全文获取类型
收费全文 | 15320篇 |
免费 | 234篇 |
国内免费 | 2篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 2108篇 |
民族学 | 70篇 |
人口学 | 1311篇 |
丛书文集 | 52篇 |
理论方法论 | 1305篇 |
综合类 | 201篇 |
社会学 | 6748篇 |
统计学 | 3761篇 |
出版年
2023年 | 89篇 |
2021年 | 80篇 |
2020年 | 215篇 |
2019年 | 334篇 |
2018年 | 351篇 |
2017年 | 516篇 |
2016年 | 361篇 |
2015年 | 272篇 |
2014年 | 370篇 |
2013年 | 2864篇 |
2012年 | 450篇 |
2011年 | 422篇 |
2010年 | 343篇 |
2009年 | 330篇 |
2008年 | 405篇 |
2007年 | 384篇 |
2006年 | 366篇 |
2005年 | 318篇 |
2004年 | 281篇 |
2003年 | 255篇 |
2002年 | 299篇 |
2001年 | 371篇 |
2000年 | 352篇 |
1999年 | 317篇 |
1998年 | 253篇 |
1997年 | 244篇 |
1996年 | 223篇 |
1995年 | 198篇 |
1994年 | 215篇 |
1993年 | 217篇 |
1992年 | 251篇 |
1991年 | 242篇 |
1990年 | 236篇 |
1989年 | 205篇 |
1988年 | 189篇 |
1987年 | 199篇 |
1986年 | 186篇 |
1985年 | 169篇 |
1984年 | 200篇 |
1983年 | 166篇 |
1982年 | 160篇 |
1981年 | 111篇 |
1980年 | 147篇 |
1979年 | 163篇 |
1978年 | 118篇 |
1977年 | 129篇 |
1976年 | 107篇 |
1975年 | 129篇 |
1974年 | 104篇 |
1972年 | 83篇 |
排序方式: 共有10000条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
971.
Diesel Engine Exhaust and Lung Cancer Mortality: Time‐Related Factors in Exposure and Risk 下载免费PDF全文
Suresh H. Moolgavkar Ellen T. Chang Georg Luebeck Edmund C. Lau Heather N. Watson Kenny S. Crump Paolo Boffetta Roger McClellan 《Risk analysis》2015,35(4):663-675
To develop a quantitative exposure‐response relationship between concentrations and durations of inhaled diesel engine exhaust (DEE) and increases in lung cancer risks, we examined the role of temporal factors in modifying the estimated effects of exposure to DEE on lung cancer mortality and characterized risk by mine type in the Diesel Exhaust in Miners Study (DEMS) cohort, which followed 12,315 workers through December 1997. We analyzed the data using parametric functions based on concepts of multistage carcinogenesis to directly estimate the hazard functions associated with estimated exposure to a surrogate marker of DEE, respirable elemental carbon (REC). The REC‐associated risk of lung cancer mortality in DEMS is driven by increased risk in only one of four mine types (limestone), with statistically significant heterogeneity by mine type and no significant exposure‐response relationship after removal of the limestone mine workers. Temporal factors, such as duration of exposure, play an important role in determining the risk of lung cancer mortality following exposure to REC, and the relative risk declines after exposure to REC stops. There is evidence of effect modification of risk by attained age. The modifying impact of temporal factors and effect modification by age should be addressed in any quantitative risk assessment (QRA) of DEE. Until there is a better understanding of why the risk appears to be confined to a single mine type, data from DEMS cannot reliably be used for QRA. 相似文献
972.
Reanalysis of the DEMS Nested Case‐Control Study of Lung Cancer and Diesel Exhaust: Suitability for Quantitative Risk Assessment 下载免费PDF全文
Kenny S. Crump Cynthia Van Landingham Suresh H. Moolgavkar Roger McClellan 《Risk analysis》2015,35(4):676-700
The International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) in 2012 upgraded its hazard characterization of diesel engine exhaust (DEE) to “carcinogenic to humans.” The Diesel Exhaust in Miners Study (DEMS) cohort and nested case‐control studies of lung cancer mortality in eight U.S. nonmetal mines were influential in IARC's determination. We conducted a reanalysis of the DEMS case‐control data to evaluate its suitability for quantitative risk assessment (QRA). Our reanalysis used conditional logistic regression and adjusted for cigarette smoking in a manner similar to the original DEMS analysis. However, we included additional estimates of DEE exposure and adjustment for radon exposure. In addition to applying three DEE exposure estimates developed by DEMS, we applied six alternative estimates. Without adjusting for radon, our results were similar to those in the original DEMS analysis: all but one of the nine DEE exposure estimates showed evidence of an association between DEE exposure and lung cancer mortality, with trend slopes differing only by about a factor of two. When exposure to radon was adjusted, the evidence for a DEE effect was greatly diminished, but was still present in some analyses that utilized the three original DEMS DEE exposure estimates. A DEE effect was not observed when the six alternative DEE exposure estimates were utilized and radon was adjusted. No consistent evidence of a DEE effect was found among miners who worked only underground. This article highlights some issues that should be addressed in any use of the DEMS data in developing a QRA for DEE. 相似文献
973.
Using transnational terrorism data from 1980 to 2000, this study empirically examines the relationships between frequency of participation in transnational terrorism acts and economic development and education improvement. We find an inverse U‐shaped association between the frequency of various nationals acting as perpetrators in transnational terrorism acts and per capita income in their respective home countries. As per capita incomes increase from relatively low levels, frequencies of participation in transnational terrorism increase. However, at sufficiently higher levels of per capita income, further increase in per capita income is negatively associated with the rate of participation in transnational terrorism. Education improvement from elementary to secondary is positively correlated with frequency of participation in transnational terrorism events, whereas further improvement from secondary to tertiary level is negatively correlated with participation in transnational terrorism. We also find that citizens of countries with greater openness to international trade, lower degree of income inequality, greater economic freedom, larger proportion of population with tertiary education, and less religious prevalence participate in transnational terrorism events less frequently. 相似文献
974.
In this article, we introduce a framework for analyzing the risk of systems failure based on estimating the failure probability. The latter is defined as the probability that a certain risk process, characterizing the operations of a system, reaches a possibly time‐dependent critical risk level within a finite‐time interval. Under general assumptions, we define two dually connected models for the risk process and derive explicit expressions for the failure probability and also the joint probability of the time of the occurrence of failure and the excess of the risk process over the risk level. We illustrate how these probabilistic models and results can be successfully applied in several important areas of risk analysis, among which are systems reliability, inventory management, flood control via dam management, infectious disease spread, and financial insolvency. Numerical illustrations are also presented. 相似文献
975.
976.
Many researchers have explored the advantages of modular product design, its design methods and its effects on product performance. Modular design is, for example, required for product platform, mass customization and postponement in order to achieve greater product variety and differentiation. However, a few empirical studies explicitly examine how to coordinate modular product design in a managerial way. This paper addresses it by conducting multiple case studies with six companies which have successfully adopted modular product design for five years. Seven critical factors are explored in the management of modular product design. These are pre-defined product advantage, selectively used design rules, module definition, system integration, technological newness, internal communication, and supplier and customer involvement. While most of the literature studies the technical dimension of modular design within a firm, this study focuses on the managerial side across the supply chain. It gives new insights on how to manage modular product design and proposes future research opportunities. 相似文献
977.
Simon Bockmühl Andreas König Albrecht Enders Harald Hungenberg Jonas Puck 《Review of Managerial Science》2011,5(4):265-289
The extant literature highlights numerous different factors influencing the timeliness and intensity of incumbent response
to discontinuous technological change. However, this literature has so far not been synthesized and is therefore limited in
its analytical, predictive, and normative power. We develop a comprehensive model of incumbent response that organizes different
explanatory factors into the three distinct dimensions of (1) identification and interpretation, (2) decision making, and
(3) organizational implementation. We also conceptualize how response intensity and timeliness affect business performance
in new technological domains. We test the model against data from 320 firms from the German dental lab industry, finding substantial
support for the majority of our hypotheses. This study offers unique empirical insight in observing that cognitive constructs
such as framing and management flexibility have the strongest impact on both intensity and timeliness of incumbent response
to technological, and thus, strategic discontinuities. Together, our findings have important implications for both theory
and practice. 相似文献
978.
A set S of vertices of a graph G=(V,E) without isolated vertex is a total dominating set if every vertex of V(G) is adjacent to some vertex in S. The total domination number γ t (G) is the minimum cardinality of a total dominating set of G. The total domination subdivision number $\mathrm{sd}_{\gamma_{t}}(G)$ is the minimum number of edges that must be subdivided (each edge in G can be subdivided at most once) in order to increase the total domination number. Favaron, Karami, Khoeilar and Sheikholeslami (J. Comb. Optim. 20:76–84, 2010a) conjectured that: For any connected graph G of order n≥3, $\mathrm{sd}_{\gamma_{t}}(G)\le \gamma_{t}(G)+1$ . In this paper we use matching to prove this conjecture for graphs with no 3-cycle and 5-cycle. In particular this proves the conjecture for bipartite graphs. 相似文献
979.
Y. H. Gu M. Goh Q. L. Chen R. D. Souza G. C. Tang 《Journal of Combinatorial Optimization》2013,25(1):135-163
If resources and facilities from different partners need to be engaged for a large-scale project with a huge number of tasks, any of which is indivisible, decision on the number of tasks assigned to any collaborating partner often requires a certain amount of coordination and bargaining among these partners so that the ultimate task allocation can be accepted by any partner in a business union for the project. In the current global financial crisis, such cases may appear frequently. In this paper, we first investigate the behavior of such a discrete bargaining model often faced by service-based organizations. In particular, we address the general situation of two partners, where the finite Pareto efficient (profit allocation) set does not possess any convenient assumption for deriving a bargaining solution, namely a final profit allocation (corresponding to a task assignment) acceptable to both partners. We show that it is not appropriate for our discrete bargaining model to offer the union only one profit allocation. Modifying the original optimization problem used to derive the Nash Bargaining Solution (NBS), we develop a bargaining mechanism and define a related bargaining solution set to fulfil one type of needs on balance between profit-earning efficiency and profit-earning fairness. We then show that our mechanism can also suit both Nash’s original concave bargaining model and its continuous extension without the concavity of Pareto efficient frontier on profit allocation. 相似文献
980.
M. H. Akhbari R. Hasni O. Favaron H. Karami S. M. Sheikholeslami 《Journal of Combinatorial Optimization》2013,26(1):10-18
A set S of vertices of a graph G is an outer-connected dominating set if every vertex not in S is adjacent to some vertex in S and the subgraph induced by V?S is connected. The outer-connected domination number $\widetilde{\gamma}_{c}(G)$ is the minimum size of such a set. We prove that if δ(G)≥2 and diam?(G)≤2, then $\widetilde{\gamma}_{c}(G)\le (n+1)/2$ , and we study the behavior of $\widetilde{\gamma}_{c}(G)$ under an edge addition. 相似文献