全文获取类型
收费全文 | 23134篇 |
免费 | 610篇 |
国内免费 | 2篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 2899篇 |
民族学 | 164篇 |
人口学 | 2582篇 |
丛书文集 | 76篇 |
教育普及 | 1篇 |
理论方法论 | 1898篇 |
综合类 | 274篇 |
社会学 | 11536篇 |
统计学 | 4316篇 |
出版年
2023年 | 134篇 |
2022年 | 82篇 |
2021年 | 137篇 |
2020年 | 350篇 |
2019年 | 528篇 |
2018年 | 1067篇 |
2017年 | 1245篇 |
2016年 | 932篇 |
2015年 | 424篇 |
2014年 | 587篇 |
2013年 | 3621篇 |
2012年 | 835篇 |
2011年 | 1062篇 |
2010年 | 828篇 |
2009年 | 670篇 |
2008年 | 797篇 |
2007年 | 842篇 |
2006年 | 529篇 |
2005年 | 477篇 |
2004年 | 505篇 |
2003年 | 439篇 |
2002年 | 396篇 |
2001年 | 483篇 |
2000年 | 430篇 |
1999年 | 406篇 |
1998年 | 319篇 |
1997年 | 265篇 |
1996年 | 291篇 |
1995年 | 293篇 |
1994年 | 252篇 |
1993年 | 264篇 |
1992年 | 312篇 |
1991年 | 298篇 |
1990年 | 294篇 |
1989年 | 262篇 |
1988年 | 258篇 |
1987年 | 210篇 |
1986年 | 240篇 |
1985年 | 253篇 |
1984年 | 227篇 |
1983年 | 202篇 |
1982年 | 173篇 |
1981年 | 140篇 |
1980年 | 169篇 |
1979年 | 175篇 |
1978年 | 139篇 |
1977年 | 119篇 |
1976年 | 93篇 |
1975年 | 92篇 |
1974年 | 94篇 |
排序方式: 共有10000条查询结果,搜索用时 312 毫秒
21.
This paper develops a unified model of dual and unitary job holding based on a Stone-Geary utility function. The model incorporates both constrained and unconstrained labor supply. Panel data methods are adapted to accommodate unobserved heterogeneity and multinomial selection into six mutually exclusive labor supply regimes. We estimate the wage and income elasticities arising from selection and unobserved heterogeneity as well as from the Stone-Geary Slutsky equations. The labor supply model is estimated with data from the British Household Panel Survey 1991–2008. Among dual job holders, our study finds that the Stone-Geary income and wage elasticities are much larger for labor supply to the second job compared with the main job. When the effects of selection and unobserved heterogeneity are taken account of, the magnitudes of these elasticities on the second job tend to be significantly reduced. 相似文献
22.
This article studies design selection for generalized linear models (GLMs) using the quantile dispersion graphs (QDGs) approach in the presence of misspecification in the link and/or linear predictor. The uncertainty in the linear predictor is represented by a unknown function and estimated using kriging. For addressing misspecified link functions, a generalized family of link functions is used. Numerical examples are shown to illustrate the proposed methodology. 相似文献
23.
AbstractIn general, survival data are time-to-event data, such as time to death, time to appearance of a tumor, or time to recurrence of a disease. Models for survival data have frequently been based on the proportional hazards model, proposed by Cox. The Cox model has intensive application in the field of social, medical, behavioral and public health sciences. In this paper we propose a more efficient sampling method of recruiting subjects for survival analysis. We propose using a Moving Extreme Ranked Set Sampling (MERSS) scheme with ranking based on an easy-to-evaluate baseline auxiliary variable known to be associated with survival time. This paper demonstrates that this approach provides a more powerful testing procedure as well as a more efficient estimate of hazard ratio than that based on simple random sampling (SRS). Theoretical derivation and simulation studies are provided. The Iowa 65+ Rural study data are used to illustrate the methods developed in this paper. 相似文献
24.
Economic theory establishes that pension privatization weakens the link between old and young and so reduces the incentive to invest in public education in an economy with lower return rate of capital than growth rate of wage. However, empirical studies of the link change are few. In this paper, we investigate the effects of pension privatization and the central government’s subsidy to individual accounts on public education spending in a three-period overlapping generation model. And then, we take contemporary pension reforms in a number of Chinese provinces as offering natural experiment conditions. Using a difference-in-difference framework and 282 municipal districts panel data over years 1998–2009, we test the pension-education theoretical link change. Both our theoretical and empirical results confirm that pension privatization is adversely associated with local public spending on education in China. Private pension subsidies, moreover, magnify this effect. Our study supports the theoretical assertion and selective empirical findings of a negative intergenerational effect of pension privatization. 相似文献
25.
26.
From the inception of the proportional representation movement it has been an issue whether larger parties are favored at
the expense of smaller parties in one apportionment of seats as compared to another apportionment. A number of methods have
been proposed and are used in countries with a proportional representation system. These apportionment methods exhibit a regularity
of order, as discussed in the present paper, that captures the preferential treatment of larger versus smaller parties. This
order, namely majorization, permits the comparison of seat allocations in two apportionments. For divisor methods, we show
that one method is majorized by another method if and only if their signpost ratios are increasing. This criterion is satisfied
for the divisor methods with power-mean rounding, and for the divisor methods with stationary rounding. Majorization places
the five traditional apportionment methods in the order as they are known to favor larger parties over smaller parties: Adams,
Dean, Hill, Webster, and Jefferson.
Received: 5 August 2000/Accepted: 24 October 2001 相似文献
27.
This study replicated and extended previously reported sex differences involving both viewer and target in the recognition of threatening facial expressions. Based on the assumption that the evolved cognitive mechanisms mediating anger recognition would have been designed by natural selection to operate quickly in the interests of survival, brief tachistoscopic presentation of stimulus photographs was used. Additionally, in contrast to prior published studies, the statistical methods of signal detection research were used to control for the confounding effects of non-random guessing. The main hypothesis, that anger posed by males would be more accurately perceived than anger posed by females, was supported. A secondary hypothesis, that female-posed anger would be more accurately perceived by women than by men, received partial support. Testosterone levels, measured inferentially in terms of diurnal cycles, failed to show the hypothesized positive relationship to accuracy of anger perception. 相似文献
28.
Although there has recently been a rise in parenting support programmes within the UK, only a minority of these programmes have benefited from evaluation of either outcomes or processes. This paper describes the development of the PALS programme (Parents Altogether Lending Support), reporting both on its effectiveness in improving parents' interactions with their children and on the lessons that were learned about embedding such a programme within the local community. Over the 18‐month period of the programme, a total of 17 courses were run, with 75 parents and carers (primarily mothers) participating in the programme overall. Evaluation results indicated that participants enjoyed the course and found it beneficial, particularly in terms of altering their own actions in specific ways that were able to promote better behaviour on the part of their children. Participants also valued the opportunity to share their experiences with other parents. The key lesson identified in regard to the development of parenting programmes concerned the need for the community to feel a sense of ownership for the initiative. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
29.
Ruffin M. Holt 《Voluntas: International Journal of Voluntary and Nonprofit Organizations》2002,13(1):94-95
VOLUNTAS: International Journal of Voluntary and Nonprofit Organizations - 相似文献
30.
Existence and Nash implementation of efficient sharing rules for a commonly owned technology 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Suppose that a group of individuals owns collectively a technology which produces a consumption good by means of a (possibly
heterogeneous) input. A sharing rule associates input contributions with a vector of consumptions that are technologically
feasible. We show that the set of allocations obtained by any continuous sharing rule contains Pareto efficient allocations.
We also present a mechanism that implements in Nash equilibrium the Pareto efficient allocations contained in an arbitrary
sharing rule.
Received: 29 June 1998/Accepted: 15 November 2000 相似文献