高罗佩《大唐狄公案》中的几篇小说——兼论唐代汉源县与汉水的关系

文章由三个部分内容构成.第一部分介绍了荷兰职业外交家、国际著名汉学家高罗佩的《大唐狄公案》系列公案小说中以汉源县为背景的四部小说作品：《湖滨案》《朝云观》《断指记》《莲池蛙声》;第二部分详细考证了狄仁杰之时的汉源县在今西和县境内,讨论了唐代汉源县与汉水的关系,并指出高罗佩所写唐代汉源县应是同西和有关的;第三部分介绍了高罗佩的其他创作和文化活动.     

关于中国基本养老保险空账问题的研究

经过多年的改革,我国逐步建立了“统账结合”基本养老保险制度。该制度既吸收了传统型的养老保险制度的优点,又借鉴了个人账户模式的长处；在强调保障的同时又兼顾效率。但是由于存在改革以前就已经退休的“老人”和改革前就已经参加工作的“中人”,他们的个人账户实际余额或者为零或者严重不足。但是仍然要给他们足额支付养老金。这使得养老金个人账户存在严重的“空账运转”问题。为此,应从个人缴费来入手探讨解决空帐问题办法。     

Influence Diagnostics of Semiparametric Nonlinear Reproductive Dispersion Models

This article proposes a semiparametric nonlinear reproductive dispersion model (SNRDM) which is an extension of nonlinear reproductive dispersion model and semiparametric regression model. Maximum penalized likelihood estimators (MPLEs) of unknown parameters and nonparametric functions in SNRDMs are presented. Some novel diagnostic statistics such as Cook distance and difference deviance for parametric and nonparametric parts are developed to identify influence observations in SNRDMs on the basis of case-deletion method, and some formulae readily computed with the MPLEs algorithm for diagnostic measures are given. The equivalency of case-deletion models and mean-shift outlier models in SNRDM is investigated. A simulation study and a real example are used to illustrate the proposed diagnostic measures.     

Perceptions of efficacy in the use of contemporary film in social work education: An exploratory study

This article discusses the use of contemporary film in social work education, including the theoretical rationale for the inclusion of film from the perspective of narrative and adult learning theory as well as the application of the case method to the use of film. The student viewpoint and perspective is provided through the results of an exploratory research study with 109 Baccalaureate social work students who completed a survey questionnaire following a classroom activity involving a contemporary film. Analysis of the quantitative data and qualitative comments indicates that students believe that film is a beneficial adjunct to textbook and lecture content.     

Estimating systems of trending variables

A survey is given of some results on inference in cointegrated systems. We discuss some regression methods, and contrast them with the analysis of the vector autoregressive model. We discuss determination of cointegrating rank and estimation of parameters, as well as asymptotic inference. The problems are treated for 1(1) and for 1(2) variables.     

Entropy as a measure of centrality in networks characterized by path-transfer flow

Recently, Borgatti [Borgatti, S.P., 2005. Centrality and network flow. Social Networks 27, 55–71] proposed a taxonomy of centrality measures based on the way that traffic flows through the network—whether over path, geodesic, trail, or walk, and whether by means of transfer, serial duplication, or parallel duplication. Most of the extant centrality measures assume that traffic propagates via parallel duplication or, alternatively, that it travels over geodesics. Few of the other flow possibilities have centrality measures associated with them. This article proposes an entropy-based measure of centrality appropriate for traffic that propagates by transfer and flows along paths. The proposed measure can be applied to most network types, whether binary or weighted, directed or undirected, connected or disconnected. The measure is illustrated on the gang alliance network of Kennedy et al. [Kennedy, D.M., Braga, A. A., Piehl, A.M., 1998. The (un)known universe: mapping gangs and gang violence in Boston. Crime Prevention Studies 8, 219–262].     

浅论诗人叶芝的创作人生

叶芝W illiam Butler Yeats(1865～1939),爱尔兰诗人,爱尔兰文艺复兴的中心人物。叶芝一生的诗歌创作可分成三个阶段,本文结合其人生经历谈叶芝的诗作风格。     

上海品牌衰落的原因与再崛起对策

在推进实施上海品牌战略过程中,深析上海老品牌衰落原因与再崛起可能,以及加快自主品牌培育和发展的对策,颇值关注与省思。本文在专题调研与文献研究的基础上,深层次分析了上海品牌衰落的原因,提出了振兴和复苏老品牌的推进思路及现阶段可采取的操作策略。     

海湾合作委员会决策机制研究

海湾合作委员会是中东地区乃至世界上一体化进程取得较大成果的区域组织之一，该组织的决策机制运作和程序规则引起学者越来越多的关注。本文从背景分析入手，梳理海合会主要职能机构的权责分配，并对其决策机制的运行、决策程序和方式进行研究，总结其特征，同时对决策机制存在的缺陷进行分析，力求透过决策机制和程序运行的发展轨迹来研究该组织决策机制的发展进程，以利于中阿双方进一步开展全方位合作。     

晚清柏塘教案始末

柏塘教案是19世纪下半期在广东地区发生的最重要的民教冲突事件,其爆发的原因是广东人民反洋教情绪的高涨和伸德辉神父的骄横跋扈。清政府在柏塘教案处理过程中,对内残酷打压,对外奴颜婢膝。法国巴黎外方传教会的政治传教方式虽然在一定程度上吸引和保护了教徒,但也纵容无赖教徒,使教会的形象受到很坏的影响。