全文获取类型
收费全文 | 11038篇 |
免费 | 371篇 |
国内免费 | 136篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 755篇 |
劳动科学 | 35篇 |
民族学 | 267篇 |
人才学 | 8篇 |
人口学 | 246篇 |
丛书文集 | 2922篇 |
理论方法论 | 472篇 |
综合类 | 5048篇 |
社会学 | 794篇 |
统计学 | 998篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 12篇 |
2023年 | 55篇 |
2022年 | 182篇 |
2021年 | 190篇 |
2020年 | 132篇 |
2019年 | 134篇 |
2018年 | 192篇 |
2017年 | 273篇 |
2016年 | 194篇 |
2015年 | 367篇 |
2014年 | 389篇 |
2013年 | 692篇 |
2012年 | 657篇 |
2011年 | 765篇 |
2010年 | 838篇 |
2009年 | 797篇 |
2008年 | 777篇 |
2007年 | 791篇 |
2006年 | 788篇 |
2005年 | 686篇 |
2004年 | 372篇 |
2003年 | 283篇 |
2002年 | 362篇 |
2001年 | 305篇 |
2000年 | 203篇 |
1999年 | 221篇 |
1998年 | 131篇 |
1997年 | 134篇 |
1996年 | 128篇 |
1995年 | 120篇 |
1994年 | 72篇 |
1993年 | 66篇 |
1992年 | 38篇 |
1991年 | 39篇 |
1990年 | 33篇 |
1989年 | 34篇 |
1988年 | 23篇 |
1987年 | 14篇 |
1986年 | 13篇 |
1985年 | 15篇 |
1984年 | 5篇 |
1983年 | 5篇 |
1981年 | 4篇 |
1980年 | 4篇 |
1978年 | 2篇 |
1977年 | 1篇 |
1976年 | 3篇 |
1974年 | 1篇 |
1973年 | 1篇 |
1970年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有10000条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
71.
In this article, we propose the local linear estimators of the drift coefficient and diffusion coefficient in the second-order jump-diffusion model. We also show the consistency and asymptotic normality of these estimators under mild conditions. 相似文献
72.
ABSTRACTThis article investigates a quasi-maximum exponential likelihood estimator(QMELE) for a non stationary generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (GARCH(1,1)) model. Asymptotic normality of this estimator is derived under a non stationary condition. A simulation study and a real example are given to evaluate the performance of QMELE for this model. 相似文献
73.
John Tuhao Chen 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(11):3397-3409
ABSTRACTHolm's step-down testing procedure starts with the smallest p-value and sequentially screens larger p-values without any information on confidence intervals. This article changes the conventional step-down testing framework by presenting a nonparametric procedure that starts with the largest p-value and sequentially screens smaller p-values in a step-by-step manner to construct a set of simultaneous confidence sets. We use a partitioning approach to prove that the new procedure controls the simultaneous confidence level (thus strongly controlling the familywise error rate). Discernible features of the new stepwise procedure include consistency with individual inference, coherence, and confidence estimations for follow-up investigations. In a simple simulation study, the proposed procedure (treated as a testing procedure), is more powerful than Holm's procedure when the correlation coefficient is large, and vice versa when it is small. In the data analysis of a medical study, the new procedure is able to detect the efficacy of Aspirin as a cardiovascular prophylaxis in a nonparametric setting. 相似文献
74.
AbstractIn this paper, we discuss how to model the mean and covariancestructures in linear mixed models (LMMs) simultaneously. We propose a data-driven method to modelcovariance structures of the random effects and random errors in the LMMs. Parameter estimation in the mean and covariances is considered by using EM algorithm, and standard errors of the parameter estimates are calculated through Louis’ (1982) information principle. Kenward’s (1987) cattle data sets are analyzed for illustration,and comparison to the literature work is made through simulation studies. Our numerical analysis confirms the superiority of the proposed method to existing approaches in terms of Akaike information criterion. 相似文献
75.
AbstractThis paper is devoted to the study of a risk-based optimal investment and proportional reinsurance problem. The surplus process of the insurer and the risky asset process in the financial market are assumed to be general jump-diffusion processes. We use a convex risk measure generated by g-expectation to describe the risk of the terminal wealth with investment and reinsurance. Under the aim of minimizing the risk, the problem is solved by using techniques of stochastic maximum principles. Two interesting special cases are studied and the explicit expressions for optimal strategies and corresponding minimal risks are derived. 相似文献
76.
Methods for a sequential test of a dose-response effect in pre-clinical studies are investigated. The objective of the test procedure is to compare several dose groups with a zero-dose control. The sequential testing is conducted within a closed family of one-sided tests. The procedures investigated are based on a monotonicity assumption. These closed procedures strongly control the familywise error rate while providing information about the shape of the dose-responce relationship. Performance of sequential testing procedures are compared via a Monte Carlo simulation study. We illustrae the procedures by application to a real data set. 相似文献
77.
Colin Chen 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(5-6):1257-1271
Following the extension from linear mixed models to additive mixed models, extension from generalized linear mixed models to generalized additive mixed models is made, Algorithms are developed to compute the MLE's of the nonlinear effects and the covariance structures based on the penalized marginal likelihood. Convergence of the algorithms and selection of the smooth param¬eters are discussed. 相似文献
78.
Analytical properties of regression and the variance–covariance matrix of asymmetric generalized scale mixture of multivariate Gaussian variables are presented. The analysis includes an in-depth analytical investigation of the first two conditional moments of the mixing variable. Exact computable expressions for the prediction and the conditional variance are presented for the generalized hyperbolic distribution using the inversion theorem for Fourier transforms. An application to financial log returns is demonstrated via the classical Euler approximation. The methodology is illustrated by analyzing the regression of intraday log returns for CISCO against the corresponding data from S&P 500. 相似文献
79.
Wonsun Chen 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(6):1153-1171
We consider a recently introduced nonparametric model for Analysis of Covariance and derive an asymptotic test for interaction between covariate and treatment. Furthermore, we suggest data depth techniques to obtain joint confidence regions for the covariate effects in this model. The finite sample behavior of the asymptotic method is evaluated in simulations. Application of the procedures is illustrated using an epileptic seizures and chemotherapy data set. 相似文献
80.
In comparing several regressions E(yij) =αi + βixij i = 1, 2, ..., k, j = 1,2, ..., ni, researchers are generally interested in the following five problems: whether they have (1) equal slope, (2) equal intercept, (3) coincidence, (4) common intersection on X-axis, and (5) common intersection on (X,Y) - plane. Problems (1) - (3) can be put into the framework of the general linear hypothesis and the F-test can be used. However, problems (4) and (5) cannot be put into the general linear hypothesis because they are ratios of parameters. Hence, in this paper we consider the generalized likelihood ratio test for hypothesis testing. An application to an enzyme kinetics problem in Aniline Metabolism is demonstrated 相似文献