Deras as sites of electoral mobilisation in Indian Punjab: examining the reasons that political parties flock to the deras

Mushrooming of the deras in Indian Punjab, and the role of some of these deras in influencing the political choices of their followers, most of whom belong to the socially and economically marginal groups, is being recognised and apparently encouraged by the political parties. This is evident in the fact that political leaders/candidates cutting across party divides flocked to various deras in the run-up to the recent elections. This phenomenon can be attributed primarily to the fact that the social basis of political power of state has remained unaltered in favour of the upper castes/communities. Unwilling to share power, yet compelled to seek the crucial support of numerically strong and economically mobile dalit and other backward castes voters in a closely contested bi-polar polity, the upper-caste political leadership takes recourse to the ‘softer’ option of cultivating the deras to ‘deliver’ en bloc the marginal-castes votes. With one form of the identity politics based on ethno-regional communal divide having receded to background, it is the turn of the caste-based identity politics through the ‘dera route’ that is prevailing in post-militancy Punjab.     

The Effect of Remittances on Economic Growth in Kyrgyzstan and Macedonia: Accounting for Financial Development

Kyrgyzstan and Macedonia have experienced a reasonable increase in remittances over the last twenty‐five years. Subsequently, the extent to which remittances can be instrumental for economic development of the two countries has gained serious attention in recent development dialogues. The aim of this study is to examine the impact of remittances versus financial development on the economic growth of the two counties, complementing the burgeoning interest and focus on remittances for policy. The short‐run and the long‐run effects and the causality dynamics of remittances and financial development, are explored. The results show a long‐run positive impact of remittances on the economic growth of these countries. The impact of financial development is negative, significant only for Kyrgyzstan and not statistically significant for Macedonia. The causality results show that remittances support economic growth for Kyrgyzstan, whereas economic growth appears to propel remittances for Macedonia.     

Characteristics for the Effectiveness of Women’s Self-Help Groups in Bihar

This study examines whether group heterogeneity and group structure and process predict the effectiveness of women’s self-help groups in terms of their financial performance, self-reliance of the group, members’ decision-making ability at the household level, and access to non-financial benefits. Data were collected using an interview schedule from 210 women’s self-help groups in six districts of Bihar and data were analyzed using partial least squares structural equation modeling. The findings suggest that the group heterogeneity directly predicts the effectiveness of women’s self-help groups and it is fully transmitted through group structure and process to positively predict the effectiveness of the women’s self-help groups. The group structure and process is found to be a full mediator between group heterogeneity and group effectiveness. The predictive accuracy of the model is found to be high. The findings have implications to bring in more diversity in members castes, education, and their reasons for joining women’s self-help groups at the formation stage and variations in members’ skills and expertise at the performing stage of the groups. The members’ awareness on group norms and trust in financial transactions, and leadership styles together with cooperation and cohesion among members, transparency in financial transactions, group attendance, and networking with the bank and the federation foster the effectiveness of women’s self-help groups.     

Coastal settlement patterns and exposure to sea-level rise in the Jaffna Peninsula,Sri Lanka

The Jaffna Peninsula in Sri Lanka has a generally flat topography with a median elevation of 2.72 m, and thus faces a high risk from sea-level rise that has the potential to have adverse impacts on the livelihoods of coastal communities. Understanding these risks and identifying the regions that could be adversely impacted is critical for planning future settlements and developing preventative protocols where possible. The aim of this study was to analyze the exposure of coastal settlements of the Jaffna Peninsula to climate risks, particularly to sea-level rise, and to identify the areas that are likely to be impacted under different sea-level rise scenarios. Raster-based sea-level rise modeling was performed with a digital elevation model produced with topographic contours and spot heights. The spatial distribution of individual residential houses for the entire Jaffna Peninsula was obtained through manual digitization using virtual globe platforms and high-resolution satellite images, and the houses exposed to inundation under various Representative Concentration Pathways from 2025 to 2100 were identified. The results showed that a majority (55.5%) of the residential buildings in the Jaffna Peninsula are located within 3 m above sea level. Approximately 5554 (5.6%) of the houses were projected to be inundated by 2100, and this projection increased to approximately 25,074 (25.4%) under high tide scenarios. This study highlights the coastal communities with a high level of exposure to coastal inundation where adaptation planning is essential. These results provide insights for coastal managers and policy makers for future planning of new settlements and urban expansion.

     

Bayesian inference: Weibull Poisson model for censored data using the expectation–maximization algorithm and its application to bladder cancer data

This article focuses on the parameter estimation of experimental items/units from Weibull Poisson Model under progressive type-II censoring with binomial removals (PT-II CBRs). The expectation–maximization algorithm has been used for maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs). The MLEs and Bayes estimators have been obtained under symmetric and asymmetric loss functions. Performance of competitive estimators have been studied through their simulated risks. One sample Bayes prediction and expected experiment time have also been studied. Furthermore, through real bladder cancer data set, suitability of considered model and proposed methodology have been illustrated.     

Unemployment as a problem in the development of industrial societies: the English experience

Unemployment, as a concept and as a mass phenomenon, is a relatively new thing in western society. It was largely elaborated and experienced in the period from the 1890s to the 1930s. What did it mean to be ‘unemployed’ before that time?. What was the nature of ‘the economy of the poor’, and how far did unemployment in the household and informal economy balance unemployment in the formal economy? Using largely the evidence of Poor Law policies and practices, this paper considers the attitudes to the unemployed since Elizabethan times, and what this tells us about the conditions of life and work of the labouring population in England before the public recognition and definition of the specific status of being unemployed. It then considers the period, from the 1890s to the 1940s, in which ‘full employment’ came to be inscribed on the banner of all industrial societies. Finally it considers the implications of this account for full employment in the future of industrial societies, and the extent to which we should continue to regard this as a possible or desirable aim.     

Optimal weighing designs with a string property

We consider the usual (spring balance) weighing design set-up with the design matrix having a string property meaning thereby that in every row of it, there is exactly one run of 1's (the rest of the elements being 0's). We have investigated some interesting features of such matrices and used them in deriving various optimality results.     

A note on interpenetrating subsamples of unequal sizes drawn with and without replacement

In this article it is shown how one can gain in efficiency in selecting K interpenetrating subsamples of unequal sizes according to Chaudhuri and Adhikary's (1987) scheme rather than selecting them with replacement and considering the estimator based on distinct units as proposed by Bedi(1987).     

Nonparametric testing for simple regression under progressive censoring with stagering entry and random withdrawal

In the context of (multi-center) clinical trials and life testins problems, a general model incorporating both the staggering entry and random withdrawal and pertaining to a simple regression problem (including the two-sample location problem as a special case) is conceived, and, within this framework, a scheme allowing progressive censoring (continuous monitoring of experimentation from the beginning) is developed along with the proposal for and study of some nonparametric testing procedures, The proposed tests rest on the construction of certain two-dimensional time-parameter stochastic processes from a triangular array of progressively censored linear rank statistics and their weak convergence to appropriate Gaussian functions. Asymptotic properties of these procedures are studied. A computer program pertaining to the numerical computations and practical administrations of these testing procedures is also provided at the end.