Big-data analytics framework for incorporating smallholders in sustainable palm oil production

Abstract

This paper aims to address the constraints faced in incorporating smallholders in sustainable palm oil production. There exists literature that acknowledges the need for incorporating smallholders in the production of sustainable palm oil but none has proposed a solution beyond ‘Roundtable on Sustainable Palm Oil’ (RSPO) certification. In the current business scenario, several organizations are struggling to procure RSPO certified palm oil even after committing huge resources. RSPO, though a good first step, has a major process and capacity constraints resulting in long processing times, delays, and lack of traceability for the customers. This paper proposes a Big Data Analytics framework enabled by cutting-edge technologies to incorporate smallholders in the RSPO certification process. The data used was collected through farm visits, stakeholder meetings, key stakeholder interviews, and, secondary sources. The proposed framework not only addresses the limitation of the current certification process but also converts it from being punitive to preventive. The outcomes of this research will be extremely useful for all the stakeholders in the palm oil supply chain.     

Estimating quantiles of several normal populations with a common mean

Suppose we have k( ? 2) normal populations with a common mean and possibly different variances. The problem of estimation of quantile of the first population is considered with respect to a quadratic loss function. In this paper, we have generalized the inadmissibility results obtained by Kumar and Tripathy (2011 Kumar, S., Tripathy, M.R. (2011). Estimating quantiles of normal populations with a common mean. Commun. Stat. - Theory Methods 40:2719–2736.[Taylor &; Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) for k = 2 to a general k( ? 2). Moreover, a massive simulation study has been done in order to numerically compare the risk values of various proposed estimators for the cases k = 3 and k = 4 and recommendations are made for the use of estimators under certain situations.     

Model-based study of families of exponential-type estimators in presence of non response

Among other types of non sampling errors, non response error (NRE) is an inherent component of any sample survey, which is supposed to be given much attention during the designing and execution stages. With increasing awareness of these estimators, therefore, there is an urge for the development of suitable techniques for controlling them.

This article proposes two families of estimators for population mean in the presence of non response and discuses various properties under model approach, namely polynomial regression model. The families include some existing estimators. Comparison of efficiencies along with the robustness of the estimators under misspecification of models has been empirically discussed.     

Minimax estimators for the lower-bounded scale parameter of a location-scale family of distributions

This article is concerned with the minimax estimation of a scale parameter under the quadratic loss function where the family of densities is location-scale type. We obtain results for the case when the scale parameter is bounded below by a known constant. Implications for the estimation of a lower-bounded scale parameter of an exponential distribution are presented under unknown location. Furthermore, classes of improved minimax estimators are derived for the restricted parameter using the Integral Expression for Risk Difference (IERD) approach of Kubokawa (1994 Kubokawa, T. (1994). A unified approach to improving equivariant estimators. Ann. Stat. 22:290–299.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). These classes are shown to include some existing estimators from literature.     

On perturbations of Stein operator

In this article, we obtain a Stein operator for the sum of n independent random variables (rvs) which is shown as the perturbation of the negative binomial (NB) operator. Comparing the operator with NB operator, we derive the error bounds for total variation distance by matching parameters. Also, three-parameter approximation for such a sum is considered and is shown to improve the existing bounds in the literature. Finally, an application of our results to a function of waiting time for (k₁, k₂)-events is given.     

An alternative method for forecasting price volatility by combining models

In this article, we study the volatility in the monthly price series of edible oils in domestic and international markets using the two popular family of nonlinear time-series models, viz, Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (GARCH) models and Stochastic volatility (SV) models. To improve the forecasts of the volatility process, we also propose a new method of combining the volatility of these two competing models using the powerful technique of Kalman filter. The individual models as well as the combined models are assessed on their ability to predict the correct directional change (CDC) in future values as well as other goodness-of-fit statistics. Further, forecasting performance are also evaluated by computing various measures to validate the proposed methodology.     

Measures of non orthogonality in block designs

Orthogonality is an important concept in block design. Necessary and sufficient condition for a connected block design to be orthogonal is well known. However, when a design is not orthogonal, it is not clear how much it deviates from orthogonality. In this paper, an attempt has been made to first define the measures of or indices to non orthogonality in block design and then to characterize designs possessing minimum non orthogonality indices. It is shown that a Balanced Incomplete Block Design (BIBD) and a Balanced Block Design (BBD), if exist, possess this property.     

Characterization results based on dynamic Tsallis cumulative residual entropy

In this article, the concept of cumulative residual entropy (CRE) given by Rao et al. (2004 Rao, M., Chen, Y., Vemuri, B.C., Wang, F. (2004). Cumulative residual entropy: A new measure of information. IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory 50:1220–1228.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) is extended to Tsallis entropy function and dynamic version, both residual and past of it. We study some properties and characterization results for these generalized measures. In addition, we provide some characterization results of the first-order statistic based on the Tsallis survival entropy.     

ELICITATION OF SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITIES IN THE CONTEXT OF DECISION-MAKING *

In this paper a framework is developed to seek information from the decision-maker about uncertain events, and to use this information for identifying a preferred alternative. It is shown how a preferred alternative can be identified with less than perfect knowledge of the probabilities.