“两型”社会建设中的农户土地转出意愿分析——以长沙大河西光导区为例

对长沙大河西4个典型土地流转示范村进行农户土地转出意愿问卷调查,建立Logistic回归模型,分析农户土地转出意愿及影响因素。在5％水平下。对土地转出意愿具有显著的影响因素有中介组织、就业类型、家庭总收入、土地流转合同和家庭总人口,而年龄、受教育程度和家庭参保人数等对农户土地转出意愿没有显著性影响。     

道德个体与契约个体——中西思想比较视阈中的"儒家与自由主义"

中西思想如何看待"个体",是当前讨论"儒家与自由主义"话题的一个有内涵的切入点;儒家思想中的个体是关系式"道德个体",而西方思想自由主义思想中的个体则可概之为原子式"契约个体".儒家道德关系所建构的个体,其功能的发挥,必须置于关系构架的互动中才有可能.源于古希腊的原子主义传统的个体,则如单个的原子那样是一个完全独立的单位,能够发挥其独立自主的功能.儒家关系式道德个体立基于性善理念的正面价值,其所对应的个体进路及方法为"修身",其目标取向则为整体和谐.西方原子式契约个体则立基干人性的负面价值,其所对应的路径为"契约"方式,其目标取向则为个体的独立自由、正义平等.马克思自由观既立基于个体发展这一出发点,又将价值取向置于集体主义的、整体境界的终极目标;这和中国儒家的理念及思路有相合之处.这当然是一种富有启示的理想境界.     

天津临港工业区雨水规划特点

一、天津临港工业区概况 天津临港工业区位于海河人海口南岸地区,大沽沙河道南侧,北部为天津港南疆港区,西北部为塘沽东大沽生活区,西部为天津港南疆散货物流中心,南部为规划海滨风景旅游区。临港工业区原状为滩涂,滩面宽广,地势平缓,标高较高,为-2．5米-4米（理论基准面高程）,围海造地条件良好,远期标高将深入至约-4米。     

A permutation test approach to the choice of size k for the nearest neighbors classifier

The k nearest neighbors (k-NN) classifier is one of the most popular methods for statistical pattern recognition and machine learning. In practice, the size k, the number of neighbors used for classification, is usually arbitrarily set to one or some other small numbers, or based on the cross-validation procedure. In this study, we propose a novel alternative approach to decide the size k. Based on a k-NN-based multivariate multi-sample test, we assign each k a permutation test based Z-score. The number of NN is set to the k with the highest Z-score. This approach is computationally efficient since we have derived the formulas for the mean and variance of the test statistic under permutation distribution for multiple sample groups. Several simulation and real-world data sets are analyzed to investigate the performance of our approach. The usefulness of our approach is demonstrated through the evaluation of prediction accuracies using Z-score as a criterion to select the size k. We also compare our approach to the widely used cross-validation approaches. The results show that the size k selected by our approach yields high prediction accuracies when informative features are used for classification, whereas the cross-validation approach may fail in some cases.     

中国钢铁产业关联效应及国际比较分析

 本文应用投入产出表计算了中国钢铁产业关联效应及其国际比较,并分析了各项最终需求对钢铁产业生产的诱发作用。研究结果显示,我国钢铁产业对黑色金属矿采选业后向直接关联效应明显高于其它七国;包括中国、巴西等在内的发展中国家和韩国等新兴工业化国家的钢铁产业对建筑业的前向关联效应远远高于发达国家;我国钢铁产业对国民经济的拉动效应低于其它七个产钢大国,且其对我国国民经济的推动作用呈降低趋势;投资需求仍然是诱发我国钢铁产业生产的最重要因素,明显高于日本、美国等钢铁强国,也高于印度和巴西等钢产量很大的发展中国家;出口需求对钢铁产业生产的拉动效应明显低于钢产量远小于中国的日本等OECD国家。     

Gambling and problem/pathological gambling among ex-offenders in Hong Kong

This paper considers the issue of ex-offenders who can be identified as having an addiction to gambling; one that has been long-neglected in Hong Kong. It reports on a study in which 378 ex-offenders were asked to assess their gambling involvement. The paper identifies the importance of social workers developing a better understanding of this issue in their work with ex-offenders and the findings suggest there is further scope for research and analysis about the extent of this problem and its management.     

Sharing inventory risk in supply chain: The implication of financial constraint

A supply chain may operate under either preorder mode, consignment mode or the combination of these two modes. Under preorder, the retailer procures before the sale and takes full inventory risk during the sale, while under consignment, the retailer sells the product for the supplier with the supplier taking the inventory risk. The combination mode shares the risk in the supply chain. The existing research has examined the supply chain modes from various operational aspects. However, the impact of financial constraint is neglected. This paper examines the impact of financial constraint and investigates the supply chain efficiency under each mode. Based on a Stackelberg game with the supplier being the leader, we show that without financial constraint the supplier always prefers the consignment mode, taking full inventory risk. Whereas, in the presence of financial constraint, the supplier will sell part of the inventory to the retailer through preorder, which shares the inventory risk in the supply chain. We show that with financial constraint, the combination mode is the most efficient mode even if the retailer earns zero internal capital.     

论余靖哲学及其思想特质

余靖从世界的物质性出发,分析了“道”与“权”的辩证关系,强调把握“度”的意义;从现象与本质关系中,揭示出透过现象把握事物本质的认识过程,批判和驳斥了仁宗时期的“舍利”、“祥瑞”等迷信现象,强调了“在人不在神”的观点,从而肯定了人的实践主体性,并从实际出发阐述社会变革思想。余靖的思想基本上是唯物主义的,并且有一些辩证因素。余靖是一个朴素唯物主义者。     

浅谈高校大学生逆反心理的引导

学习和就业压力以及其他社会因素往往会使大学生产生逆反心理,逆反心理会对大学生的学习和生活产生很多消极影响,这就对高校的思想政治教育提出了更高要求。如何消除逆反心理,使大学生顺利毕业和就业,是大学思想政治教育工作的重要研究课题之一。     

李提摩太对大乘佛教的回应:从后殖民对东方学的批判着眼

虽然李提摩太对大乘佛教的诠释受到他自己的基督教信仰影响,甚至是受到传教使命驱使,但他的进路迥然不同于具殖民色彩的东方学,并且在动机和态度上颇为符合大乘佛教的精神。他在翻译佛典的过程中,没有强调东西方宗教观念之间的差异,反而突出它们的相通之处,希望以此作为基督教与佛教建立合作或友谊的共同基础,而不是使佛教徒皈依基督教。基于他的著述,可以发现他实际上实践了一种后殖民的批评,与殖民势力是对抗的。他的终极目的是全人类的解放,但进路与心态截然不同于那种解救东方人的殖民主义式思维,因为他从来不曾假设西方文明更为高等。就萨义德对东方学或东方主义的批判来说,李提摩太对大乘佛教的响应可以说是一个例外,甚至是反例。