The Cash Opportunity Costs of Childbearing: An Approach To Estimation Using British Data

The opportunity costs of rearing British children in terms of cash earnings foregone by their mother are estimated for a typical family. Data from the Women and Employment Survey (1980) provide estimates for hourly pay as a function of work experience and current hours of work. They also make possible the generation of participation and hours profiles for representative women with different numbers of children, which, together with the earnings function are used to simulate lifetime income. Earnings foregone as a result of bearing and rearing two children are roughly equally composed of three effects, on participation, hours and pay. They exceed direct costs, and do not rise proportionally with family size. They are sensitive to the spacing of births but not, undiscounted, to the timing of the first one. The method and results contrast markedly with those of a similarly motivated study of US women, by Calhoun and Espenshade. It is argued that the non-linearity of the earnings function and state dependence in British labour force transitions would violate the assumptions which permitted the US exercise to be based on a multi-state labour force life-table.     

Family Planning and Women’s and Children’s Health: Long-Term Consequences of an Outreach Program in Matlab, Bangladesh

We analyze the impact of an experimental maternal and child health and family planning program that was established in Matlab, Bangladesh, in 1977. Village data from 1974, 1982, and 1996 suggest that program villages experienced a decline in fertility of about 17 %. Household data from 1996 confirm that this decline in “surviving fertility” persisted for nearly two decades. Women in program villages also experienced other benefits: increased birth spacing, lower child mortality, improved health status, and greater use of preventive health inputs. Some benefits also diffused beyond the boundaries of the program villages into neighboring comparison villages. These effects are robust to the inclusion of individual, household, and community characteristics. We conclude that the benefits of this reproductive and child health program in rural Bangladesh have many dimensions extending well beyond fertility reduction, which do not appear to dissipate rapidly after two decades.     

Membranes,mitochondria and amoebae: shape models

Most real-world shapes and images are characterized by high variability- they are not rigid, like crystals, for example—but they are strongly structured. Therefore, a fundamental task in the understanding and analysis of such image ensembles is the construction of models that incorporate both variability and structure in a mathematically precise way. The global shape models introduced in Grenander's general pattern theory are intended to do this. In this paper, we describe the representation of two-dimensional mitochondria and membranes in electron microscope photographs, and three-dimensional amoebae in optical sectioning microscopy. There are three kinds of variability to all of these patterns, which these representations accommodate. The first is the variability in shape and viewing orientation. For this, the typical structure is represented via linear, circular and spherical templates, with the variability accomodated via the application of transformations applied to the templates. The transformations form groups: scale, rotation and translation. They are locally applied throughout the continuum and of high dimension. The second is the textural variability; the inside and outside of these basic shapes are subject to random variation, as well as sensor noise. For this, statistical sensor models and Markov random field texture models are used to connect the constituent structures of the shapes to the measured data. The third variability type is associated with the fact that each scene is made up of a variable number of shapes; this number is not assumed to be known a priori. Each scene has a variable number of parameters encoding the transformations of the templates appropriate for that scene. For this, a single posterior distribution is defined over the countable union of spaces representing models of varying numbers of shapes. Bayesian inference is performed via computation of the conditional expectation of the parametrically defined shapes under the posterior. These conditional mean estimates are generated using jump-diffusion processes. Results for membranes, mitochondria and amoebae are shown.     

Alternating sums of sub-diagonal product moments of order statistics

A relation satisfied by the product moments of order statistics from an arbitrary continuous distribution symmetric about the origin has been established in this paper. We have shown that in such a situation, for samples of even size, sum of the sub-diagonal product moments of order statistics with alternating plus and minus signs assumes a compact form.     

A side sensitive modified group runs control chart to detect shifts in the process mean

Gadre and Rattihalli [5 Gadre, M. P. and Rattihalli, R. N. 2006. Modified group runs control charts to detect increases in fraction non-conforming and shifts in the process mean. Commun. Stat. Simul. Comput., 35: 225–240. [Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]] have introduced the Modified Group Runs (MGR) control chart to identify the increases in fraction non-conforming and to detect shifts in the process mean. The MGR chart reduces the out-of-control average time-to-signal (ATS), as compared with most of the well-known control charts. In this article, we develop the Side Sensitive Modified Group Runs (SSMGR) chart to detect shifts in the process mean. With the help of numerical examples, it is illustrated that the SSMGR chart performs better than the Shewhart's X¯ chart, the synthetic chart [12 Wu, Z. and Spedding, T. A. 2000. A synthetic control chart for detecting small shifts in the process mean. J. Qual. Technol., 32: 32–38. [Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]], the Group Runs chart [4 Gadre, M. P. and Rattihalli, R. N. 2004. A group runs control chart for detecting shifts in the process mean. Econ. Qual. Control, 19: 29–43. [Crossref] [Google Scholar]], the Side Sensitive Group Runs chart [6 Gadre, M. P. and Rattihalli, R. N. 2007. A side sensitive group runs control chart for detecting shifts in the process mean. Stat. Methods Appl., 16: 27–37. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]], as well as the MGR chart [5 Gadre, M. P. and Rattihalli, R. N. 2006. Modified group runs control charts to detect increases in fraction non-conforming and shifts in the process mean. Commun. Stat. Simul. Comput., 35: 225–240. [Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]]. In some situations it is also superior to the Cumulative Sum chart p9 Page, E. S. 1954. Continuous inspection schemes. Biometrika, 41: 100–114. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]] and the exponentially weighed moving average chart [10 Roberts, S. W. 1959. Control chart tests based on geometric moving averages. Technometrics, 1: 239–250. [Taylor & Francis Online] [Google Scholar]]. In the steady state also, its performance is better than the above charts.