Procedures and tables for the construction and selection of chain sampling plans ChSP-4A(c1, c2)r—Part 1

This paper presents procedures and tables for the construction and selection of specific chain sampling plans 4A(c1, c2)r.     

Bootstrap confidence intervals of generalized process capability index Cpyk for Lindley and power Lindley distributions

One of the indicators for evaluating the capability of a process is the process capability index. In this article, bootstrap confidence intervals of the generalized process capability index (GPCI) proposed by Maiti et al. are studied through simulation, when the underlying distributions are Lindley and Power Lindley distributions. The maximum likelihood method is used to estimate the parameters of the models. Three bootstrap confidence intervals namely, standard bootstrap (SB), percentile bootstrap (PB), and bias-corrected percentile bootstrap (BCPB) are considered for obtaining confidence intervals of GPCI. A Monte Carlo simulation has been used to investigate the estimated coverage probabilities and average width of the bootstrap confidence intervals. Simulation results show that the estimated coverage probabilities of the percentile bootstrap confidence interval and the bias-corrected percentile bootstrap confidence interval get closer to the nominal confidence level than those of the standard bootstrap confidence interval. Finally, three real datasets are analyzed for illustrative purposes.     

Severity and determinants of stunting in children under age 2 years in Odisha (India): a tribal v/s non-tribal analysis

Prevalence of stunting among India’s tribal under-five children has witnessed a 3% annual decline in the last 8 years. Cross-sectional data of 1000 children (287 tribal and 713 non-tribal) aged 0–23 months from Odisha’s Rapid Survey of Children (RSOC, 2014) was analysed to identify the predictors of stunting and severe stunting among tribal children and to suggest policy and programme implications. Results show significant determinants of childhood stunting to be birth order, maternal illiteracy and determinants for severe stunting were maternal age <18 years at marriage and <20 years at birth, and <3 antenatal clinic visits. Severe stunting in tribal children was predicted by basic causes: poverty and maternal age <20 years at first birth and age <18 years at marriage. Findings strongly suggest to accelerate efforts towards reducing childhood stunting in Odisha more specifically among tribal children for whom a special strategy is urgently warranted.     

On equivalence of oc functions of certain conditional sampling plans

In this paper equivalence of operating characteristic ( OC ) functions of certain conditional sampling plans viz., ChSP-4, ChSP~4A, Conditional Double Sampling Plan, Link sampling Plan and Chain Deferred State Sampling Plans have been established. A common procedure to select these plans have been suggested.     

Time series analysis of categorical data using auto-odds ratio function

In this paper, we consider the auto-odds ratio function (AORF) as a measure of serial association for a stationary time series process of categorical data at two different time points. Numerical measures such as the autocorrelation function (ACF) have no meaningful interpretation, unless the time series data are numerical. Instead, we use the AORF as a measure of association to study the serial dependency of the categorical time series for both ordinal and nominal categories. Biswas and Song [Discrete-valued ARMA processes. Stat Probab Lett. 2009;79(17):1884–1889] provided some results on this measure for Pegram's operator-based AR(1) process with binary responses. Here, we extend this measure to more general set-ups, i.e. for AR(p) and MA(q) processes and for a general number of categories. We discuss how this method can effectively be used in parameter estimation and model selection. Following Weiß [Empirical measures of signed serial dependence in categorical time series. J Stat Comput Simul. 2011;81(4):411–429], we derive the large sample distribution of the estimator of the AORF under independent and identically distributed (iid) set-up. Some simulation results and two categorical data examples (one is ordinal and other nominal) are presented to illustrate the proposed method.     

Large sample test criteria on Toeplitz covariance structure

In the analysis of stationary stochastic process, one has to deal with covariance matrix of Toeplitz (or Laurent) structure. Such structure has a feature that not only the elements on the principal diagonal but also those lying on each of the parallel sub-diagonals are equal as well. The present investigation is on the problem of large sample testing of the Toeplitz pattern of the population covariance matrix. Apart from usual application of likelihood ratio and Rao’s efficient score criteria, some heuristic two-stage tests are suggested. The results of Monte Carlo experiment are reported for the size of the proposed tests.     

Salinization of the Bangladesh Delta worsens economic precarity

Population and Environment - Anthropogenic environmental changes are having complex effects on all&nbsp;aspects of the hydrological cycle. In estuarine areas, these factors are coalescing...     

Maximum likelihood estimation of the linearly structured correlation matrix by a Jacobi-type iterative scheme

Mukherjee and Maiti [Q-procedure for solving likelihood equations in the analysis of covariance structures, Comput. Statist. Quart. 2 (1988), pp. 105–128] proposed an iterative scheme to derive the maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters involved in the population covariance matrix when it is linearly structured. The present investigation provides a Jacobi-type of iterative scheme, MSIII, when the underlying correlation matrix is linearly structured. Such scheme is shown to be quite competent and efficient compared to the prevalent Fisher-scoring (FS) and the Newton–Raphson iterative scheme (NR). An illustrative example is provided for a numerical comparison of the iterates of MSIII, FS and NR choosing the Toeplitz matrix as the population correlation matrix. Numerical behaviour of such schemes is studied in the context of ‘bad’ initial try-out vectors. Additionally a simulation experiment is performed to judge the superiority of MSIII over FS.     

Borrowing strength from past data in small domain prediction by kalman filtering - a case

Point and interval estimators for small domains based exclusively on current and domain specific sample observations are generally ineffective because of inadequate sample-sizes. So, borrowing strength from sample values for analogous domains and simultaneously from all relevant past and auxiliary data is useful in deriving improved small domain statistics. Postulating for simplicity a linear regression model with a single covariate and a zero intercept but a time-specific domain-invariant slope we start with “synthetic” generalized regression predictors for the domain totals. These borrow across only domains. For further improvements a simple autoregressive model is postulated for the slope parameters. Employing Kalman filtering the previous predictors are revised to borrow supplementary strength across time. As drastic simplifying assumptions are needed in such predictions the efficacy of the procedure is examined through an empirical exercise using live data as well as simulations. The numerical findings turn out encouraging.     

Bias correction in logistic regression with missing categorical covariates

Logistic regression plays an important role in many fields. In practice, we often encounter missing covariates in different applied sectors, particularly in biomedical sciences. Ibrahim (1990) proposed a method to handle missing covariates in generalized linear model (GLM) setup. It is well known that logistic regression estimates using small or medium sized missing data are biased. Considering the missing data that are missing at random, in this paper we have reduced the bias by two methods; first we have derived a closed form bias expression using Cox and Snell (1968), and second we have used likelihood based modification similar to Firth (1993). Here we have analytically shown that the Firth type likelihood modification in Ibrahim led to the second order bias reduction. The proposed methods are simple to apply on an existing method, need no analytical work, with the exception of a little change in the optimization function. We have carried out extensive simulation studies comparing the methods, and our simulation results are also supported by a real world data.