《三国演义》在明清时期的传播对民族精神的影响研究

《三国演义》是我国"四大古典小说之一,其在明清时期的广泛传播对中华民族精神产生了不可或缺的深远影响:树立了集"忠义"和"神勇"于一身的崇拜偶像—关羽,提升了民族笃信好义精神,提高了民族凝聚力,增强了民族忧患意识。     

Bayes shrinkage estimator for consistency assessment of treatment effects in multi-regional clinical trials

The primary objective of a multi-regional clinical trial is to investigate the overall efficacy of the drug across regions and evaluate the possibility of applying the overall trial result to some specific region. A challenge arises when there is not enough regional sample size. We focus on the problem of evaluating applicability of a drug to a specific region of interest under the criterion of preserving a certain proportion of the overall treatment effect in the region. We propose a variant of James-Stein shrinkage estimator in the empirical Bayes context for the region-specific treatment effect. The estimator has the features of accommodating the between-region variation and finiteness correction of bias. We also propose a truncated version of the proposed shrinkage estimator to further protect risk in the presence of extreme value of regional treatment effect. Based on the proposed estimator, we provide the consistency assessment criterion and sample size calculation for the region of interest. Simulations are conducted to demonstrate the performance of the proposed estimators in comparison with some existing methods. A hypothetical example is presented to illustrate the application of the proposed method.     

大学章程在大学法人化治理中的价值向度与法律限度

大学章程通过对举办者、办学者及其他利益相关者的意志与权利进行确认,并对各相关权利主体进行制度性的规约,起到了理性化的价值引导与依法治理的保障作用.在创建中国特色的现代大学制度过程中,大学章程能不能被视作一种法律,在多大范围内多大程度上发挥作用,需要理性地审视.研究以中外比较、历史比较、现实发展的视角探讨了我国大学章程的法律效力及其限度.大学章程需要基于“自主管理”的诉求,以“共治”的方式实现现代大学制度的“法治”化,以期实现大学的本质价值追求.     

基于项目教学的《化工生产工艺组织》课程评价体系的构建

化工生产工艺组织课程改革中,建立符合课程特色的评价体系非常重要。评价客体多样化、评价主体多元化、评价指标定量化使本课程的评价更加具有发展性,课程组在此基础上构建了过程性考核和终结性考核相结合的评价体系,实施效果很好。     

吉林省手风琴音乐创作的调查研究

目前,吉林省手风琴音乐的创作现状并不乐观,进行手风琴音乐创作的老艺人们大都年逾古稀,很多都已离世,只能从老艺人留下的历史资料或艺人们的口述中探寻当年吉林省手风琴音乐创作情况的蛛丝马迹.艺人们从事手风琴音乐创作的出发点除教学需要和个人兴趣之外,重要的一点是传承民族文化.要改善吉林省手风琴音乐创作的现状,一是要思考手风琴表演形式的创新,二是音乐创作素材的挖掘与思考.     

Bayesian estimation of rare sensitive attribute

Randomized response models have been used to estimate a population proportion of a sensitive attribute. A randomized device is typically employed to protect respondent's privacy in a survey. In addition, an unrelated question is asked to improve the statistical efficiency. In this article, we propose Bayesian estimation of rare sensitive attribute using randomized response technique, which includes a rare unrelated attribute. Two cases are considered, the proportion of a rare unrelated attribute is known and unknown. A simulation study is conducted to assess the performance of the models using mean absolute error and coverage probability. The results show that the performance depends on the parameters and is robust to priors.     

基于HHM-RFRM的船舶航行风险评估方法研究

船舶航行风险是由各种风险因素交互作用产生。综合 HHM-RFRM 理论，构建船舶航行多维风险情景危险度测度模型，以风险因素耦合视角探讨船舶航行风险管理问题。在船舶航行多维风险情景危险度测度模型中结合贝叶斯定理，对船舶航行风险情景进行了定性与定量化过滤、评级。最后以大连港某从事商务活动的货船为例，验证了所提出方法的可行性。传统的风险评估方法只能评估单个风险因素对系统的影响，此评估方法克服了这一局限性，为船舶航行风险管理提供新的视角。     

What makes hybrid insourcing successful: A new public–private partnership model for social welfare services

Outsourcing has been a key policy tool for delivering a range of social services, and regarded as more effective than insourcing or direct government provision. At the same time, it has also caused many delivery issues such as principal‐agent problems, a lack of policy coordination, and poor‐quality welfare services. While the pendulum continues to swing between insourcing and outsourcing, we aim to propose a new public–private partnership model called the “hybrid insourcing model” and examine which factors influence the performance of the model. In South Korea, around 2010, the local government in Namyangju City was the first to implement the “Hope Care Center model,” a kind of hybrid insourcing model, which has been praised for its innovation and widely emulated by central and local governments. Our analysis utilizes data collected between December 2017 and January 2018 from public sector employees and civilian staff in Namyangju and a comparable city, A. From this, we draw a number of implications, both for theory and for policy. We argue that, for public–private partnerships, active cooperation and equality are the biggest factors in contributing to positive performance. These work alongside leaders with a clear vision and with employees' positive attitude.     

适于DSP的模拟信号调制方式自动识别方法研究

提出一种适用于DSP的基于Bessel插值结构的正交数字下变频方案，可实现已调信号调制方式的自动识别。该方案能够实现提取信号的正交分量和同相分量，并且能够提取出较高精度的信号的基本参数，由此得到的特征参数可以准确地识别出信号的调制模式。最后，通过计算机和DSP仿真，证明了它的可行性。