首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   2829篇
  免费   58篇
  国内免费   1篇
管理学   402篇
民族学   8篇
人口学   249篇
丛书文集   17篇
理论方法论   307篇
综合类   35篇
社会学   1106篇
统计学   764篇
  2023年   14篇
  2021年   17篇
  2020年   48篇
  2019年   66篇
  2018年   89篇
  2017年   106篇
  2016年   62篇
  2015年   71篇
  2014年   84篇
  2013年   572篇
  2012年   114篇
  2011年   92篇
  2010年   73篇
  2009年   56篇
  2008年   73篇
  2007年   71篇
  2006年   59篇
  2005年   52篇
  2004年   41篇
  2003年   24篇
  2002年   45篇
  2001年   56篇
  2000年   55篇
  1999年   46篇
  1998年   37篇
  1997年   38篇
  1996年   31篇
  1995年   33篇
  1994年   41篇
  1993年   35篇
  1992年   47篇
  1991年   47篇
  1990年   34篇
  1989年   33篇
  1988年   43篇
  1987年   19篇
  1986年   26篇
  1985年   38篇
  1984年   30篇
  1983年   40篇
  1982年   26篇
  1981年   23篇
  1980年   22篇
  1979年   23篇
  1978年   40篇
  1977年   20篇
  1976年   26篇
  1975年   24篇
  1974年   15篇
  1972年   14篇
排序方式: 共有2888条查询结果,搜索用时 105 毫秒
71.
Whereas large-sample properties of the estimators of survival distributions using censored data have been studied by many authors, exact results for small samples have been difficult to obtain. In this paper we obtain the exact expression for the ath moment (a > 0) of the Bayes estimator of survival distribution using the censored data under proportional hazard model. Using the exact expression we compute the exact mean, variance and MSE of the Bayes estimator. Also two estimators ofthe mean survival time based on the Kaplan-Meier estimator and the Bayes estimator are compared for small samples under proportional hazards.  相似文献   
72.
In this article, we present EM algorithms for performing maximum likelihood estimation for three multivariate skew-normal regression models of considerable practical interest. We also consider the restricted estimation of the parameters of certain important special cases of two models. The methodology developed is applied in the analysis of longitudinal data on dental plaque and cholesterol levels.  相似文献   
73.
A complex experiment with qualirarive factors influencing the outcome of the experiment can be seen as a general ANOVA setup. A design of such an experiment will be the assignment at which of the possible levels of the factors the actual experiment should be performed. In this paper optimal designs of such experiments will be characterized with respect to three different optimality criteria including the so called uniform optimality of a design. The possible applications of the main optimization result providing these characterizations can be used to more general experiments. The particular results on these generalizations will be indicated at the end of this paper.  相似文献   
74.
Bayesian and empirical Bayesian decision rules are exhibited for the interval estimation of the parameter 0 of a Uniform (0,θ) distribution. The estimate ?,δ>resulting in the interval [?,?+δ]suffers loss given by L(?,δ>,θ)=1-[?≦e≦?+δ]+c1((?-θ)2+(?+δ?θ)2))+c2δ. The solution is presented for prior distributions G which have bounded support, no point masses,∫θ?mdG(θ)<∞ and for some integer m. An example is presented involving a particular parametric form for G and rates of risk convergence in the empirical Bayes problem for this example are calculated.  相似文献   
75.
Gart (1972) ottered a Statistic on testing the hypothesis of no second-order interaction in a 2×s×t contingency table. The statistic was tn be used as an asymptotic chi-square with (s-1) (t-1) degrees of freedom. We show that this statistic suiters from the drawback that unless certain side conditions hold, the statistic would reject the null hypothesis with probability approaching one asymptotically even in the null case. Hence the statistic is not strictly valid for the hypothesis for which it was intended.  相似文献   
76.
This note presents an extension of Q-method of analysis for binary designs given by Rao (1956) to n-ary balanced and partially balanced block designs. Here a linked n-ary block (LNB) design is defined as the dual of balanced n-ary (BN) design. Having a note on Yates’ (1939, 1940) method of P-analysis, we further extend the expressions for binary linked block (LB) designs given by Rao (1956) to linked n-ary block (LNB) designs which admit easy estimation of parameters for these type of all n-ary designs.  相似文献   
77.
A class of goodness-of-fit estimators is found to provide a useful alternative in certain situations to the standard maximum likelihood method which has some undesirable estimation characteristics for estimation from the three-parameter lognormal distribution. The class of goodness-of-fit tests considered include the Shapiro-Wilk and Filliben tests which reduce to a weighted linear combination of the order statistics that can be maximized in estimation problems. The weighted order statistic estimators are compared to the standard procedures in Monte Carlo simulations. Robustness of the procedures are examined and example data sets analyzed.  相似文献   
78.
In this article we investigate a class of moment-based estimators, called power method estimators, which can be almost as efficient as maximum likelihood estimators and achieve a lower asymptotic variance than the standard zero term method and method of moments estimators. We investigate different methods of implementing the power method in practice and examine the robustness and efficiency of the power method estimators.  相似文献   
79.
This article examines a test procedure for checking the constancy of serial dependence via copulas for Markov time series data. It also provides a copula-based modeling approach for the dynamic serial dependence. Various parametric families of copulas offering different dependent structures are investigated. A score test is proposed for checking the constancy of a copula parameter. The score test is constructed and its asymptotic null distribution established under a two-stage estimation procedure. The test does not require specification of the probability distribution for the copula parameter. To capture the dynamics of dependence structure over time, autoregressive moving average and exponential type models are proposed. Illustrations are given based on simulated data and historic coffee prices data.  相似文献   
80.
The concept of inclusion probability proportional to size sampling plans excluding adjacent units separated by at most a distance of m (≥ 1) units {IPPSEA plans} is introduced. IPPSEA plans ensure that the first-order inclusion probabilities of units are proportional to size measures of the units, while the second-order inclusion probabilities are zero for pairs of adjacent units separated by a distance of m units or less. IPPSEA plans have been obtained by making use of binary, proper, and unequireplicated block designs and linear programing approach. The performance of IPPSEA plans using Horvitz–Thompson estimator of population total has been compared with existing sampling plans such as simple random sampling without replacement (SRSWOR), balanced sampling plans excluding adjacent units {BSA (m) plans}, probability proportional to size with replacement, Hartley and Rao's plan (1962 Hartley , H. O. , Rao , J. N. K. ( 1962 ). Sampling with unequal probabilities and without replacement . Ann. Math. Statist. 33 : 350374 .[Crossref] [Google Scholar]), Rao et al.'s strategy (1962 Rao , J. N. K. , Hartley , H. O. , Cochran , W. G. ( 1962 ). On a simple procedure of unequal probability sampling without replacement . J. Roy. Statist. Soc. B 24 : 482491 . [Google Scholar]), and Sampford's IPPS plan (1967 Sampford , M. R. ( 1967 ). On sampling without replacement with unequal probabilities of selection . Biometrika 54 ( 3 ): 499513 .[Crossref], [PubMed] [Google Scholar]) using a real life population. Unbiased estimation of Horvitz–Thompson estimator of population total is not possible in these types of plans because some of the second-order inclusion probabilities are zero. To resolve this problem, one approximate variance estimation technique has been suggested.  相似文献   
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号