马克斯·韦伯文明史研究方法中的问题意识与逻辑链

人们对马克斯·韦伯的理解向来多有歧异.文明史研究的视角有助于解决这种歧异.文明史研究需要多学科、多维度视野,韦伯的文明史研究具有同样的特征.这也是韦伯的问题意识与方法上的广泛地批判借用所决定.在韦伯寻找对问题的解答中实际蕴涵了三条值得注意的逻辑链.这些逻辑链对于研究文明史中的转型问题具有重要意义.     

Characterizations based on conditional expectations

For given real functionsg andh, first we give necessary and sufficient conditions such that there exists a random variableX satisfying thatE(g(X)|X≥y)=h(y)r _x (y),∀y ∈ C _x , whereC _x andT _X are the support and the failure rate function ofX, respectively. These extend the results of Ruiz and Navarro (1994) and Ghitany et al. (1995). Next we investigate necessary and sufficient conditions such thath(y)=E(g(X)|X≥y), for a given functionh. Support for this research was provided in part by the National Science Council of the Republic of China, Grant No. NSC 86-2115-M-110-014 and NSC 88-2118-M-110-001     

索赔次数的开放式混合泊松分布研究

本文建立了索赔次数的多风险类别混合泊松模型。首先,考虑索赔次数的零膨胀、厚尾性和异质性等特征,建立风险类别待定的开放式混合泊松模型,开放式结构使该模型对实际数据的多样特征和风险类别具有良好的自适应性;其次,定义混合权重参数的iSCAD惩罚函数,实现对权重参数的筛选;最后,借助EM算法求得模型参数,实现对各风险类别下索赔次数的估计。借助iSCAD惩罚函数,给出最优混合数,避免传统混合模型中主观选择的弊端,克服传统混合模型中结构复杂、参数估计没有显式表达式、估计结果不便于解释等问题。基于三组风险特征多样数据的实证分析,本文发现该模型可以显著改进现有模型的拟合效果。     

Quantile regression for large-scale data via sparse exponential transform method

In recent decades, quantile regression has received much more attention from academics and practitioners. However, most of existing computational algorithms are only effective for small or moderate size problems. They cannot solve quantile regression with large-scale data reliably and efficiently. To this end, we propose a new algorithm to implement quantile regression on large-scale data using the sparse exponential transform (SET) method. This algorithm mainly constructs a well-conditioned basis and a sampling matrix to reduce the number of observations. It then solves a quantile regression problem on this reduced matrix and obtains an approximate solution. Through simulation studies and empirical analysis of a 5% sample of the US 2000 Census data, we demonstrate efficiency of the SET-based algorithm. Numerical results indicate that our new algorithm is effective in terms of computation time and performs well for large-scale quantile regression.     

Instrumental variable based variable selection for generalized linear models with endogenous covariates

We study the variable selection problem for a class of generalized linear models with endogenous covariates. Based on the instrumental variable adjustment technology and the smooth-threshold estimating equation (SEE) method, we propose an instrumental variable based variable selection procedure. The proposed variable selection method can attenuate the effect of endogeneity in covariates, and is easy for application in practice. Some theoretical results are also derived such as the consistency of the proposed variable selection procedure and the convergence rate of the resulting estimator. Further, some simulation studies and a real data analysis are conducted to evaluate the performance of the proposed method, and simulation results show that the proposed method is workable.     

Policies for Recruiting Talented Professionals from the Diaspora: India and China Compared

Despite the continuous asymmetrical power relations between the Global North and South, the “global race for talent” is no longer a privilege enjoyed only by developed countries. Comparative analysis of policy content and effectiveness has attracted increasing interest. The examination of policy initiatives resulting in return migration of highly‐skilled migrants from the Global North to the Global South, however, remains inadequate. In this article, we provide a comparative analysis of policies targeting high‐level Chinese and Indian professionals including full‐time returnees. Two key differences in policy instruments and outcomes in the two countries are identified and they have implications for migration policies in other countries in the Global South and North.     

Impact of metabolic syndrome and its components on kidney stone in aging Taiwanese males

Objectives: Metabolic syndrome (MtS) and kidney stone are two common aging diseases with male dominant. This is the first study regarding the potential impact of MtS and its components on kidney stone in aging Chinese population.

Methods: A total of 694 males with a mean age of 55.6 years were enrolled. The definition of MtS was according to the modified criteria developed by the Bureau of Health Promotion in Taiwan. Subjects were classified as having a disease of kidney stones according to diagnosis by a physician with available medical records or evidence from ultrasonography judged by an investigator of urologist.

Results: Using age-adjusted multivariate logistic regression analysis, our results showed that subjects with kidney stone had significantly higher prevalence of MtS (p?=?0.04, OR?=?1.74, 95% CI: 1.0 1–3.00). The presence of MtS had significant correlation with kidney stone (p?=?0.01, OR?=?1.83, 95% CI: 1.1 4–2.93), which were associated with the increment of MtS components (p?p?Conclusions: In aging Taiwanese males, the presence of MtS and its components are strongly associated with kidney stone. Abnormal BP is the most significant risk component of MtS for kidney stone.     

Discrimination and incorporation of Taiwanese indigenous Austronesian peoples

This paper examines contemporary developments among Taiwan’s indigenous Austronesian peoples. We have reviewed major policy changes mainly since the 1980s and their impacts on later developments – both the positive improvements in general well-being and the persistence of ingrained problems among them. Major findings indicate two growing trends among Taiwanese Austronesians. One is the rise of interest in their cultures and efforts to preserve and restore selected indigenous customs and practices. The other trend is a continuous outflow of the indigenes from traditional tribal communities to urban centers for better employment, education, or health care. Their increasing urbanization also contributes to more inter-ethnic marriages and the loss of indigenous languages and practices. The case of Taiwanese Austronesians illustrates the impacts historical and politico-economic processes are having on indigenous peoples.     

共同富裕视域下三次分配的理论基础、本质要求及路径保障

在我国,三次分配是以马克思主义分配正义思想为理论指导,以社会主义按劳分配为分配原则,以第一次分配、第二次分配为分配基础,把第三次分配作为中国特色社会主义新时代收入分配制度体系重要组成部分的一种基础性制度安排,体现了社会主义的本质要求,是新时代落实以人民为中心的发展思想、使全体人民共同富裕取得更为明显的实质性进展的有效措施。本题以“社会公平正义”为价值原则,以“社会道德良知”为价值选择,以“社会共同富裕”为价值归宿,建构与阐明了中国特色社会主义新时代三次分配问题的基本共识,突出强调改善收入与社会财富分配上的最大公约数。三次分配以共同富裕为出发点和归宿也就决定了中国特色社会主义新时代三次分配必须遵从社会共同富裕的本质要求,明确社会主义核心价值观舆论导向,培育社会道德良知;加强政府对分配的监管,促进基本公共服务合理分配;深化分配制度改革,推进社会共同富裕逐步形成。     

分权与旅游治理:基于欠发达地区的实证分析

许多发展中国家实行高度的中央集权,学界对国家政治体制的集权化及其作用已经进行许多有益的探讨,但是对分权的利弊及存在问题却没有深入涉及。本文首先回顾区域治理中的分权理论,提出了一个权力配置、分权控制及其政治规范性的区域治理分析框架,用于描述国家权力在旅游治理中的运行机制,以北部湾旅游发展的实践为例,通过考察中央政府和地方政府、地方企业以及非政府组织在权力治理网络中成长态势,评估广西地方政府在区域旅游治理中的效力,研究发现地方政府在参与决策制定方面仍面临种种困难。