A Variable Selection Method for Analyzing Supersaturated Designs

Supersaturated designs are a large class of factorial designs which can be used for screening out the important factors from a large set of potentially active variables. The huge advantage of these designs is that they reduce the experimental cost drastically, but their critical disadvantage is the confounding involved in the statistical analysis. In this article, we propose a method for analyzing data using several types of supersaturated designs. Modifications of widely used information criteria are given and applied to the variable selection procedure for the identification of the active factors. The effectiveness of the proposed method is depicted via simulated experiments and comparisons.     

Tuning Parameter Estimation in Penalized Least Squares Methodology

The efficiency of the penalized methods (Fan and Li, 2001 Fan , J. , Li , R. ( 2001 ). Variable selection via nonconcave penalized likelihood and its oracle properties . Journal of the American Statistical Association 96 : 1348 – 1360 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) depends strongly on a tuning parameter due to the fact that it controls the extent of penalization. Therefore, it is important to select it appropriately. In general, tuning parameters are chosen by data-driven approaches, such as the commonly used generalized cross validation. In this article, we propose an alternative method for the derivation of the tuning parameter selector in penalized least squares framework, which can lead to an ameliorated estimate. Simulation studies are presented to support theoretical findings and a comparison of the Type I and Type II error rates, considering the L ₁, the hard thresholding and the Smoothly Clipped Absolute Deviation penalty functions, is performed. The results are given in tables and discussion follows.     

Partially Accelerated Life Tests for the Weibull Distribution Under Multiply Censored Data

This article aims to estimate the parameters of the Weibull distribution in step-stress partially accelerated life tests under multiply censored data. The step partially acceleration life test is that all test units are first run simultaneously under normal conditions for a pre-specified time, and the surviving units are then run under accelerated conditions until a predetermined censoring time. The maximum likelihood estimates are used to obtaining the parameters of the Weibull distribution and the acceleration factor under multiply censored data. Additionally, the confidence intervals for the estimators are obtained. Simulation results show that the maximum likelihood estimates perform well in most cases in terms of the mean bias, errors in the root mean square and the coverage rate. An example is used to illustrate the performance of the proposed approach.     

Further Results on Order Statistics Generated by Two Simulation Methods

Uniform order statistics generated by two simulation methods are compared by means of Pitman’s measure of closeness. This measure, as a probability, is shown to be asymptotically 1/2. Some results are also established for fixed points of the cumulative distribution function (CDF) for a uniform order statistic. These fixed points are important for calculations involving the joint distribution of these order statistics.     

On a preliminary test estimator for one of the parameters of the log-zero-poisson distribution

A discrete distribution called the log-zero-Poisson distribution has been recommended by Katti (c.f. Biometrics 1970) as an alternate to the negative binomial and other distributions usually called "contagious" distributions.A major problem in the use of this and all other contagious distributions has been the difficulty of obtaining the maximum likelihood esti-mates. A custom-made ad hoc estimator, λ, has been proposed for the parameter λ of this distribution in Katti and Khedr (1980). In this paper, its efficiency relative to Fisher information is studied, only to discover that λ can be 30 times better than the maximum likelihood estimate in some parts of the parameter space and much weaker in other parts.A preliminary test is recommended to choose between the estimates, and the efficiency of the procedure is tabulated. As it is to be expected, the resultant estimator equals the better of the two estimators with some error at the values of the parameters where the two estimators are equivalent.     

Reliability estimation based on ranked set sampling

In this paper we consider the problem of estimating the reliability of an exponential component based on a Ranked Set Sample (RSS) of size n. Given the first r observations of that sample, 1≤r≤n, we construct an unbiased estimator for this reliability and we show that these n unbiased estimators are the only ones in a certain class of estimators. The variances of some of these estimators are compared. By viewing the observations of the RSS of size n as the lifetimes of n independent k-out-of-n systems, 1≤k≤n, we are able to utilize known properties of these systems in conjunction with the powerful tools of majorization and Schur functions to derive our results.     

Time series analysis for repeated surveys

Estimation of a characteristic based on surveys repeated at regular intervals is considered. A state space formulation is given for the problem and the Kalman Filter is used to obtain an estimate and its variance. Some examples are also given to illustrate the methodology.     

A multiparameter extension of two stage modified shrinkage estimator

A multiparameter extension is made to modified two stage shrinkage estimator proposed by Handa andKambo (1990), For aparticular class of shrinkage estimator, the local optimality of the extended modified estimator is shown over the two stage shrinkage estimator defined by Bhattacharya and Prakasa Rao(1990) in terms of quadratic loss.     

Locally optimal invariant tests for change in level

The classical change point problem is considered, from the invariance point of view. Locally optimal invariant tests are derived for the change in level, when the initial level and the common variance are assumed to be unknown. The tests derived by Chernoff and Zacks (1964) and Gardner (1969), for the change in level, when variance is known, are shown to be locally optimal invariant tests.