Nonparametric estimation of welfare changes

In this article, I propose a simple nonparametric method of estimating welfare measures with no structural assumptions on the demand system. The method is illustrated for both the single good and the multiple good case, using simulated data. Standard errors of the welfare changes are derived using standard bootstrap techniques. The compensating variation and deadweight loss resulting from a housing price increase is evaluated using Canadian mortgage data. The GAUSS coding, which is very short, is included.     

Estimation with right‐censored observations under a semi‐Markov model

The semi‐Markov process often provides a better framework than the classical Markov process for the analysis of events with multiple states. The purpose of this paper is twofold. First, we show that in the presence of right censoring, when the right end‐point of the support of the censoring time is strictly less than the right end‐point of the support of the semi‐Markov kernel, the transition probability of the semi‐Markov process is nonidentifiable, and the estimators proposed in the literature are inconsistent in general. We derive the set of all attainable values for the transition probability based on the censored data, and we propose a nonparametric inference procedure for the transition probability using this set. Second, the conventional approach to constructing confidence bands is not applicable for the semi‐Markov kernel and the sojourn time distribution. We propose new perturbation resampling methods to construct these confidence bands. Different weights and transformations are explored in the construction. We use simulation to examine our proposals and illustrate them with hospitalization data from a recent cancer survivor study. The Canadian Journal of Statistics 41: 237–256; 2013 © 2013 Statistical Society of Canada     

“资本主义的基本矛盾与经济危机”教学“三部曲”

教学＂三部曲＂即＂讲＂、＂看＂、＂议＂三个教学环节,＂讲＂即导学和精讲,＂看＂即观看视频资料,＂议＂即议论和讨论。三者具有内在的统一性,＂讲＂是＂看＂和＂议＂的基础,是教学过程的根本;＂看＂是＂讲＂的延伸、＂议＂的基础,是教学过程的重要部分;＂议＂是＂讲＂和＂看＂的升华,是教学过程的精髓。在运用＂三部曲＂教学法时,要处理好教学中的普遍性与特殊性的关系,要实现知识传授与思想教育的统一。     

Social work values,anti-discriminatory practice and working with older lesbian service users

It has been suggested that social workers are not adequately meeting the needs of lesbians and gay men. This paper explores some of these concerns with reference to social work's theoretical underpinnings and value-base in relation to working with older, non-heterosexual women. The paper considers some of the particular issues that affect the lives and needs of older women whose primary relationships are or have been with other women. It concludes with a discussion of ways in which such issues may be addressed in social work education, training and practice.     

基于案例的水体污染公共安全事件诱发过程分析

把握水体污染公共安全事件诱发过程和阶段是合理预警与应对的前提。以松花江水体污染公共安全事件为例,采用案例研究,归纳分析水体污染公共安全事件诱发过程的六个阶段：常态水体污染阶段,水体污染积累阶段,水体污染警告阶段,水体污染人工干预阶段,水体污染危害潜伏阶段,触发事件阶段。     

A case study of the impact of integrated project governances on PPP project performance

Under the new normal state, the PPP project will play a more and more important role in the social and economic development of China. To improve the performance of PPP project management, it is necessary to implement integrated project governances. Firstly, according to the index system of two kinds of PPP projects governances (Contract Governance and Relationship Governance) and PPP project management performance determined by theoretical analysis, the DDX project is selected as the analysis object. After identifying the case, this paper explains the basic information and preliminary work of the case. Then, the three contents of contract governance, relationship governance and project performance are analyzed comprehensively. Case studies show that all of these two governance modes have positive effects on project management performance. However, due to the lack of information in the case, the validity of the conclusion also needs to be verified again.     

《苏报》案与治外法权

《苏报》案是中国资产阶级民主革命准备时期发生的一个重大历史事件 ,发生于租界的《苏报》案与治外法权有非常密切的关系。帝国主义列强为了维护在中国所攫取的治外法权 ,对清政府实行了多方面的限制。清政府为了达到迫害资产阶级革命思想家的目的 ,竟在自己的国土上同自己的子民打了一场由外国人充当裁决者的荒唐官司 ,其腐朽无能的本质暴露无遗。治外法权是对中国主权的严重侵害 ,但在《苏报》案中 ,却在客观上起到了一定程度上的保护资产阶级革命思想家的作用     

地州市领导科学决策的原则和方法

科学决策方法是科学决策的重要组成部分,它是实现科学决策目标重要的"桥"和"船",对实现决策目标具有重要的保证和服务作用。科学决策的方法虽然很多,但对领导干部而言最主要的是要学习和掌握调查研究的方法,群众路线的方法,专家评估的方法,民主决策和程序决策的方法。     

哈萨克语与《突厥语词典》名词格的比较研究

现代哈萨克语与《突厥语词典》名词格之间的同多于异 ,而且这些共同点在同语族的其它语言中是罕见的