Significant Factors of Aviation Insurance and Risk Management Strategy: An Empirical Study of Taiwanese Airline Carriers

Aviation insurance premiums have become a heavy burden for the airline industry since September 11, 2001. Although the industry must constantly balance its operations between profitability and safety, the reality is that airlines are in the business of making money. Therefore, their ability to reduce cost and manage risk is a key factor for success. Unlike past research, which used subjective judgment methods, this study applied quantitative historical data (1999–2000) and gray relation analysis to identify the primary factors influencing ratemaking for aviation insurance premiums. An empirical study of six airlines in Taiwan was conducted to determine these factors and to analyze the management strategies used to deal with them. Results showed that the loss experience and performance of individual airlines were the key elements associated with aviation insurance premiums paid by each airline. By identifying and understanding the primary factors influencing ratemaking for aviation insurance, airlines will better understand their relative operational strengths and weaknesses, and further help top management identify areas for further improvement. Knowledge of these factors combined with effective risk management strategies, may result in lower premiums and operating costs for airline companies.     

试论和谐社会理念中家庭教育文化的培育

在构建社会主义和谐社会理念指导下，和谐的家庭教育文化培育之路应是：树立家庭和谐教育理念，确立和谐教育目标，抓住重点内容，运用和谐教育方式，建设和谐家庭环境。     

Assessing goodness-of-fit of categorical regression models based on case-control data

Demonstrated equivalence between a categorical regression model based on case‐control data and an I‐sample semiparametric selection bias model leads to a new goodness‐of‐fit test. The proposed test statistic is an extension of an existing Kolmogorov–Smirnov‐type statistic and is the weighted average of the absolute differences between two estimated distribution functions in each response category. The paper establishes an optimal property for the maximum semiparametric likelihood estimator of the parameters in the I‐sample semiparametric selection bias model. It also presents a bootstrap procedure, some simulation results and an analysis of two real datasets.     

论电子政务对行政决策的影响

电子政务是一场运用新的现代网络技术、信息技术为手段对传统政务管理模式的深刻变革。行政决策是行政管理的核心,贯穿于行政管理的全过程。电子政务的应用与推广,必将改变行政决策的环境、条件、技术与状态,从而深刻地影响着行政决策。要使电子政务对行政决策的影响发挥出应有的最大的效能,就必须理性运用电子政务,最大程度强化电子政务对行政决策的正面影响,最大程度弱化电子政务对行政决策的负面影响。     

现代性批判:一种从政治哲学立场出发的考察——对恒久和普遍的美好生活原则的辩护

当前西方危机与现代性危机最深刻的症候,是在其最高知识权威的影响下,现代后期的某些学说(列奥·施特劳斯所谓的历史主义、相对主义学说)撼动了西方人的根基,人们丧失了方向感。这种理论上的危机带来的实际后果主要表现在:一种本来意义上的政治哲学所要求的普遍有效方式去解答对错、好坏问题不再可能。既然现代性的危机源于对现代政治哲学隐含的这个前提的表达,那么,现代性批判的中心课题是对现代理性主义或对理性之现代信仰的批判,它逻辑地包含了对恒久和普遍美好生活原则的辩护,试图恢复人们的自信,以便能够合理地赋予价值判断以效力。     

传统壮族文人文论的价值和意义

传统壮族文人的文论在全国影响并不大,但是否就因此而没有价值和意义?尽管受到汉族文人文论的巨大影响,并因此还具有滞后性,但传统壮族文人文论的存在仍有其价值和意义,这种价值和意义表现为:它是对传统壮族文人文学创作的总结;它是壮族民间文论的发展,是壮族人民对文学思考的进一步深化;它是对全国文论的一种丰富。在这三个方面,它有着别的文论无法替代的价值和意义。     

重庆性格和码头文化精神的扛鼎之作——莫怀戚长篇小说《白沙码头》研讨会综述

2008年9月,莫怀戚长篇小说<白沙码头>研讨会在重庆召开.与会专家学者一致认为:<白沙码头>不是一般意义上的传奇小说,其内涵深厚,信息量极大,它所展示的民间生存智慧和作家的民间艺术立场相当鲜明而感人,特别是对我们反省现实、反省历史、反省我们当代人自己具有不可替代的价值意义.     

简论潜在课程对提高大学生素质和创新能力的作用

素质教育是培养创新人才、构建和谐社会的重要教育实践环节,而潜在课程建设对素质教育具有不可替代的指导和促进作用。潜在课程指在学校自然环境、人文环境等因素影响下所构成的一种无形的、非正规的具有陶冶作用的集合体,具有潜在性、丰富性、持久性、经验性等特点,对大学生思想品德、实践能力等各方面的素质提高以及创新能力培养具有重要作用。高校潜在课程的开发和建设,为提高大学生综合素质,培养大学生创新能力提供了新的思路。