论科学发展观的理论贡献

科学发展观作为中国特色社会主义理论体系的重要组成部分,其理论贡献在于:开拓了马克思主义中国化的新境界;是马克思主义中国化的最新成果;是发展中国特色社会主义必须坚持和贯彻的重大战略思想.     

从宏观角度认识我国政府对居家养老方式的选择

居家养老和居家养老服务是我国政府目前大力倡导的养老方式.对于这种养老方式,目前研究主要从老年人对家庭和亲情需求角度进行分析.本文认为,居家养老的提出具有宏观背景,是我国社会经济和文化发展的产物,也是世界各国应对人口老龄化对策体系的有机构成.只有从这个角度认识居家养老,我们的工作才能更自觉,更有意义.     

苏北地区流动妇女生存状况分析——以盐城市为例

基于2007年8月进行的抽样调查,本文分析了盐城市流动妇女的生存状况,指出其面临的主要问题如下:收入水平低,37.2%的调查对象月收入低于盐城市区最低工资水平700元,调查对象的平均月收入约为884元;子女教育难,在读初中或小学的流动妇女子女,49.6%在盐城市区上学,需交赞助费平均为5459元/人;保健意识差,在查出患有妇科疾病的流动妇女中,只有12.1%的流动妇女进行过治疗.问及未治疗的原因,85.7%的应答者回答不碍大事.针对盐城市流动妇女面临的问题和其服务需求,本文给出了相应的建议.     

中国传统社会救济与城市贫困人口社会救助理念建设

中国传统社会救济是现代社会救助不可回避的历史基础 ,其救济思想源于道义性。城市居民社会救助制度是对传统社会救济的根本性改革 ,其基本原则与传统社会救济截然不同 ,即强调社会救助中政府的法定责任、公民的法定权利和对应义务的统一。然而 ,传统社会救济思想以其强大的惯性力量影响着现代社会救助理念建设 ,使其表现出一定的滞后性 ,主要为 :对政府责任和公民权利强调不够 ;对民众社会救助义务宣传不力。理念建设的滞后使部分民众和工作人员对社会救助认识模糊、混乱 ,阻碍了社会救助制度健康发展。     

浅谈约旦穆斯林兄弟会与政府的关系

长期以来,约旦穆斯林兄弟会与政府保持着良好的合作关系。穆斯林兄弟会不仅未受政府的压制,反而处于上升的态势。这有别于埃及和其他国家穆斯林兄弟会与政府之间纷繁多变的关系,这种合作关系在整个中东地区的伊斯兰运动中都是罕见的。鉴于此,本文拟就约旦穆兄会与政府的关系作一论述。     

中国城乡居民年龄别消费模式量化与分析

文章采用2010年中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)数据量化分析年龄别居民消费模式。针对同类研究只采用年龄变量作为自变量的不足,在经典的需求和消费函数基础上扩展年龄变量构建计量模型,获得了更好的解释力和准确性。基于计量分析结果刻画了分年龄、性别的中国城乡居民消费模式,并进行城乡比较。研究发现,居民家庭消费生命周期中存在30~34岁及45~49岁两个消费高峰;城乡居民消费差距最大的是高龄老人;农村老人在高龄阶段的医疗保健消费明显下降;农村中年妇女的医疗保健支出低于男性。研究认为,应从政策层面有针对性地加大对特定年龄性别人群的扶助力度;同时,未来产业规划应充分考虑人口结构变动因素的影响。     

Quantitative Analysis on the Impact of Urbanisation on Chinese Population Aging

This paper systematically studies the impact of fertility, mortality, initial age structure and rural-urban migration on population aging in rural and urban China from 2000 to 2010. The results show that urbanisation plays a crucial role in population aging in both rural and urban areas and its inf luence is closely linked to the age pattern of the migrants. One third of young rural population transformed into urban population during that period. The contribution of rural-urban migration to population aging in rural areas is 43.4 percent, which is higher than any inf luences from population’s natural changes, and is dominant in population aging in the countryside. Rural-urban migration contributes-118.0 percent to population aging in urban areas by reducing the proportion of aged population and its influence was only lower than that of the initial age structure. The impact of urbanisation on population aging in towns is relatively limited. Among factors from population’s natural changes, the inf luence of the initial age structure is higher than those from changes of mortality and fertility. The paper discusses the causes and developmental trends of impact of urbanisation on population aging between rural and urban areas, and addresses some policy recommendations to deal with socio-economic challenges.     

资本流入、实际汇率与我国经济的结构性不平衡——基于TNT模型的研究

通过贸易品和非贸易品(TNT)模型研究资本流入对我国资源进行重新配置的机理,从对我国实际汇率的结构分解中发现,贸易品价格变动是构成我国实际汇率波动的主要因素,资本流入对我国经济部门的结构性影响体现在大幅提高了非贸易品价格;而贸易部门中加工贸易部门较一般贸易部门获得了更多的发展机会,这带来了我国经济的结构性不平衡。应当理性对待资本流入,适时改变引资战略。     

Inequality in Social Insurance Participation and Generosity: Do Firm Characteristics Matter?

Income inequality in China has been much documented and debated. However, one important aspect of income inequality – social insurance inequality – has been largely understudied. We use a large national panel of firm data to examine the possible influence of various firm characteristics on the inequalities in social insurance participation and generosity in the period 2004–07. Our findings reveal substantial ownership sector and regional gaps in social insurance provision by firms, with the private domestic sector and those in the central region lagging behind. Unionized firms, larger firms, and firms with greater market shares also tend to provide better social insurance to their employees. While being an exporting firm is linked with greater social insurance participation and generosity, being a purely exporting firm, however, is associated with reduced social insurance generosity. Lastly, highly educated workers receive substantially better social insurance coverage than their less educated peers. These social insurance inequalities are highly relevant as China pushes forward with establishing a unified social insurance system across urban‐rural boundaries, ownership sectors and industries.