《绍兴文理学院学报》(自然科学)2000-2004年引文的统计分析

运用文献计量学原理和方法，对《绍兴文理学院学报》（自然科学）（以下简称《学报》）2000—2004年引文情况进行了统计和分析，旨在揭示《学报》论文作者利用科技文献的规律．     

Gender,lineage, and fertility‐related outcomes in Ghana

A growing literature examines the empirical relationship between the joint reproductive preferences of marital partners and reproductive outcomes in Africa. Less explored is how spousal power in decision making may be influenced by lineage type. Using pooled data from Ghana, we investigate how lineage affects gendered reproductive decision outcomes and find some evidence that matrilineal women are more able than nonmatrilineal women to translate their reproductive preferences into action consistent with their goals.     

国际刑事法院的管辖权与美伊战争

依据国际法,主权国家可以对危害国际社会共同利益的国际罪行行使普遍管辖权。但是,从以往的国际实践来看,这种间接管辖的方式效果不尽人意。特别是对某些特定的国际罪行,如战争罪,侵略罪,种族灭绝罪,危害人类罪等等。在国际刑事法院建立之后,这些国际人道法中的罪行在法定条件下可以由国际刑事法院直接管辖。国际刑事法院必须尊重国内法院的管辖权,并符合相应的条件。本文试图讨论2003年的美伊战争中是否存在违反国际人道法的行为,这些行为是否可成为国际刑事法院管辖的对象。     

明星制：中国影视业发展的有效途径

明星制是好莱坞电影工业化和社会化的重要标志。新世纪以来的中国电影电视业已走向产业化发展道路,中国明星制的建立完善已成为不可回避的问题。明星制中的明星打造、追星族的社会心理、明星双面效应以及中国本土明星制的完善健全等问题都值得我们探讨研究。     

HEAVY-TAILED-DISTRIBUTED THRESHOLD STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY MODELS IN FINANCIAL TIME SERIES

To capture mean and variance asymmetries and time‐varying volatility in financial time series, we generalize the threshold stochastic volatility (THSV) model and incorporate a heavy‐tailed error distribution. Unlike existing stochastic volatility models, this model simultaneously accounts for uncertainty in the unobserved threshold value and in the time‐delay parameter. Self‐exciting and exogenous threshold variables are considered to investigate the impact of a number of market news variables on volatility changes. Adopting a Bayesian approach, we use Markov chain Monte Carlo methods to estimate all unknown parameters and latent variables. A simulation experiment demonstrates good estimation performance for reasonable sample sizes. In a study of two international financial market indices, we consider two variants of the generalized THSV model, with US market news as the threshold variable. Finally, we compare models using Bayesian forecasting in a value‐at‐risk (VaR) study. The results show that our proposed model can generate more accurate VaR forecasts than can standard models.     

Test for homogeneity in Hardy–Weinberg normal mixture model

The phenotype of a quantitative trait locus (QTL) is often modeled by a finite mixture of normal distributions. If the QTL effect depends on the number of copies of a specific allele one carries, then the mixture model has three components. In this case, the mixing proportions have a binomial structure according to the Hardy–Weinberg equilibrium. In the search for QTL, a significance test of homogeneity against the Hardy–Weinberg normal mixture model alternative is an important first step. The LOD score method, a likelihood ratio test used in genetics, is a favored choice. However, there is not yet a general theory for the limiting distribution of the likelihood ratio statistic in the presence of unknown variance. This paper derives the limiting distribution of the likelihood ratio statistic, which can be described by the supremum of a quadratic form of a Gaussian process. Further, the result implies that the distribution of the modified likelihood ratio statistic is well approximated by a chi-squared distribution. Simulation results show that the approximation has satisfactory precision for the cases considered. We also give a real-data example.     

青少年法制教育应确立新思路

新时期的青少年法制教育必须注入全新的理念 ,使法制教育成为素质教育的一部分 ,应在法制教育的同时加强对青少年权利义务观念、信用意识、科学精神的培养 ,并使青少年认识到法律的价值所在 ,才能培养自觉的守法精神。     

李白乐府诗歌《蜀道难》等三首同音重复的语言风格

李白三十多岁初入长安时期创作的乐府诗歌《蜀道难》、《行路难》、《将进酒》是其诗歌创作第一高峰时期的代表作。本文运用汉语韵律学的理论,分析李白《蜀道难》等三首乐府诗歌中运用同音重复手段所产生的一唱三叹、突出主题、加重感情等音韵魅力和语言风格,揭示了作品中语言风格与托物言志的意境、“挥斥幽愤”的思想感情是融为一体的,让读者从新的角度体味李白乐府诗歌崇高的浪漫主义意境。     

上市公司虚减成本费用的方法分析

中国证券市场尚不完善 ,上市公司操纵利润的现象屡见不鲜。虚减成本费用是上市公司调增利润更简便的方法。在财务运作中 ,上市公司频繁运用虚拟资产、利息资本化等五种方法虚减成本费用     

How Welfare Policies Affect Adolescents' School Outcomes: A Synthesis of Evidence From Experimental Studies

Using data from 8 random assignment studies and employing meta‐analytic techniques, this article provides systematic evidence that welfare and work policies targeted at low‐income parents have small adverse effects on some school outcomes among adolescents ages 12 to 18 years at follow‐up. These adverse effects were observed mostly for school performance outcomes and occurred in programs that required mothers to work or participate in employment‐related activities and those that encouraged mothers to work voluntarily. The most pronounced negative effects on school outcomes occurred for the group of adolescents who had a younger sibling, possibly because of the increased home and sibling care responsibilities they assumed as their mothers increased their employment.