribution is introduced and studied in this paper. The new distribution is quite flexible and can be used effectively in modelling survival data, reliability problems, fatigue life studies and hydrological data. It can have constant, decreasing, increasing, upside-down bathtub (unimodal), bathtub-shaped and decreasing–increasing–decreasing hazard rate functions. We provide a comprehensive account of the mathematical properties of the new distribution and various structural quantities are derived. We discuss maximum likelihood estimation of the model parameters for complete sample and for censored sample. An empirical application of the new model to real data is presented for illustrative purposes. We hope that the new distribution will serve as an alternative model to other models available in the literature for modelling real data in many areas.     

The beta exponentiated Weibull distribution

The Weibull distribution is one of the most important distributions in reliability. For the first time, we introduce the beta exponentiated Weibull distribution which extends recent models by Lee et al. [Beta-Weibull distribution: some properties and applications to censored data, J. Mod. Appl. Statist. Meth. 6 (2007), pp. 173–186] and Barreto-Souza et al. [The beta generalized exponential distribution, J. Statist. Comput. Simul. 80 (2010), pp. 159–172]. The new distribution is an important competitive model to the Weibull, exponentiated exponential, exponentiated Weibull, beta exponential and beta Weibull distributions since it contains all these models as special cases. We demonstrate that the density of the new distribution can be expressed as a linear combination of Weibull densities. We provide the moments and two closed-form expressions for the moment-generating function. Explicit expressions are derived for the mean deviations, Bonferroni and Lorenz curves, reliability and entropies. The density of the order statistics can also be expressed as a linear combination of Weibull densities. We obtain the moments of the order statistics. The expected information matrix is derived. We define a log-beta exponentiated Weibull regression model to analyse censored data. The estimation of the parameters is approached by the method of maximum likelihood. The usefulness of the new distribution to analyse positive data is illustrated in two real data sets.     

A simple formula based on quantiles for the moments of beta generalized distributions

In this article, we derive explicit expansions for the moments of beta generalized distributions from power series expansions for the quantile functions of the baseline distributions. We apply our formula to the beta normal, beta Student t, beta gamma and beta beta generalized distributions. We propose a simple way to express the quantile function of any beta generalized distribution as a power series expansion with known coefficients.     

The Poisson Birnbaum–Saunders model with long-term survivors

In this paper, we propose a cure rate survival model by assuming that the number of competing causes of the event of interest follows the Poisson distribution and the time to event has the Birnbaum–Saunders (BS) distribution. We define the Poisson BS distribution and provide two useful representations for its density function which facilitate to obtain some mathematical properties. Two closed-form expressions for the moments of the new distribution are given. We estimate the parameters of the model with cure rate using maximum likelihood. For different parameter settings, sample sizes and censoring percentages, several simulations are performed. We derive the appropriate matrices for assessing local influence on the parameter estimates under different perturbation schemes and present some ways to perform a global influence study. We analyse a real data set from the medical area.     

On the Additive Weibull Distribution

We derive explicit expressions for the moments, incomplete moments, quantile function and generating function of the additive Weibull model pioneered by Xie and Lai (1995 Xie, M., Lai, C.D. (1995). Reliability analysis using an additive Weibull model with bathtub-shaped failure rate function. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Safety 52:87–93.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), which is a quite flexible distribution for fitting lifetime data with bathtub-shaped failure rate function. In addition, we estimate the model parameters by maximum likelihood and determine the observed information matrix. The flexibility of the additive Weibull distribution is illustrated by means of one application to real data.     

Bias corrected estimates in multivariate student t regression models

The t distribution has proved to be a useful alternative to the normal distribution especially When robust estimation is desired. We consider the multivariate nonlinear Student-t regression model and show that the biased of the estimates of the regression coefficients can be computed from an auxiliary generalized linear regression. We give a formula for the biases of the estimates of the parameters in the scale matrix, which also can be computed by means of a generalized linear regression. We briefly discuss some important special cases and present simulation results which indicate that our bias-corrected estimates outperform the uncorrected ones in small samples.     

The Exponentiated G Poisson Model

We study a new family of distributions defined by the minimum of the Poisson random number of independent identically distributed random variables having a general exponentiated G distribution. Some mathematical properties of the new family including ordinary and incomplete moments, quantile and generating functions, mean deviations, order statistics and their moments, reliability, and Shannon entropy are derived. Maximum likelihood estimation of the model parameters is investigated. Two special models of the new family are discussed. We perform an application to a real data set to show the potentiality of the proposed family.