Multivariate CUSUM and EWMA Control Charts for Skewed Populations Using Weighted Standard Deviations

This article proposes a heuristic method of constructing multivariate cumulative sum and exponentially weighted moving average control charts for skewed populations based on the weighted standard deviation method which adjusts the variance–covariance matrix of quality characteristics and approximates the probability density function using several multivariate normal distributions. These control charts, however, reduce to the conventional control charts when the underlying distribution is symmetric. In-control and out-of-control average run lengths of the proposed control charts are compared with those of the conventional control charts for multivariate lognormal and Weibull distributions. Simulation results show that considerable improvements over the standard method can be achieved when the underlying distribution is skewed.     

Multinomial Selection for Comparison with a Standard

The multinomial selection problem is considered under the formulation of comparison with a standard, where each system is required to be compared to a single system, referred to as a “standard,” as well as to other alternative systems. The goal is to identify systems that are better than the standard, or to retain the standard when it is equal to or better than the other alternatives in terms of the probability to generate the largest or smallest performance measure. We derive new multinomial selection procedures for comparison with a standard to be applied in different scenarios, including exact small-sample procedure and approximate large-sample procedure. Empirical results and the proof are presented to demonstrate the statistical validity of our procedures. The tables of the procedure parameters and the corresponding exact probability of correct selection are also provided.     

New Approach of Directional Dependence in Exchange Markets Using Generalized FGM Copula Function

This article presents an application of copula methodology in exchange markets. In this article, we consider the concept of directional dependence given by Sungur (2005 Sungur , E. A. ( 2005 ). Some observations on copula regression functions . Communications in Statistics—Theory and Methods 34 : 1967 – 1978 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). We also consider and study directional dependence for generalized Farlie–Gumbel–Morgenstern (FGM) distributions, which are a member of the Rodríguez-Lallena and Úbeda-Flores (2004 Rodríguez-Lallena , J. A. , Úbeda-Flores , M. ( 2004 ). A new class of bivariate copulas . Statistical Probability Letters 66 : 315 – 325 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) family, C(u, v) = uv + f(u)g(v). Examples of the generalized FGM distributions are provided with exchange market data of the Euro, Canadian dollar, Korean Won, Japanese Yen, and Hong Kong dollar against the U.S. dollar.     

Regression Tolerance Intervals

In this article, we discuss the utility of tolerance intervals for various regression models. We begin with a discussion of tolerance intervals for linear and nonlinear regression models. We then introduce a novel method for constructing nonparametric regression tolerance intervals by extending the well-established procedure for univariate data. Simulation results and application to real datasets are presented to help visualize regression tolerance intervals and to demonstrate that the methods we discuss have coverage probabilities very close to the specified nominal confidence level.     

A Tale of Two Matrix Factorizations

In statistical practice, rectangular tables of numeric data are commonplace, and are often analyzed using dimension-reduction methods like the singular value decomposition and its close cousin, principal component analysis (PCA). This analysis produces score and loading matrices representing the rows and the columns of the original table and these matrices may be used for both prediction purposes and to gain structural understanding of the data. In some tables, the data entries are necessarily nonnegative (apart, perhaps, from some small random noise), and so the matrix factors meant to represent them should arguably also contain only nonnegative elements. This thinking, and the desire for parsimony, underlies such techniques as rotating factors in a search for “simple structure.” These attempts to transform score or loading matrices of mixed sign into nonnegative, parsimonious forms are, however, indirect and at best imperfect. The recent development of nonnegative matrix factorization, or NMF, is an attractive alternative. Rather than attempt to transform a loading or score matrix of mixed signs into one with only nonnegative elements, it directly seeks matrix factors containing only nonnegative elements. The resulting factorization often leads to substantial improvements in interpretability of the factors. We illustrate this potential by synthetic examples and a real dataset. The question of exactly when NMF is effective is not fully resolved, but some indicators of its domain of success are given. It is pointed out that the NMF factors can be used in much the same way as those coming from PCA for such tasks as ordination, clustering, and prediction. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.     

Adaptive Sequential Preventive Maintenance Policy and Bayesian Consideration

This article proposes an adaptive sequential preventive maintenance (PM) policy for which an improvement factor is newly introduced to measure the PM effect at each PM. For this model, the PM actions are conducted at different time intervals so that an adaptive method needs to be utilized to determine the optimal PM times minimizing the expected cost rate per unit time. At each PM, the hazard rate is reduced by an amount affected by the improvement factor which depends on the number of PM's preceding the current one. We derive mathematical formulas to evaluate the expected cost rate per unit time by incorporating the PM cost, repair cost, and replacement cost. Assuming that the failure times follow a Weibull distribution, we propose an optimal sequential PM policy by minimizing the expected cost rate. Furthermore, we consider Bayesian aspects for the sequential PM policy to discuss its optimality. The effect of some parameters and the functional forms of improvement factor on the optimal PM policy is measured numerically by sensibility analysis and some numerical examples are presented for illustrative purposes.     

Robust R-Estimation of a Consensus Value from Multi-Center Studies

We consider multi-center experiments (for determining a consensus value) conducted in possibly heterogeneous set-ups leading to unbalanced heteroscedastic one-way random effects models. When normality of both the random components and their homoscedasticity are in doubt, standard statistical methods may not be valid. Two robust R-estimators (for the common location parameter), based on signed-rank statistics, are proposed and their properties studied. When large heteroscedasticity is present or the distribution of random effect is abnormal, the proposed estimators perform better than the classical weighted least squares and selected estimators. This feature is illustrated with an arsenic in oyster tissue problem, along with some other simulation studies.     

A Lasso-type Robust Variable Selection for Time-Course Microarray Data

Lasso has been widely used for variable selection because of its sparsity, and a number of its extensions have been developed. In this article, we propose a robust variant of Lasso for the time-course multivariate response, and develop an algorithm which transforms the optimization into a sequence of ridge regressions. The proposed method enables us to effectively handle multivariate responses and employs a basis representation of the regression parameters to reduce the dimensionality. We assess the proposed method through simulation and apply it to the microarray data.     

A note on the effect of simple equicorrelation in detecting a spurious multivariate observation

This paper examines the robustness of the multivariate version of Grubs' (1950) procedure for detecting an outlier in a sample of n independent observations against equicorrelation of the observations. It is shown that the robustness of the univariate test to equicorrelation extends to the multivariate test in that the distribution of the maximum squared radii-test for a multivariate oulier in identical for both the independent and siaply equicorrelated data models.