Notes and Communications “A DECISION THEORY EXAMPLE IN FOOTBALL”: A COMMENT*

Janssen and Daniel analyzed the choice between a one- or a two-point conversion for a particular game situation in college football. Their decision criteria was maximum expected utility based on a von Neumann-Morgenstern utility function defined over the games outcomes. An alternative approach based on a stochastic dominance criterion is presented that does not rely on knowledge of the relative importance of tying vs. winning; rather, it relies on a notion of consistency in the sequential problem.     

A NOTE ON HOLDING COSTS AND LOT-SIZE ERRORS

This note examines the sensitivity of the basic economic-order-quantity inventory model to lot-size errors when holding costs are assumed to be a strictly increasing (though not necessarily linear) function of average inventory. In particular, we show that the penalty associated with ordering either too much or too little is a function not only of the size of the error but of the shape of the holding-cost curve as well. We demonstrate that, under certain conditions, even relatively small lot-size errors can be extremely costly.     

Concepts,Theory, and Techniques PRINCIPLES OF MULTIOBJECTIVE OPTIMIZATION*

This paper attempts to isolate and analyze the principal ideas of multiobjective optimization. We do this without casting aspersions on single-objective optimization or championing any one multiobjective technique. We examine each fundamental idea for strengths and weaknesses and subject two—efficiency and utility—to extended consideration. Some general recommendations are made in light of this analysis. Besides the simple advice to retain single-objective optimization as a possible approach, we suggest that three broad classes of multiobjective techniques are very promising in terms of reliably, and believably, achieving a most preferred solution. These are: (1) partial generation of the efficient set, a rubric we use to unify a wide spectrum of both interactive and analytic methods; (2) explicit utility maximization, a much-overlooked approach combining multiattribute decision theory and mathematical programming; and (3) interactive implicit utility maximization, the popular class of methods introduced by Geoffrion, Dyer, and Feinberg [24] and extended significantly by others.     

Determining Sample Size Using Fast and Slow Thinking

ABSTRACT

Using SPSS's bootstrapping procedures, this article demonstrates an approach to determining sample size that combines fast (heuristics or rules-of-thumb) and slow (statistical power analysis) thinking to balance statistical power, precision, and practicality. Sample size is determined for six commonly used statistical procedures: independent groups t-test, one-way ANOVA, one-way MANOVA, Pearson's r correlation, linear regression, and logistic regression. Overall, findings suggest that both approaches may under or over-estimate sample size. Both approaches yielded similar parameter and confidence interval estimates, but varied, sometimes by a factor of two, in their sample size requirements. It is hoped that this study's procedure and results will provide beginning reference points for sample size determination, and encourage researchers continue to search for resolutions for often difficult sample-size decisions.     

A case study of the impact of integrated project governances on PPP project performance

Under the new normal state, the PPP project will play a more and more important role in the social and economic development of China. To improve the performance of PPP project management, it is necessary to implement integrated project governances. Firstly, according to the index system of two kinds of PPP projects governances (Contract Governance and Relationship Governance) and PPP project management performance determined by theoretical analysis, the DDX project is selected as the analysis object. After identifying the case, this paper explains the basic information and preliminary work of the case. Then, the three contents of contract governance, relationship governance and project performance are analyzed comprehensively. Case studies show that all of these two governance modes have positive effects on project management performance. However, due to the lack of information in the case, the validity of the conclusion also needs to be verified again.     

为钻头选型的地层模糊聚类研究

本文用模栩聚类分析方法探讨燎合考虑地层多种岩性下的地层分爽.以17种不同地层为例,分析了其模栩相容拒阵的建立方法并给出其聚类圈.讨论了绿合考虑地层多种若性下的钻头选型。     

对耕地利用率影响因素及影响效应的统计分析

耕地承包农户的户主年龄、家庭非农收入、土地转让行为选择、农户择业意愿、耕地条件与环境等因素与耕地利用率之间存在显著相关。对此,政府首先必须加强对农民的重农教育,增强农民珍爱耕地的自觉性;其次,应创新耕地管理制度,引导土地合理流转;其三,推进农村土地流转规范,提升耕地资产价值效能;其四,加大支农惠农政策力度,提高农业比较收益;其五,扩大对农村投入,改善农村农业基础设施建设。     

论交易的互利性与公平性

利益是交易的前提,所以人们不会在交易中吃亏。但是交易的确有一个公平与否的问题,即交易利益是否能够公平分割。在发达国家与欠发达国家的双边贸易中,发达国家往往处于垄断的位置,取得大部分交易利益。     

论分析命题与综合命题的逻辑性质--从奎因对分析命题与综合命题之区分的批判谈起

在考察分析命题与综合命题的基础上,对奎因分析命题与综合命题之区分的批判进行了评述,说明奎因的批判并不能否认分析命题与综合命题的区分,而只是表明了"分析命题"与"综合命题"是两个典型的模糊概念,因而需要运用模糊思维方法去把握它们既相对区分又相互贯通的辩证机理.     

中国古代历史主义的哲学分析

中国古代的历史主义是在中华文化土壤上面发育而成,转过来又丰富了中华文化的内涵。中国古代的历史主义主要包括感情总体历史的世界观、超越现实的人生观和保存与创造对立统一的方法论,它是中国人敬天法祖思想的集中表现,是形成中国人特有的悠游含蕴却又生机勃勃的精神风貌的重要因素。