边缘心理学对主流心理学的批评

心理学的发展历史始终伴随着批评。马克思主义心理学、女性主义心理学、后现代心理学、后殖民主义心理学等处于边缘地位的心理学分支从不同角度、不同方面对主流心理学展开了批评。这成为主流心理学自我反省、不断完善的动力和源泉,促进了主流心理学反省心理学的学科性质,完善心理学的研究方法,关注心理学理论与生活实践的关联。     

移民问题与印度特里普拉邦的动荡

特里普拉自并入印度以来,局势长期动荡,移民问题是造成这一状况的主要原因。特里普拉邦是印度建国后唯一的外来移民数量超过本地原住民的邦。跨国界涌入的孟加拉人与当地原住部落民在自然资源、公共权力等领域存在激烈的竞争与矛盾,国内非自愿移民使问题更加复杂。为了维护切身利益,原住部落民成立了多支地下武装组织,部落民与非部落民之间的冲突造成了严重的人员伤亡和财产损失。特里普拉邦的情况是探讨南亚地区移民问题对当地社会经济影响的典型个案之一。     

Mental health citizen surveys: a comparison of two within household telephone sampling techniques.

Two within household telephone sampling techniques for collecting citizen survey data for community mental health center's needs assessments were compared on the basis of respondent demographic characteristics; response, completion, and refusal rates; and, administrative costs. Initially, all households were chosen via random digit dialing. Then, one technique allowed the surveyor to interview any adult member of a household who answered the phone. The other technique used was developed by Troldahl and Carter and required the use of a reference table procedure to determine the appropriate respondent. While more expensive, the Troldahl-Carter method produced significantly better representativeness of the population for a rural county. Factors relating to a decision regarding which technique to employ are discussed.     

农村居民消费对我国经济增长影响分析

本文通过建立面板数据模型测度了农村居民消费对我国经济增长的影响效应,认为农村居民消费对我国经济增长具有正向促进作用但不够明显,分析了扩大农村居民消费需求促进经济增长所面临的障碍因素并提出了相应的对策建议。     

A RECONSIDERATION OF THE ‘GREAT RATIOS’ OF ECONOMICS

Autocorrelations are found in the disturbance terms of regressions employed by L. R. Klein and R. F. Kosobud in a global model of growth employing five celebrated ratios of economics. This paper summarizes the Klein-Kosobud conclusions, modifies them by removing the autocorrelations, and extends the model to include more recent years. The modified conclusions hold even with the added observations.     

国民经济产业关联的层次识别分析

文章将投入产出方法与解释结构建模相结合,取长补短,提出了基于这两种方法相结合的产业关联层次识别的分析方 法,并细致呈现了该方法的算法步骤、识别层次结果的基本特性以及其与以往产业关联分析方法的比较优势.最后以经统一调整的 1997年及2002年的投入产出表为基础,对我国国民经济产业关联的层次识别进行了方法的实证分析,经对识别结果的跨期对比分 析,证明该识别方法的解释效果良好.     

A new heteroscedastic regression to analyze mass loss of wood in civil construction in Brazil

A heteroscedastic regression based on the odd log-logistic Marshall–Olkin normal (OLLMON) distribution is defined by extending previous models. Some structural properties of this distribution are presented. The estimation of the parameters is addressed by maximum likelihood. For different parameter settings, sample sizes and some scenarios, various simulations investigate the performance of the heteroscedastic OLLMON regression. We use residual analysis to detect influential observations and to check the model assumptions. The new regression explains the mass loss of different wood species in civil construction in Brazil.     

Solving the part families problem in discrete-parts manufacture by simulated annealing

In the production planning and control of discrete-parts manufacture, aggregation of parts into families, on the basis of similarity, is carried out to ease both long-horizon planning and short-horizon scheduling. Additional advantages are related to those of group technology (GT), such as simplifying the flow of parts and tools and reducing both set-up and production costs. The problem of formally forming part families is presented and discussed. Previous work is reviewed and assessed. Two solution approaches, one based on a location model, the other on simulated annealing, are presented and compared along with test results. The location formulation, which results in an integer programming model solved by Lagrangian relaxation, proved capable of producing solutions of excellent quality, but only for relatively small problem instances. In contrast, simulated annealing, which is a general heuristic approach to combinatorial optimization, produced solutions of comparable quality and could handle realistically large problem instances. However, careful design of the simulated annealing algorithm is crucially important. An effective design is presented.     

住宅价格涨跌幅、波动非对称性与空置量关系的实证研究

采用门限ARCH模型研究了我国住宅价格涨跌幅、波动的非对称性与住宅空置量之间的动态关系,实证结论表明:我国住宅空置量与住宅价格涨跌和住宅价格波动呈负相关关系;住宅价格波动具有非对称性,低住宅空置时住宅价格波动大于高空置时的住宅价格波动;同时住宅价格波动具波动聚集性;政府及时披露住宅空置信息和合理调控住宅空置水平,有利于住宅市场的稳定发展。