The West,Russia, and China in Central Asia: What Kind of Game Is Being Played in the Region?

The article discusses the nature of the tangled interaction between the ex-Soviet Central Asian republics and the outside great powers – Russia, the United States and China. Although the so-called Great Game model is often used to explain the geopolitical rivalry in the region, the current pattern of relations between various international actors is much more complex than a traditional tug-of-war between the old colonial empires. While Russia's strategic role in Central Asia appears to be on the rise, the capacity of the West to influence political developments in the region has diminished. However, the overall situation in Central Asia remains volatile and its geopolitical landscape is far from being settled.     

Modeling Demand For Unionization With Nontraditional Data Analysis Methods

Upon reviewing the extant literature on determinants of unionism, it becomes clear that many areas that have had a plethora of research attention do not converge upon singularly directional findings. This study explores a potential cause of such an apparent anomaly: nonlinearity of data. An exploratory examination of correlation coefficients among typical union determinant variables seems to show different patterns of relationships at different levels of union demand. Thus, a break from traditional linear data analysis techniques is explored in the interest of explaining more variance with typical, theoretically derived variables by using neural network analysis. Results of analyses on industry level data reveal that using neural network analysis to model union demand explained over four times as much variance as multiple regression analysis.     

Disagreement over the immigration of low-income earners in a welfare state

This paper studies natives’ economically motivated preferences over different levels of immigration of low-income earners. Immigration affects natives through both intra- and intergenerational redistribution programmes and in the labour market. Our analysis suggests, in a welfare state that looks after the poor and the aged, economic motivation does not necessarily lead a native to have an extreme opinion on the preferable level of immigration, although it causes disagreement among natives. We find, regardless of parameter values, high-income earners prefer at least as much immigration as low-income earners who, in turn, prefer at least as much immigration as pensioners. The median voter is then likely to be a low-income native.

超大型平台并购初创企业的反垄断法规制研究

超大型平台并购初创企业可能具有反竞争效应,然而在芝加哥学派“假阳性错误”成本大于“假阴性错误”成本的理论观点以及反垄断监管困境的双重影响下,反垄断执法机构对其长期采取宽容的态度。但是芝加哥学派的错误成本理论在应用于超大型平台并购初创企业时存在局限性。频繁实施的初创企业并购非但不会导致超大型平台走向自毁,反将进一步巩固其市场支配地位、抬高市场进入壁垒。即便市场经历漫长期间之后最终完成了自我纠正,规制不足所造成的“假阴性错误”成本也会十分高昂,平台经济领域公平竞争、行业创新发展和消费者权益保护均会受到长期不利影响。因此,在秉持“包容审慎监管”原则的前提下适度加大监管力度,应当成为对超大型平台并购初创企业进行反垄断法规制的基本取向。基于这一取向,未来对超大型平台并购初创企业的反垄断法规制思路需要进行以下调整：以初创企业市值、用户规模、流量规模等补正并购的既有申报标准;确立契合平台经济特点的竞争损害分析框架;针对超大型平台并购初创企业的不同效应建立宽严相济的法律制度;赋予反垄断执法机构更加广泛的证据收集权,强化参与并购经营者的证明责任,并通过结合这二者的方式来化解反垄断执法机构获取监管信息上的...     

货币政策传导的风险承担渠道研究综述

随着金融创新的发展和金融监管的调整,商业银行的动态风险管理行为对货币政策传导效果的影响越来越大,由此形成了对货币政策传导的风险承担渠道的广泛关注和研究。目前货币政策传导风险承担渠道研究主要包括研究缘起、内涵、相关理论机理及存在性检验等方面,其研究出发点和落脚点均为完善货币政策传导理论,加深对商业银行行为的认识,并为货币政策决策提供参考。     

美丽总是愁人的--论作为一种审美体验的忧郁意识

将作为一种审美形态的悲剧视为艺术表现的最高形式由来以久,但现在来看事情并非如此.悲感现象里的哀怨表现是审美文化中的下品,作为对生命力的肯定的英雄悲剧也并不能达到审美体验的颠峰.只有与幽默感相通的忧郁体验,才能凭藉其生命深度达到审美意识的极限.清楚地认识这一点有助于人们在审美实践中更好地把握审美与人生的关系.     

日本的世界华文文学研究

日本的世界华文文学研究和中国大陆的华文文学研究同时起步,始于1982年。今富正巳教授1992年出版的《马华文学及其周边》一书为日本华文文学研究滥觞期的最高成果。进入21世纪后,日本世界华文文学研究史上里程碑式的业绩出现了,那就是2004年以山田敬三教授为代表的研究人员共同推出的《境外的文化———环太平洋的华人文学》,此书为代表的时期为日本世界华文文学研究的发展期。而今天的日本世界华文文学研究,则可以用"承前启后、继往开来"这八个字来概括。     

“思想的无端骄傲”——评《中国思想史》第一卷

本文是对清华大学教授葛兆光新著《中国思想史》第一卷的学术评论。文章认为 ,葛先生“重写”思想史的基本路子即以论带史、以今视昔、以文领义 ,而“基本路子只有一条 ,一分为三 ,乃是方便说法”。事实上 ,思想史领域本来就别有洞天 ,“葛先生自许的突破之处 ,不过是划地为牢 ,然后纵身一跃 ,作突破状而已。”文章还批评了《中国思想史》中存在的理路不清、用词不当的一些“大议论”。本文作者总结道 :如果要我用一句话来评论这本书 ,我将说 :“在这本号称‘思想史’的书里 ,我看不到历史上的思想和知识 ,我只看到现在一位中国人葛兆光的‘思想’”。     

“满意化”和“适应性”:西蒙有限理性思想探析

本文将从西蒙对有限理性认识的几个重要阶段入手,考察有限理性在西蒙学术生涯中的历史呈现形态,进而解析西蒙有限理性思想的完整含义。本文的基本结论:满意化和适应性是西蒙有限理性思想不可或缺的两个方面。