Flexible univariate and multivariate models based on hidden truncation

A broad spectrum of flexible univariate and multivariate models can be constructed by using a hidden truncation paradigm. Such models can be viewed as being characterized by a basic marginal density, a family of conditional densities and a specified hidden truncation point, or points. The resulting class of distributions includes the basic marginal density as a special case (or as a limiting case), but also includes an array of models that may unexpectedly include many well known densities. Most of the well known skew-normal models (developed from the seed distribution popularized by Azzalini [(1985). A class of distributions which includes the normal ones. Scand. J. Statist. 12(2), 171–178]) can be viewed as being products of such a hidden truncation construction. However, the many hidden truncation models with non-normal component densities undoubtedly deserve further attention.     

民族地区能源、经济与环境系统协调评价研究

随着我国民族地区经济的发展,能源和环境对经济的制约越来越强,能源—经济—环境[3E]系统协调矛盾凸显。本文旨在科学发展观的指导下,通过建立民族地区3E系统协调评价体系和评价指标,并结合实证数据,分析研究民族地区3E系统存在的主要问题,提出促进民族地区3E系统协调性发展的建议。     

Threshold Estimation for Stochastic Processes with Small Noise

Consider a process satisfying a stochastic differential equation with unknown drift parameter, and suppose that discrete observations are given. It is known that a simple least squares estimator (LSE) can be consistent but numerically unstable in the sense of large standard deviations under finite samples when the noise process has jumps. We propose a filter to cut large shocks from data and construct the same LSE from data selected by the filter. The proposed estimator can be asymptotically equivalent to the usual LSE, whose asymptotic distribution strongly depends on the noise process. However, in numerical study, it looked asymptotically normal in an example where filter was chosen suitably, and the noise was a Lévy process. We will try to justify this phenomenon mathematically, under certain restricted assumptions.     

Some alternative bivariate Kumaraswamy models

In this article we discuss various strategies for constructing bivariate Kumaraswamy distributions. As alternatives to the Nadarajah et al. (2011) bivariate model, four different models are introduced utilizing a conditional specification approach, a conditional survival function approach, and an Arnold–Ng bivariate beta distribution construction approach. Distributional properties for such bivariate distributions are investigated. Parameter estimation strategies for the models are discussed, as are the consequences of fitting two of the models to a particular data set involving the proportion of foggy days at two different airports in Colombia.     

Exploitation aversion: When financial incentives fail to motivate agents

Studies of the principal-agent relationship find that monetary incentives work in many instances but that they can also backfire. Various mechanisms for this failure have been examined (e.g., intrinsic motivation, image concerns). We posit that an aversion to being exploited, i.e., being used instrumentally for another’s benefit, can also cause incentives to fail. Using an experiment we find that compliance is lower for exploitative principals compared to neutral ones despite using the same contracts. To corroborate our results we show that surveyed “exploitation aversion” mediates this effect. Our results have implications for the design and implementation of incentives within organizations.     

电子商务环境下物流配送模式研究

随着互联网的普及以及信息技术的不断发展 ,电子商务的热潮方兴未艾。这使得跨国物流和跨区域物流更加频繁 ,对物流的需求会更加强烈。但是我国的物流基础设施及技术水平落后 ,供应商(或制造商 )以及客户之间没有形成供应链 ,配送效率低下 ,这些因素成为制约电子商务在我国开展的瓶颈。本文针对电子商务环境 ,就如何结合中国国情发展与之相适应的物流配送模式 ,降低物流成本 ,提高配送效率进行探讨。     

高校体育图书资料的管理与利用

高校体育图书资料是高校图书资料情报系统的有机组成部分,科学管理与利用体育图书资料工作是提高高校体育教学科研的有效保障。     

汤普森“文化唯物主义”的理论与范式

作为理论的"文化唯物主义"是汤普森在探索马克思主义英国化过程中,基于自己对斯大林主义的批判反思和历史研究实践,形成的一种主要适用于自由资本主义时代的历史唯物主义学说。作为范式的"文化唯物主义"是奠基在"自下而上"的观察视角、"人民历史"观念和超越资本主义的乌托邦议程这三个支撑点上的,它具有两种基本作用:真实的经验整体的倾听和再创造;大众文化的社会功能的分析与评价。     

Intention to emigrate in transition countries: the case of Albania

We analyse the profile of potential emigrants from Albania using data from the Central and Eastern Europe Eurobarometer in 1992. Respondents were asked to rate on a four-point scale the likelihood that they would go to live in Western Europe. Our results show that intention to emigrate is correlated positively with males, education and certain occupations, and negatively with age. There is little relation between emigration and income. Those who support the introduction of a free market in Albania are also more likely to emigrate than those who do not. Received: 24 August 1998/Accepted: 17 April 2000