二战后美国公立中小学教师绩效工资运行轨迹及其意义

归纳总结了美国教师绩效工资制度实行的过程纷争及实践意义,认为探寻美国教师绩效工资的历程,厘清其争论,对于试用此种工资制的国家和地区,无疑具有借鉴意义。     

顾客在新产品开发中的角色扮演研究

顾客在新产品开发(NPD)中具有越来越重要的作用,他们不仅仅是产品和服务的被动接受者,而且渐渐成为企业知识的主要来源。顾客在NPD中的作用可以用三个不同角色来描述:资源、使用者和共同创造者,并分析了在NPD过程中这三个角色所能发挥的作用。     

促进高校机关党建工作科学发展的若干思考

目前,高校机关党建工作在工作思路、制度建设及工作方法等方面存在不足,只有解放思想、与时俱进加强学习型党组织建设,才能开拓工作思路和提高工作水平;只有不断创新党建工作的方式方法、完善和改进制度建设,才能切实增强高校机关党组织的创造力、凝聚力、战斗力;只有全面带动和加强机关作风建设,机关党组织才能更好地为高校的教学、科研服务。     

Cox regression analysis in presence of collinearity: an application to assessment of health risks associated with occupational radiation exposure

This paper considers the analysis of time to event data in the presence of collinearity between covariates. In linear and logistic regression models, the ridge regression estimator has been applied as an alternative to the maximum likelihood estimator in the presence of collinearity. The advantage of the ridge regression estimator over the usual maximum likelihood estimator is that the former often has a smaller total mean square error and is thus more precise. In this paper, we generalized this approach for addressing collinearity to the Cox proportional hazards model. Simulation studies were conducted to evaluate the performance of the ridge regression estimator. Our approach was motivated by an occupational radiation study conducted at Oak Ridge National Laboratory to evaluate health risks associated with occupational radiation exposure in which the exposure tends to be correlated with possible confounders such as years of exposure and attained age. We applied the proposed methods to this study to evaluate the association of radiation exposure with all-cause mortality.     

Bayesian analysis of human movement curves

Summary.  We consider the Bayesian analysis of human movement data, where the subjects perform various reaching tasks. A set of markers is placed on each subject and a system of cameras records the three-dimensional Cartesian co-ordinates of the markers during the reaching movement. It is of interest to describe the mean and variability of the curves that are traced by the markers during one reaching movement, and to identify any differences due to covariates. We propose a methodology based on a hierarchical Bayesian model for the curves. An important part of the method is to obtain identifiable features of the movement so that different curves can be compared after temporal warping. We consider four landmarks and a set of equally spaced pseudolandmarks are located in between. We demonstrate that the algorithm works well in locating the landmarks, and shape analysis techniques are used to describe the posterior distribution of the mean curve. A feature of this type of data is that some parts of the movement data may be missing—the Bayesian methodology is easily adapted to cope with this situation.     

基于二值响应模型的房地产泡沫预警方法研究

 本文在总结国内外房地产泡沫预警研究的基础上，论述了二值响应模型在房地产泡沫预警研究中的应用，并以日本为例进行了实证研究。结果表明，二值响应模型在房地产泡沫预警中有比较准确的预测作用。另外，与徐滇庆(2000)的研究不同，有关股市价值的相关变量并不能对房地产泡沫起到明显的预警作用。     

The dynamics of negation: identity formation among Palestinian Arab college students inside the green line

How does granting certificates of ‘business clean of Arab workers’ to owners of shops, stores, and Jewish businesses who prove they are not employing Arab workers shape identity? Identity development involves making sense of, and coming to terms with, the social world one inhabits, recognizing choices and making decisions within contexts, and finding a sense of unity within one's self while claiming a place in the world. Since there is no objective, ahistoric, universal trans-cultural identity, views of identity must be historically and culturally situated. This paper explores identity issues among members of the Palestinian Arab minority in Israel. While there is a body of literature exploring this subject, we will offer a different perspective by contextualizing the political and economic contexts that form an essential foundation for understanding identity formation among this minority group. We argue that, as a genre of settler colonialism, ‘pure settlement colonies’ involve the conquering not only of land, but of labor as well, excluding the natives from the economy. Such an exclusion from the economy is significant for its cultural, social, and ideological consequences, and therefore is especially significant in identity formation discussed in the paper. We briefly review existing approaches to the study of identity among Palestinian Arabs in Israel, and illustrate our theoretical contextual framework. Finally, we present and discuss findings from a new study of identity among Palestinian Arab college students in Israel through the lens of this framework.     

理论创新:人类学民族学学科发展的新进路

本文就人类学民族学理论及其分支学科的基础理论创新作了简要的论述。以例证形式提出了人类学民族学哲学理论缺失、"田野调查"研究范式老化及我国生态人类学研究重心等问题。上述问题的存在,充分证明了人类学民族学及其分支学科的基础理论研究跟不上当下社会所面临的理论需求和指导。学科的基础理论创新是学术的一个增长点,是促进人类学民族学创新的新路径。     

On-Line Scheduling of Two-Machine Open Shops Where Jobs Arrive Over Time

We investigate the problem of on-line scheduling two-machine open shops with the objective of minimizing the makespan.Jobs arrive independently over time, and the existence of a job is not known until its arrival. In the clairvoyant on-line model, the processing requirement of every job becomes fully known at the arrival of the job, while inthe non-clairvoyant on-line model, this processing requirement is notknown until the job is processed and completed.In both models, scheduling of a job is irrevocable.We study the two-machine open shop problem for both models in the preemptive and in the non-preemptive version. For each of the four variants, we provide an algorithm that is best possible with respect to the worst-case performance. In the clairvoyant on-line model, the best worst-case performance ratios are 5/4 (preemptive) and 3/2 (non-preemptive), and in the non-clairvoyant on-line model, they are 3/2 (preemptive and non-preemptive).     

技术创新中的不确定性

本文从信息不确定性角度运用数理经济学方法,研究中国技术创新近10年发展的规律。首先构造了一个准三方模型,来探讨技术交易买卖双方关于卖方技术质量和买方企业生产开发能力的相对信息不对称对技术交易成交可能性和卖方期望收益的影响。其次,提出了技术交易隐含价格的概念,对技术市场作供需平衡分析,揭示出技术市场失效为“柠檬市场”的悲观前景。最后,探讨了科技实业创业三部曲,指出在科技实业事业社会发展阶段,国家或主管机构与件技实业的关系可作为一种主从关系问题来研究,其垓心是信号当且仅当有信息才有价值,最优利益分享规则要求充分利用可以获取的受托方行为信息,以解决激励和风险分担的双重要求。