儒家"以道德代宗教"的思想特质及其现代反思——兼论现代新儒家的"人文宗教"观

儒家"以道德代宗教",其前提条件必须是道德自身成为一种信仰.儒家对"人文"精神及其道德教化的极端重视导致其"道德信仰"的最终确立.现代新儒家的代表人物梁漱溟、钱穆、唐君毅在深入研究儒家思想的宗教特质时,都认同儒家"以道德代宗教"的思维取向与思想特质,并形成了一个认识上的"三阶梯".然而历史与现实都告知我们,当道德信仰放大为政治教条并强化至一个极端时,悖论就开始出现了.     

“后理论”转向与当代文学理论研究

西方文论的"后理论"转向,既表现为"反理论",即对此前盛行的后现代文化理论的批判反思,同时也是一种"新理论",指向对前人遗留问题及新的现实问题的重新探讨。在"后理论"转向的启示下,我国当代文论研究,一方面有必要加强理论反思,包括解构性反思和建构性反思,这不仅需要怀疑和批判精神,同时也需要建构性的理论精神;另一方面,还有必要在理论反思的基础上重建当代文论的理论自觉。这种理论自觉所关涉的主要问题,一是当代文论建构的现实基点问题,二是当代文论建构的文学观念和价值理念问题,三是当代文论对文学实践和社会现实的"介入"功能问题,四是当代文论的开放与坚守辩证统一的问题。     

央行财务实力与冲销操作可持续性分析

本文分析了央行的资产负债表,估算了央行的冲销成本与会计利润。我们发现,尽管外汇储备增长迅速,在2000～2008年期间我国央行通过政策组合有效控制了冲销操作的成本,维持了利润为正。但是长期而言,由于外汇储备规模不断扩大,加上人民币汇率的升值压力,我国央行冲销操作的可持续性值得怀疑。最后本文给出了一些政策建议。     

BUSINESS CYCLE FLUCTUATIONS WITH THE DIVISION OF PERMANENT AND TEMPORARY EMPLOYMENT

In the mainstream real business cycle (RBC) model, labor can be viewed as temporary employment since the firm's demand for labor behaves directly in response to stochastic productivity shocks in each period. This paper provides a tractable way of analyzing fluctuations in permanent and temporary employment over the business cycle, as well as the underlying driving forces. This inclusion of heterogeneity helps reconcile the RBC model with the U.S. data given that temporary employees in general only account for a small proportion of total private‐sector employment (about 2%–3%). We draw an explicit division between permanent and temporary employment and resort to this separation to account for stylized facts that characterize a two‐tier labor market. In particular, with regard to the U.S. labor market, our benchmark model can well explain the motivating facts: (1) temporary employment is much more volatile than permanent employment, (2) the share of temporary employment (the ratio of temporary to aggregate employment) exhibits strong pro‐cyclicality, (3) permanent employment lags by two quarters on average, and (4) the correlation between temporary employment and output is stronger than that involving the permanent counterpart. The quantitative analysis suggests that our proposed channels explain the main facts well and the model further provides plausible reasoning for a firm's labor hoarding. (JEL E24, E32)     

关于文化经济的几个基本理论问题的探讨

文化经济作为新世纪的时代命题和战略构想,反映了未来发展的新趋势和新动向。它以精神生产、文化产业和文化产品为核心概念,具有创新性、可持续性、非物质性、成本特殊性和文化、经济属性。发展文化经济是对建设中国特色社会主义规律性认识的深化,对调整产业结构,拉动经济增长,促进文化繁荣具有十分重要的意义和价值。     

Advancing national human resource development research: suggestions for multilevel investigations

National human resource development (NHRD) is now an important area of investigation within human resource development with significant growth in publications over 49 years. Scholars have, however, highlighted the need for multilevel approaches to NHRD. We reviewed 192 papers to identify gaps on multilevel theorizing, and we propose a multilevel framework incorporating macro, meso, and micro levels of analysis. We develop principles and guidelines around WHAT, HOW, WHERE, WHEN, and WHY questions to promote multilevel NHRD research. Finally, we discuss research and methodological implications of our review.     

日本食品供应链管理模式的经验借鉴

日本食品供应链管理的重点放在发展食品安全追踪方面;而海外进口食品的安全,则主要依靠严格的进口检验检疫制度和综合商社通过供应链管理来控制。日本以农协体系为基础、以农产品流通模式和食品安全管理模式为特征的食品供应链管理模式,符合中国食品供应链管理的发展条件,对中国食品安全管理具有很强的借鉴意义。     

Modeling lactation curves: classical parametric models re-examined and modified

A large number of methods for modeling lactation curves have been proposed – parametric and nonparametric, mathematically or biologically oriented. The most popular of these are methods that express the milk yield in terms of time via a parametric nonlinear functional equation. This is intuitive and allows for relatively easy mathematical and biological interpretations of the parameters involved. Interestingly, as far as we are aware, all such models generate nonzero milk yields on the whole positive time half-line, even though real lactation curves always have finite range, with spans of approximately 300 days for dairy cows. For this reason, we re-examine a number of existing parametric models, and modify them to produce finite-range lactation curves that fit remarkably well to data of milk yields from New Zealand cows. The use of daily or weekly yields rather than the monthly yields normally considered reveals considerable variation that is usually suppressed. Both individual and herd lactation curves are examined in the present paper, and median-based procedures explored as alternatives to the usual average-based methods. These suggestions offer further insights into the existing literature on modeling lactation curves.     

广告媒介简说

通过对媒介的历时状态的考察,认为媒介从它结合的对象可以分为负载、传播人类认识内容的媒介与负载、传播信息符号的媒介两种;从它的形成与利用情况可以分为二个阶段,十种形式.两个阶段为:规约阶段的媒介与取用阶段的媒介.十种形式为:规约的单一材质媒介、规约的复合材质媒介、规约的复合型映射材质媒介;自控的单一材质媒介、自控的复合材质媒介、自控的复合型映射材质媒介、他控的复合型映射材质媒、他控的复合材质媒介、他控的交叉型复合映射材质媒介、半控的交叉型复合映射材质媒介等.并且在麦克鲁汉"一种传播媒介的内容经常是另外一种传播媒介"的基础上提出"一种传播媒介的形式,可以是另外一种传播媒介",并以此为基础考察了广告媒介的复杂状态,指出媒介不仅仅是中介性的物质实体,也可以是依赖于一定物质实体的事件过程,或者是依赖于一定物质实体的结构状态,甚至是原型.最后对广告媒介的内容与形式的协调进行了初步的考察.     

海西主体功能区人口与产业集聚战略的研究

基于2004年规模以上工业企业时点数据,使用区位商对福建省整体及其内部九大地市的工业产业部门进行衡量和比较,使用人口重心对福建省人口的分布和移动路径以及影响因素进行分析.以期海西能够在新一轮的发展中脱颖而出,成为我国经济发展新的"增长极".