从科技产出看高层次创新型科技人才队伍建设——基于厦门市与标杆城市的比较分析

本文以科技产出为切入点,通过将厦门市与标杆城市进行比较,探讨厦门市近几年的科技产出的表现,进而把握高层次创新型科技人才队伍的优势与不足,最后,在对科技产出与人才队伍联系的反思基础上,提出了一些建设高层次创新型科技人才队伍的建议.     

2011-2012年中国宏观经济预测与分析

"中国季度宏观经济模型(CQMM)"课题组基于最新发布的中国宏观经济季度数据调整并估计CQMM,预测2011年和2012年中国宏观经济运行趋势.预测结果表明,2011年GDP可能增长10.13%,2012年,GDP增长率可能回落至9.45%;2011年CPI预计将达到5.4%,2012年还将维持在4.55%的水平.课题组就通货膨胀对城乡不同收入群体收入的影响,以及人民币升值对抑制通货膨胀的有效性进行政策模拟.结果显示,CPI上涨对农村居民的冲击大于城镇居民,对低收入群体的冲击大于高收入群体;而人民币升值不是降低通货膨胀的有效方法.因此,要实现将通货膨胀控制在4%的政策目标,就必须坚决地将经济增长速度控制在9%左右.人民币升值不宜过快,应保持相对稳定的汇率政策.此外,必须采取有力措施保障低收入阶层的收入增长.     

曹妃甸工业区建设中科研项目介入平台及其运行机制研究

建设科研项目介入平台是曹妃甸发展成先进的新型工业化的重要环节。论文通过构建曹妃甸科研项目介入平台,并重点围绕市场调节机制、创新机制和要素间的关联机制对平台的运行机制进行了研究,最后提出保障平台健康运行的措施。     

河北省城乡规划立法研究

城乡规划是各级政府统筹规划城乡空间布局和项目建设,保护和合理利用各类资源,引导城乡经济社会全面协调和可持续发展的重要依据。为了提高《河北省城乡规划条例》的立法质量,在对河北省城乡规划立法现状进行分析的基础上,提出了满足河北省经济社会发展需要、资源生态协调平衡等五大立法原则。河北省城乡规划立法应创新城乡规划体系、改革管理体制、完善城镇和统筹乡村规划立法、制定配套的附属法规。     

中外政府统计体制比较研究

 随着我国社会主义市场经济改改革的不断深入,为满足国家宏观经济调控需要,满足社会公众对统计信息需要和国际间比较研究和交往的需要,我国政府统计体制发生了重大的变化。但是,由于我国正处于由计划经济向以社会主义市场经济的转变时期,统计体制的改革也有一个适应的过程。现行的政府统计体制不能很好的满足宏观决策部门和社会公众等各方面的需要,还存在比较严重的体制不顺问题,统计制度和统计方法也有待进一步改革,如政府综合统计与部门统计、中央统计与地方统计之间的关系不顺,国名经济核算体系还不完善,统计数据质量不高等等。为了更好地为我国统计体制改革提供借鉴经验,笔者通过中外政府统计体制比较研究课题,对世界上主要国家的政府统计体制进行了研究,分析了各种类型政府统计体制的共性和特性,并在结合分析我国政府统计体制的基础上,提出了我国政府统计体制改革的方向和政策建议。     

PREDICT-1 (CNA106030): the first powered, prospective trial of pharmacogenetic screening to reduce drug adverse events

Pharmacogenetics (PGx) – the study of DNA variation in the human genome and the way this impacts the efficacy and safety of medicines – is becoming an increasingly important research tool as physicians, patients, regulatory authorities and payers look for innovative ways to improve the risk:benefit ratio of medicines. While scientific knowledge about PGx is rapidly increasing, implementation of PGx findings to patient care has yet to be fully achieved. One area where significant progress has been made is in the identification of PGx markers associated with variable response to antiretroviral medicines. For example, the major histocompatibility complex HLA‐B*5701 allele has been associated with hypersensitivity to abacavir (ABC) by several independent researchers. While PGx associations have been identified largely through retrospective examination, the clinical utility of these PGx markers in patient care has not been prospectively determined in a randomized study. This paper outlines the design of a study to evaluate the utility of prospective screening for HLA‐B*5701 to reduce the incidence of ABC hypersensitivity in an ABC‐naïve population of HIV‐infected subjects. This represents the first fully powered, randomized, blinded, prospective study to determine the clinical utility of PGx screening to reduce drug‐associated adverse events in any patient population. This type of trial design may have utility for other important medicines which have treatment‐limiting side effects. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

农林水利业国债投资分析——行业系列分析之一

农林水利业；投资；国债农林水利工程建设作为国家１９９８年加快基础设施建设的重要方面，共安排国债专项资金２７０．８亿元，占专项资金总额的２７．１％，是投入最大的行业。根据各国经济发展的经验，基础设施建设应该而且必须适度超前于国民经济其他行业的发展。但长...     

Cost-Utility Analysis to Control Campylobacter on Chicken Meat—Dealing with Data Limitations

The current article describes the economic evaluation of interventions to control Campylobacter on chicken meat by means of a cost-utility analysis. Apart from the methodology used, the main focus of this article is on data gaps and assumptions made, and their impact on results and conclusions. The direct intervention costs, the relative risk, the disease burden (expressed in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs)), and the costs of illness for the various interventions are necessary inputs for the cost-utility analysis. The cost-utility ratio (CUR) -- the measure for efficiency -- is expressed in net costs per avoided DALY. Most data gaps were of a biological order, but for some interventions, information on costs was also scarce. As a consequence, assumptions had to be made, which had some impact on the estimated CUR. A higher (lower) incidence of Campylobacter infections associated with chicken meat, higher (lower) effectiveness, and lower (higher) intervention costs, respectively, would result in absolute better (worse) CUR estimates. By taking the perspective of all consumers eating Dutch chicken meat, rather than only the Dutch society, absolute better CUR estimates could be obtained. Indirect costs or a shift toward non-Dutch chicken meat would both result in higher CUR estimates. Despite the assumptions made, three interventions showed for most of the applied sensitivity analyses relatively favorable CUR estimates: limiting fecal leakage during processing, carcass decontamination by dipping in a chemical solution, and the phage therapy. However, all three do have some clauses.     

Sexual behavior among HIV-positive men who have sex with men: what's in a label?

Relatively little attention has been paid to the use and importance of labels used by men who have sex with men to describe insertive or receptive sexual behavior during intercourse. This study examines sexual self-labels, sexual behavior, HIV transmission risk, and psychological functioning among 205 HIV-seropositive men who have sex with men. The majority of participants (88%) identified as a top, a bottom, or versatile. Tops were more likely to engage in insertive anal intercourse than bottoms, and bottoms were more likely to engage in receptive anal intercourse than tops, with versatiles reporting intermediate rates of both behaviors. Although the results suggest preliminary evidence regarding the predictive utility of self-labels, sexual behaviors of self-label groups were greatly overlapping. Differences were found among self-label groups in gay self-identification, internalized homophobia, sexual sensation seeking, and anxiety. Results suggest an added value in assessing self-labels in addition to asking about sexual behavior.     

海峡西岸产业投资基金运作机制研究

从筹资、投资、退出以及监管等方面对海西产业投资基金的运作机制进行研究。在筹资机制上,海西产业投资基金规模估计为175～200亿元人民币,首期募集35～40亿元人民币,中期募集90～100亿元人民币,后期募集45～60亿元人民币,基金的存续期为10-15年,基金的组织形式设计为契约型。在投资机制上,海西产业投资基金将突出对台政策,并以推动海西重点产业、支柱产业、特色产业发展和产业结构优化为着眼点,承接台湾科技业转移。在退出机制上,海西产业投资基金将主要倾向于通过即将推出的创业板市场以及海西产权交易市场来实现退出。在监管机制上,海西产业投资基金的监管将实行由上层政府集中统一监管和中层产业投资基金行业协会自律监管相结合,再加基层市场化监督的监管模式。