城市化、高等教育扩张对地区收入差距的影响 ——基于中国省级面板数据的实证研究

利用2002—2014年全国31个省市的面板数据考察城市化、高等教育扩张对地区收入差距的影响.结果显示:从全国层面来看,城市化对缩小地区间收入差距具有显著的消极作用,当地区城市化水平提高时,地区收入差距扩大;高等教育扩张对缩小地区收入差距具有显著的正向作用.从不同地区结果来看,东部地区城市化水平普遍较高,对地区收入差距的影响并不显著,而高等教育扩张对地区收入差距具有显著的负向作用.中部地区的结果与东部地区的结果基本一致.相比于东中部地区,西部地区城市化水平较低,其水平的提高不利于地区间收入差距的缩小,而高等教育扩张的影响并不显著.最后从合理推进城市化和高等教育扩张两个角度提出四个政策性建议.     

新出秦、燕陶文补释

《临潼新丰——战国秦汉墓葬考古发掘报告》著录一批秦陶文,共90方.《燕下都新出土文物集拓》著录了一批燕陶文.这些新的陶文材料,弥足珍贵.其中个别陶文的释文存在一些问题,通过对其补释,提出了新的看法.     

吴晓东神话学研究评述

吴晓东从事神话学研究二十多年,纵观其整个研究历程,其研究对象不断扩展,对蚩尤神话的研究层层深入,对盘瓠神话研究革故鼎新,同时以考据为主的研究特点贯穿始终。他坚持用语言学的理论方法进行研究,同时不排斥用其他方法进行补充研究。其不拘定论、大胆质疑、推陈出新、多有创获,一直在学术研究中苦心孤诣,其研究成果引起学界关注。     

The Chinese Road in the Light of Historical Continuity

The Chinese road has deep historical roots. Its most striking feature is that it is marked by historical continuity rather than rupture, and the main force behind this continuity is its intrinsic dynamism and vitality. Unlike the paradigm of Eurocentrism or “Discovering History in China,” the comparative analytical paradigm discovers China through long-term comparisons with corresponding countries in the same time and space in an effort to find positive elements in the history of the Chinese road and to refute the long prevalent theory of Chinese stagnation. Seen over the course of world history, the impetus for the creation of the world’s most brilliant agrarian civilization was endogenous. This impetus was not a momentary “explosive force” but a sustainable institutional drive whose main constituents were the independent farming household, endogenous government capacity and adaptive national governance. In addition to the main theme of “permanent change,” Chinese development had a secondary theme of “cyclical change” which cannot be ignored. The roots of Chinese development are buried deep in the genes of this agrarian nation in the form of sticky institutions, bureaucratic inertia, arbitrary power, etc. Historical continuity provided a foundation for China’s creative revolution and development in modern times, ultimately laying down a socialist development road with Chinese characteristics, although this remains an unfinished relay process.     

提高辅导员工作信息化实践探索

本文在分析辅导员信息素养基础上,对提高辅导员工作信息化进行实践探索。     

Anger Expression and Persistence in Young Children

This study investigated anger expression during toy removal (TR) in 92 young Chinese children, two to five years of age, and its relations to their persistence in responding to obstacles during two challenging tasks with highly desirable goals [TR and locked box (LB)] and one challenging task with a less desirable goal [impossible perfect circles (IPC)]. Anger expression during TR was positively associated with persistence during TR and LB but not during IPC. The results highlighted the positive effects of anger in the development of persistence.     

Bayes shrinkage estimator for consistency assessment of treatment effects in multi-regional clinical trials

The primary objective of a multi-regional clinical trial is to investigate the overall efficacy of the drug across regions and evaluate the possibility of applying the overall trial result to some specific region. A challenge arises when there is not enough regional sample size. We focus on the problem of evaluating applicability of a drug to a specific region of interest under the criterion of preserving a certain proportion of the overall treatment effect in the region. We propose a variant of James-Stein shrinkage estimator in the empirical Bayes context for the region-specific treatment effect. The estimator has the features of accommodating the between-region variation and finiteness correction of bias. We also propose a truncated version of the proposed shrinkage estimator to further protect risk in the presence of extreme value of regional treatment effect. Based on the proposed estimator, we provide the consistency assessment criterion and sample size calculation for the region of interest. Simulations are conducted to demonstrate the performance of the proposed estimators in comparison with some existing methods. A hypothetical example is presented to illustrate the application of the proposed method.     

基于超总体模型的设计效应分解

本文基于超总体模型研究抽样调查中设计效应的计算问题。首先以随机效应模型为基础，明确了简单随机、二阶段、不等概率和分层抽样对应的超总体模型，进而通过所给模型推导出分层、类集、加权单因素设计效应的计算公式和多因素组合的设计效应计算公式并给出了对应估计量，公式表明：多因素同时存在的组合设计效应等于对应单因素设计效应的乘积。最后，对设计效应的理论值、估计值和真实值之间的关系进行了蒙特卡洛仿真，并利用相对偏倚、相对均方误进行了评价。本文的研究，对复杂抽样设计中正确计算、使用设计效应具有指导意义。     

张华“二俊”说与陆机的悲剧命运

张华推举陆机、陆云兄弟为"二俊",既是对吴郡陆氏家族文学与学术的肯定,又有着现实的政治谋虑,即试图通过延揽孙吴俊才而安抚江南人心。中朝人士拥有胜利者的优越感,对亡国吴士颇为鄙夷和嘲讽。陆机试图扭转这种偏见,因此当众称美故乡,又不肯听从顾荣、戴若思等人的规劝,执意卷入晋室纷争,试图通过匡世济难来证明吴郡陆氏的军事才能。孙吴亡国的耻辱和挽回家族声誉的努力,并试图去证明吴国灭亡非士人之过,这是陆机悲剧的心理根源。