全文获取类型
收费全文 | 798篇 |
免费 | 16篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 173篇 |
民族学 | 6篇 |
人才学 | 1篇 |
人口学 | 37篇 |
丛书文集 | 3篇 |
教育普及 | 1篇 |
理论方法论 | 82篇 |
综合类 | 11篇 |
社会学 | 381篇 |
统计学 | 119篇 |
出版年
2023年 | 6篇 |
2021年 | 3篇 |
2020年 | 10篇 |
2019年 | 12篇 |
2018年 | 14篇 |
2017年 | 21篇 |
2016年 | 21篇 |
2015年 | 20篇 |
2014年 | 17篇 |
2013年 | 135篇 |
2012年 | 21篇 |
2011年 | 18篇 |
2010年 | 21篇 |
2009年 | 21篇 |
2008年 | 38篇 |
2007年 | 27篇 |
2006年 | 25篇 |
2005年 | 26篇 |
2004年 | 22篇 |
2003年 | 21篇 |
2002年 | 25篇 |
2001年 | 17篇 |
2000年 | 16篇 |
1999年 | 19篇 |
1998年 | 17篇 |
1997年 | 10篇 |
1996年 | 14篇 |
1995年 | 15篇 |
1994年 | 6篇 |
1993年 | 10篇 |
1992年 | 17篇 |
1991年 | 8篇 |
1990年 | 8篇 |
1989年 | 9篇 |
1988年 | 8篇 |
1987年 | 6篇 |
1986年 | 12篇 |
1985年 | 9篇 |
1984年 | 7篇 |
1983年 | 12篇 |
1982年 | 9篇 |
1981年 | 3篇 |
1980年 | 9篇 |
1979年 | 7篇 |
1978年 | 12篇 |
1977年 | 5篇 |
1976年 | 6篇 |
1975年 | 5篇 |
1974年 | 3篇 |
1973年 | 4篇 |
排序方式: 共有814条查询结果,搜索用时 343 毫秒
751.
752.
Roger P. Declerck 《Long Range Planning》1977,10(3):59-63
In this article the author argues that the last decade of development has proved to be a myth. He suggests that the poor countries have probably been exploited during this period. He believes that ‘aid’ programmes have badly misfired. However he is constructively critical and puts forward guidelines for planning and action. While he acknowledges that the task is huge he believes that we have the potential, given the desire to achieve success. 相似文献
753.
Eun Sug Park Roger E. Smith Thomas J. Freeman Clifford H. Spiegelman 《Journal of applied statistics》2008,35(11):1219-1238
We present a method for predicting future pavement distresses such as longitudinal cracking. These predicted distress values are used to plan road repairs. Large inherent variability in measured cracking and an extremely small number of observations are the nature of the pavement cracking data, which calls for a parametric Bayesian approach. We model theoretical pavement distress with a sigmoidal equation with coefficients based on prior engineering knowledge. We show that a Bayesian formulation akin to Kalman filtering gives sensible predictions and provides defendable uncertainty statements for predictions. The method is demonstrated on data collected by the Texas Transportation Institute at several sites in Texas. The predictions behave in a reasonable and statistically valid manner. 相似文献
754.
We analyse the existence of preferred numbers on the French Lotto market and prove that this market is not strongly efficient in the sense of Thaler & Ziemba (1988). The preference for low numbers is investigated by means of stochastic dominance tests. The specific features of the French Lotto game allow us to build a simple estimate of the probability distribution of numbers actually played. The results are compared with the (highly time-consuming) maximum likelihood estimator used by Farrell et al. (2000). It is shown that the two methods give very close results. Our conclusions stress the perspectives of this study in various domains. 相似文献
755.
Cultural variation in durations, relations, and contingencies of mother–infant person‐and object‐directed behaviors were examined for 121 nonmigrant Latino mother–infant dyads in South America, Latina immigrants from South America and their infants living in the United States, and European American mother–infant dyads. Nonmigrant Latina mothers and infants engaged in person‐directed behaviors longer than Latino immigrant or European American mothers and infants. Mother and infant person‐directed behaviors were positively related; mother and infant object‐related behaviors were related for some cultural groups but not others. Nearly all mother and infant behaviors were mutually contingent. Mothers were more responsive to infants' behaviors than infants were to mothers. Some cultural differences in responsiveness emerged. Immigrant status has a differentiated role in mother–infant interactions. 相似文献
756.
Setting action levels or limits for health protection is complicated by uncertainty in the dose-response relation across a range of hazards and exposures. To address this issue, we consider the classic newsboy problem. The principles used to manage uncertainty for that case are applied to two stylized exposure examples, one for high dose and high dose rate radiation and the other for ammonia. Both incorporate expert judgment on uncertainty quantification in the dose-response relationship. The mathematical technique of probabilistic inversion also plays a key role. We propose a coupled approach, whereby scientists quantify the dose-response uncertainty using techniques such as structured expert judgment with performance weights and probabilistic inversion, and stakeholders quantify associated loss rates. 相似文献
757.
758.
Moon Ik Joon 《清华大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》2009,(Z1)
This paper uses spatial panel data models to analyze regional growth in China.Controlling for fixed-effects allows us to disentangle the effect of spatial dependence from that of spatial heterogeneity and omitted variable to investigate the regional convergence process within the country. 相似文献
759.
Roger Wettenhall 《Public Organization Review》2009,9(3):247-261
The connection between “schools” of study focusing on crises and on natural disasters is explored. After considering the rise
of separate schools, the article notes significant attempts to integrate them and suggests that, while natural disasters and
other big crises have much in common, there are still some important differences that need to be taken into account in designing
relevant management systems. Drawing particularly on Australian wildfire experience, the article then looks more briefly at
the question of political leadership in disaster situations, and at serious problems that often occur in the reporting of
those situations.
Roger Wettenhall is Professor of Public Administration Emeritus and Visiting Professor in the Faculty of Business and Government at the University of Canberra. He was Project Director and then Co-Chairman of the Working Group on Public Enterprise Management and the Public-Private Mix of the International Association of Schools and Institutes of Administration from 1983 to 2001, was Editor of the Australian Journal of Public Administration from 1989 to 1995, and now chairs the Institute of Public Administration Australia/University of Canberra Public Administration Research Trust Fund. 相似文献
Roger WettenhallEmail: |
Roger Wettenhall is Professor of Public Administration Emeritus and Visiting Professor in the Faculty of Business and Government at the University of Canberra. He was Project Director and then Co-Chairman of the Working Group on Public Enterprise Management and the Public-Private Mix of the International Association of Schools and Institutes of Administration from 1983 to 2001, was Editor of the Australian Journal of Public Administration from 1989 to 1995, and now chairs the Institute of Public Administration Australia/University of Canberra Public Administration Research Trust Fund. 相似文献
760.